Labour won the ward's last contest in May 2022 with 41 per cent, ahead of the Conservatives on 35 per cent. This is the first time the ward has voted since. The seat fell vacant when the sitting Labour councillor, Lucy Patrick, resigned in July 2026, citing personal reasons. Five candidates are standing.
| Party | Share |
|---|---|
| Reform UK | 46.2% |
| Labour | 33.3% |
| Conservative | 16.8% |
| Green | 2.1% |
| Liberal Democrats | 1.6% |
Liberal Democrats, Green: fewer than 5 wins in 100 each.
How often each candidate wins the seat across 10,000 simulations of this contest - chances of winning, not vote shares.
Adjusted projection. This projection is adjusted from the model's automatic output. Reform did not stand in this ward at the last election (2022), so the model estimates its support rather than observing it, and it discounts Labour because the sitting councillor is not standing again. This raises Labour's projected share to reflect that its candidate, Ruth Alcroft, is a former Carlisle city councillor and parliamentary candidate, making the contest closer than the model's automatic estimate.
| Result | Conservative | Labour | Independents |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 2022 | 35% | 41% | 24% |
Winning share of all votes cast in bold. Multi-member wards elect several councillors at once. Includes any county-division contest covering the same ground.
Cumberland is a unitary authority: it runs every local service, from schools to bins. Current control: Labour.
Seats under the independents-and-others heading here have been won by independents at elections since 2022.
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Wards coloured by the party that last won them; the by-election ward is outlined. Hover a ward for its last result.
There is no county council above Cumberland.
The ward is part of the Carlisle constituency. Labour MP Julie Minns won it at the 2024 general election with 39 per cent of the vote.