Essex County Council Election 2026 Predictions
Reform UK is projected to win 58 of 78 seats on Essex County Council, taking control from the Conservatives.
| Party | Projected | Current | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 4 (4-16) | 49 | -45 |
| Labour | 6 (4-7) | 6 | 0 |
| Liberal Democrats | 5 (3-8) | 7 | -2 |
| Green | 1 (0-3) | 1 | 0 |
| Reform UK | 58 (40-58) | 1 | +57 |
| Others | 4 (3-8) | 14 | -10 |
Key changes: +57 Ref, -45 Con, -10 Others
Election type: All 78 seats up for election
Control: Conservative to Reform UK
Probability of control change: 100%
Last election (2021)
Conservative 52, Labour 5, Liberal Democrats 8, Green 1, Others 9
Conservative 48.7% Labour 17.1% Liberal Democrats 13.7% Green 5.6% Reform UK 0.7% Others 14.2%
Key battleground wards
- Thaxted - Others leads Reform UK by 0.3pp
- Harlow Netteswell - Reform UK leads Conservative by 1.2pp
- Braintree Eastern - Green leads Reform UK by 1.9pp
- Billericay North - Reform UK leads Conservative by 2.6pp
- Chigwell Buckhurst Hill East - Reform UK leads Conservative by 3.8pp