How are Holyrood seats calculated?

The Scottish Parliament has 129 seats: 73 constituency MSPs elected by first-past-the-post, and 56 regional list MSPs allocated across 8 regions using the D'Hondt method. The regional allocation takes into account constituency results to produce a more proportional outcome.

What is the D'Hondt method?

D'Hondt is a proportional representation method used to allocate Holyrood's 56 regional list seats. Each party's regional vote is divided by the number of seats they have already won (constituency + list) plus one. The highest quotient wins the next seat. This process repeats until all 7 regional seats are allocated in each of the 8 regions.

Holyrood Seat Projections

SEAT PROJECTIONS OVER TIME

Lines show a smoothed 5-poll moving average of projected seats, restarted at the 7 May 2026 election. Switch to "5MA" for the plain moving average, or "Raw" to see every projection plotted directly.

Seat counts combine constituency and regional allocations.

Latest Projection

Recent Projections

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Projection Breakdown

Detailed seat analysis for selected poll

Swings vs 2026 election

Compare current projection to the 7 May 2026 Holyrood result. Overall refers to combined Constituency + Regional results.

Holyrood Seat Projections

Recent Projections

Projection Breakdown

Total MSPs

Seat Breakdown by Type

Swings vs 2026 election

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