PollCheck

Council by-elections projector

Upcoming council by-elections each week: projections, candidates, ward maps and prior results, with the current state of every council and GB polling.

Upcoming council by-elections · voting Thursday 5 November 2026
The week in full
Bournemouth Christchurch and Poole · Council

Penn Hill

The Liberal Democrats won both seats when the ward last voted, in May 2023, with 47 per cent of the vote.

Liberal Democrats: Slight favourite wins 60 of 100 simulated outcomes
Liberal Democrats60 in 100
Conservative15 in 100
Defending: Liberal Democrat · 8 candidates · ward of the Poole constituency
See the full projection →
Scheduled beyond this week · 25 by-elections confirmed
Polling day Ward Council
Thu 12 NovHuncoatHyndburn
Thu 12 NovCroft BakerNorth East Lincolnshire
Thu 12 NovFailsworth WestOldham
Thu 12 NovCheddletonStaffordshire Moorlands
Thu 12 NovBosmereSuffolk
Thu 12 NovHindley GreenWigan
Thu 19 NovRisca EastCaerphilly
Thu 19 NovBrynConwy
Thu 19 NovCraghead & South MoorCounty Durham
Thu 19 NovPortchester WicorFareham
Thu 19 NovEmsworthHavant
Thu 19 NovLetchworth NorthHertfordshire
Thu 19 NovLetchworth NortonNorth Hertfordshire
Thu 19 NovAnston & WoodsettsRotherham
Thu 19 NovHuntington & HathertonSouth Staffordshire
Thu 26 NovShard EndBirmingham
Thu 26 NovMarlbrookBromsgrove
Thu 26 NovMold: BroncoedFlintshire
Thu 26 NovHarpurheyManchester
Thu 26 NovCaversham HeightsReading
Thu 26 NovCastle BromwichSolihull
Thu 3 DecHardwayGosport
Thu 10 DecAnnandale East and EskdaleDumfries and Galloway
Thu 10 DecCumnock and New CumnockEast Ayrshire
Thu 10 DecDorking RuralEast Surrey

Confirmed polling dates from Democracy Club. Projections and candidate lists are published here in the week of each poll.

Net seat change in council by-elections since 7 May 2026
Reform UK+6
Liberal Democrats+4
SNP+2
Green+2
Conservative-1
Local parties-2
Labour-3
Independents-8

149 council by-elections held since the May elections. Polls countermanded from May and held later count towards council composition but are not by-elections. Seat-by-seat changes are on the council control map.

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Contests appear here once nominations close and the ballot paper is confirmed. Past results.

Council composition from Open Council Data. Candidates, candidate histories and polling-day information from Democracy Club. Historical ward results from the Local Elections Archive Project and Democracy Club. Boundary data contains OS data © Crown copyright and database right.