Isle of Wight Council Election 2026 Predictions
Reform UK is projected to win 27 of 39 seats on Isle of Wight Council, taking control from the current administration.
| Party | Projected | Current | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 3 (2-8) | 13 | -10 |
| Labour | 0 (0-1) | 1 | -1 |
| Liberal Democrats | 0 (0-1) | 4 | -4 |
| Green | 2 (1-5) | 2 | 0 |
| Reform UK | 27 (17-28) | 1 | +26 |
| Others | 7 (5-10) | 18 | -11 |
Key changes: +26 Ref, -11 Others, -10 Con
Election type: All 39 seats up for election
Control: Reform UK hold
Probability of control change: 80%
Last election (2021)
Conservative 18, Labour 1, Liberal Democrats 1, Green 2, Others 17
Conservative 38.6% Labour 11.6% Liberal Democrats 5.2% Green 11.1% Others 33.5%
Key battleground wards
- Sandown North - Reform UK leads Others by 0.1pp
- Ryde West - Reform UK leads Others by 1.2pp
- Pan Barton - Reform UK leads Conservative by 1.6pp
- Ryde Monktonmead - Reform UK leads Green by 3.7pp
- Shanklin South - Reform UK leads Conservative by 4.7pp