This week

Thursday 3 September 2026

5 contests are being held on Thursday 3 September 2026, in Edinburgh, Oxfordshire, Rhondda Cynon Taf and Somerset.

Portobello/Craigmillar

Edinburgh · vacated by an SNP councillor
SNP: Tossup wins 44 of 100 simulated outcomes
SNP44 in 100
Green34 in 100
Labour12 in 100

Conservative, Liberal Democrats: fewer than 6 wins in 100 each.

Also on the ballot, not projected to win the seat: other candidates and Reform UK.

The ward last elected four councillors together, in May 2022; the SNP took the most votes with 37 per cent.

See the full projection →

Southside/Newington

Edinburgh · vacated by an SNP councillor
Green: Slight favourite wins 51 of 100 simulated outcomes
Green51 in 100
Liberal Democrats25 in 100
Labour13 in 100

Conservative, SNP: fewer than 8 wins in 100 each.

Also on the ballot, not projected to win the seat: other candidates and Reform UK.

The ward last elected four councillors together, in May 2022; Labour took the most votes with 24 per cent.

See the full projection →

Chesterton & Launton

Oxfordshire · vacated by a Liberal Democrat councillor
Liberal Democrats: Slight favourite wins 48 of 100 simulated outcomes
Liberal Democrats48 in 100
Conservative33 in 100
Reform UK14 in 100

Labour, Green: fewer than 5 wins in 100 each.

The Liberal Democrats won the ward's last contest in May 2025 with 33 per cent.

See the full projection →

Llantwit Fardre

Rhondda Cynon Taf · vacated by a Conservative councillor
Conservative: Favourite wins 72 of 100 simulated outcomes
Conservative72 in 100
Labour12 in 100
Reform UK10 in 100

Independent, Plaid Cymru: fewer than 5 wins in 100 each.

The Conservatives won both seats when the ward last voted, in May 2022, with 49 per cent of the vote.

See the full projection →

Frome West

Somerset · vacated by a Green councillor
Green: Favourite wins 67 of 100 simulated outcomes
Green67 in 100
Liberal Democrats23 in 100
Reform UK11 in 100

Also on the ballot, not projected to win the seat: Conservative and Labour.

The Greens won both seats when the ward last voted, in May 2022, with 47 per cent of the vote.

See the full projection →

Council by-elections · Past results

Council composition from Open Council Data. Candidates, candidate histories and polling-day information from Democracy Club. Historical ward results from the Local Elections Archive Project and Democracy Club. Boundary data contains OS data © Crown copyright and database right.