Merton Council Election 2026 Predictions
No party is projected to win a majority on Merton Council, with Labour winning the most seats (27 of 57).
| Party | Projected | Current | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 2 (1-6) | 7 | -5 |
| Labour | 27 (22-29) | 30 | -3 |
| Liberal Democrats | 24 (18-25) | 16 | +8 |
| Green | 2 (0-5) | 0 | +2 |
| Others | 2 (2-2) | 4 | -2 |
Key changes: +8 LD, -5 Con, -3 Lab
Election type: All 57 seats up for election
Control: No overall control
Probability of control change: 84%
Last election (2022)
Conservative 7, Labour 31, Liberal Democrats 17, Others 2
Conservative 25.8% Labour 41.9% Liberal Democrats 24.8% Green 5.2% Others 2.2%
Key battleground wards
- Lower Morden - Labour leads Conservative by 0.1pp
- Village - Liberal Democrats leads Conservative by 1.3pp
- Colliers Wood - Green leads Labour by 2.1pp
- Cannon Hill - Liberal Democrats leads Conservative by 16.8pp
- St Helier - Labour leads Green by 17.7pp