Croydon Council Election 2026 Predictions
No party is projected to win a majority on Croydon Council, with Conservative winning the most seats (30 of 70).
| Party | Projected | Current | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 30 (20-30) | 33 | -3 |
| Labour | 19 (12-24) | 34 | -15 |
| Liberal Democrats | 3 (1-7) | 1 | +2 |
| Green | 14 (8-24) | 2 | +12 |
| Reform UK | 4 (2-14) | 0 | +4 |
Key changes: -15 Lab, +12 Green, +4 Ref
Note: Green projected at 14 seats from a 12% average baseline. This projection is candidacy-dependent and will be revised when April nomination data is available.
Election type: All 70 seats up for election
Control: No overall control
Probability of control change: 100%
Last election (2022)
Conservative 33, Labour 34, Liberal Democrats 1, Green 2
Conservative 38.4% Labour 34.4% Liberal Democrats 11.6% Green 12.8% Others 2.7%
Key battleground wards
- South Norwood - Green leads Labour by 0.2pp
- New Addington North - Reform UK leads Conservative by 0.3pp
- Addiscombe East - Conservative leads Reform UK by 1.4pp
- Crystal Palace Upper Norwood - Liberal Democrats leads Green by 1.8pp
- Addiscombe West - Reform UK leads Green by 2.3pp