Thurrock Council Election 2026 Predictions
Reform UK is projected to win 39 of 49 seats on Thurrock Council, taking control from Labour.
| Party | Projected | Current | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative | 0 (0-1) | 12 | -12 |
| Labour | 10 (6-15) | 26 | -16 |
| Reform UK | 39 (32-42) | 3 | +36 |
| Others | 0 (0-2) | 8 | -8 |
Key changes: +36 Ref, -16 Lab, -12 Con
Election type: All 49 seats up for election
Control: Labour to Reform UK
Probability of control change: 99%
Last election (2024)
Conservative 1, Labour 12, Others 4
Conservative 29.3% Labour 52.2% Green 2.9% Others 15.7%
Key battleground wards
- West Thurrock South Stifford - Reform UK leads Labour by 5.2pp
- Chadwell St Mary - Reform UK leads Labour by 5.2pp
- Tilbury St Chads - Labour leads Reform UK by 5.4pp
- Purfleet On Thames - Reform UK leads Labour by 5.5pp
- Aveley - Reform UK leads Labour by 7.0pp