← Thursday 8 October 2026

Town

Newcastle-under-Lyme · polled Thursday 8 October
Reform UK defending

This by-election was called after the resignation of Reform UK councillor Christine Duffy. The ward last elected two councillors together, in May 2026; Reform UK took the most votes with 28 per cent. Earlier contests were won by Labour in 2025 and led by Labour in 2022. 5 candidates stood.

The council

Newcastle-under-Lyme

Every ward and councillor, who runs the council, and each by-election since May.

Newcastle-under-Lyme council page →
Result
Labour gain from Reform UK
Party Share
Labour46.2%
Reform UK26.7%
Green12.3%
Conservative11.8%
Liberal Democrats2.9%

Projection published before polls closed
62 in 100
simulated outcomes
Labour: Slight favourite
Labour62 in 100
Reform UK12 in 100
Conservative12 in 100

Green, Liberal Democrats: fewer than 10 wins in 100 each.

How often each candidate wins the seat across 10,000 simulations of this contest - chances of winning, not vote shares.

How this ward has voted
May 2022
Jan 2025 by-election
May 2026
ResultConservativeLabourLiberal DemocratsGreenReform UK
May 202615%28%6%22%28%
Jan 202529%40%9%-22%
May 202232%68%---

Winning share of all votes cast in bold. Multi-member wards elect several councillors at once. Includes any county-division contest covering the same ground.

On the ballot
Worth knowing
  • The Green candidate had stood here before.
The council

Newcastle-under-Lyme is a district council: it runs housing, planning and bin collections. Current control: Reform UK.

Current composition of 44 seats
Conservative 15Labour 3Reform UK 26

Newcastle-under-Lyme council page →

How every council in Britain stands →

Wards coloured by the party that last won them; the by-election ward is outlined. Hover a ward for its last result.

Ward profile
Degree-educated30%
Owner-occupied35%
Social renting28%
Recent results nearby

May Bank and Cross Heath county division, May 2021: Conservative 50%, Labour 40%, Green 6%.

Newcastle South county division, May 2025: Reform UK 39%, Conservative 29%, Labour 25%.

Westlands and Thistleberry county division, May 2021: Conservative 66%, Labour 22%, Liberal Democrat 8%.

Upper tier

Schools, social care and highways here are run by Staffordshire County Council, which is not affected by this vote.

In Westminster

The ward is part of the Newcastle-under-Lyme constituency. Labour MP Adam Jogee won it at the 2024 general election with 40 per cent of the vote.

Spot an error, or have feedback on this page?
Council composition from Open Council Data. Candidates, candidate histories and polling-day information from Democracy Club. Historical ward results from the Local Elections Archive Project and Democracy Club. Boundary data contains OS data © Crown copyright and database right.