← Thursday 5 November 2026

Penn Hill

Bournemouth Christchurch and Poole · polling day Thursday 5 November
Liberal Democrats defending

This by-election was called after the resignation of Liberal Democrat councillor Jo Clements. The Liberal Democrats won both seats when the ward last voted, in May 2023, with 47 per cent of the vote. The contest before that was led by the Conservatives in 2019. 8 candidates are standing.

The council

Bournemouth Christchurch and Poole

Every ward and councillor, who runs the council, and each by-election since May.

Bournemouth Christchurch and Poole council page →
Chance of winning
60 in 100
simulated outcomes
Liberal Democrats: Slight favourite
Liberal Democrats60 in 100
Conservative15 in 100

Reform UK, Independents (2 candidates combined), Green, Labour: fewer than 10 wins in 100 each.

Also on the ballot, not projected to win the seat: Restore Britain.

How often each candidate wins the seat across 10,000 simulations of this contest - chances of winning, not vote shares.

How this ward has voted
May 2019
May 2023
ResultConservativeLabourLiberal DemocratsGreenIndependents and others
May 202328%7%47%5%14%
May 201941%9%36%14%-

Winning share of all votes cast in bold. Multi-member wards elect several councillors at once. Includes any county-division contest covering the same ground. The independents-and-others share includes Poole Engage Party (14% in May 2023).

On the ballot

Wards coloured by the party that last won them; the by-election ward is outlined. Hover a ward for its last result.

Ward profile
Degree-educated45%
Owner-occupied74%
Social renting4%
In Westminster

The ward is part of the Poole constituency. Labour MP Neil Duncan-Jordan won it at the 2024 general election with 32 per cent of the vote.

Spot an error, or have feedback on this page?
Council composition from Open Council Data. Candidates, candidate histories and polling-day information from Democracy Club. Historical ward results from the Local Elections Archive Project and Democracy Club. Boundary data contains OS data © Crown copyright and database right.