Result - By-Election
Greater Manchester (North West England) · Declared Friday 19 June 2026
The Makerfield by-election was triggered on 14 May 2026 when sitting Labour MP Josh Simons resigned the seat to clear the way for Greater Manchester Mayor Andy Burnham, who was selected as Labour's candidate. Polling took place on 18 June 2026 and the result was declared on 19 June 2026: Burnham held the seat with 54.8%, with Robert Kenyon (Reform UK) second on 34.5% - a 20.3-point gap. At the 2024 general election Labour won here with 45.2% to Reform's 31.8%.
Pick a baseline (any of five published constituency polls, the 2024 General Election, or the 7 May 2026 local elections), then adjust Burnham bonus, turnout and tactical voting to see how the 8-ward map shifts. The Survation 1 June poll uses its own ward-group crossbreaks; the others apply each ward's GE2024 relative strength to the poll's constituency total.