Results

Thursday 15 October 2026

4 contests were held on Thursday 15 October 2026, in Flintshire, Leicestershire, Mid Devon and Wiltshire.

Results

Higher Kinnerton (Flintshire): Local party gain from Independent. Josh Swash (Flintshire People's Voice) 93%, Conservative 3%, Reform UK 3%.
Shepshed (Leicestershire): Labour gain from Reform UK. Labour 33%, Reform UK 31%, Conservative 23%, Restore Britain 6%, Liberal Democrats 3%, Green 3%.
Bradninch (Mid Devon): Liberal Democrat hold. Liberal Democrats 73%, Reform UK 14%, Conservative 6%, Labour 5%, Green 3%.
Salisbury Milford (Wiltshire): Liberal Democrat hold. Liberal Democrats 46%, Conservative 36%, Reform UK 11%, Labour 7%.

Seats changing hands: Higher Kinnerton (Flintshire): Local party gain from Independent; Shepshed (Leicestershire): Labour gain from Reform UK.

Projections published before polls closed

Higher Kinnerton

Flintshire · vacated by an Independent councillor

Josh Swash (Flintshire People's Voice): Slight favourite wins 54 of 100 simulated outcomes

Josh Swash (Flintshire People's Voice)54 in 100

Reform UK43 in 100

Conservative: fewer than 5 wins in 100 each.

Independents and others won the ward's last contest in May 2017 with 80 per cent.

See the full projection →

Shepshed

Leicestershire · vacated by a Reform UK councillor

Reform UK: Slight favourite wins 58 of 100 simulated outcomes

Reform UK58 in 100

Labour19 in 100

Conservative19 in 100

Liberal Democrats, Green: fewer than 5 wins in 100 each.

Also on the ballot, not projected to win the seat: Restore Britain.

Reform UK won the ward's last contest in May 2025 with 45 per cent.

See the full projection →

Bradninch

Mid Devon · vacated by a Liberal Democrat councillor

Liberal Democrats: Favourite wins 68 of 100 simulated outcomes

Liberal Democrats68 in 100

Conservative19 in 100

Reform UK, Labour, Green: fewer than 7 wins in 100 each.

The Liberal Democrats won the ward's last contest in May 2023 with 82 per cent.

See the full projection →

Salisbury Milford

Wiltshire · vacated by a Liberal Democrat councillor

Liberal Democrats: Favourite wins 68 of 100 simulated outcomes

Liberal Democrats68 in 100

Conservative21 in 100

Labour, Reform UK: fewer than 7 wins in 100 each.

The Liberal Democrats won the ward's last contest in May 2025 with 44 per cent.

See the full projection →

Council by-elections · Past results

Council composition from Open Council Data. Candidates, candidate histories and polling-day information from Democracy Club. Historical ward results from the Local Elections Archive Project and Democracy Club. Boundary data contains OS data © Crown copyright and database right.