Newcastle-under-Lyme Council Election 2026 Predictions
Reform UK is projected to win 28 of 44 seats on Newcastle-under-Lyme Council, taking control from the Conservatives.
| Party | Projected | Current | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 11 (10-19) | 26 | -15 |
| Labour | 5 (4-10) | 17 | -12 |
| Reform UK | 28 (17-28) | 1 | +27 |
Key changes: +27 Ref, -15 Con, -12 Lab
Election type: All 44 seats up for election
Control: Conservative to Reform UK
Probability of control change: 99%
Last election (2022)
Conservative 25, Labour 19
Conservative 48.9% Labour 45.8% Liberal Democrats 3.3% Others 1.4%
Key battleground wards
- Cross Heath - Labour leads Reform UK by 0.4pp
- Westbury Park Northwood - Reform UK leads Conservative by 1.6pp
- Thistleberry - Conservative leads Reform UK by 2.5pp
- Clayton - Reform UK leads Conservative by 3.8pp
- Madeley Betley - Conservative leads Reform UK by 6.2pp