Results

Thursday 22 October 2026

5 contests were held on Thursday 22 October 2026, in Carmarthenshire, East Hertfordshire, Leeds, South Kesteven and Wychavon.

Results

Saron (Carmarthenshire): Plaid Cymru gain from Labour. Plaid Cymru 44%, Reform UK 28%, Labour 18%, Conservative 5%, Independent 4%, Liberal Democrats 1%.
Hertford Kingsmead (East Hertfordshire): Conservative gain from Green. Conservative 35%, Green 32%, Reform UK 16%, Labour 10%, Liberal Democrats 7%.
Calverley & Farsley (Leeds): Conservative gain from Labour. Conservative 40%, Labour 37%, Reform UK 12%, Green 6%, Restore Britain 3%, Liberal Democrats 2%, Yorkshire Party 1%.
Grantham St Wulfram's (South Kesteven): Conservative gain from Independent. Conservative 38%, Reform UK 25%, Wayne Hasnip (Independent) 18%, Labour 12%, Green 6%.
Hartlebury (Wychavon): Conservative hold. Conservative 50%, Reform UK 38%, Labour 12%.

Seats changing hands: Saron (Carmarthenshire): Plaid Cymru gain from Labour; Hertford Kingsmead (East Hertfordshire): Conservative gain from Green; Calverley & Farsley (Leeds): Conservative gain from Labour; Grantham St Wulfram's (South Kesteven): Conservative gain from Independent.

Projections published before polls closed

Saron

Carmarthenshire · vacated by a Labour councillor

Plaid Cymru: Strong favourite wins 84 of 100 simulated outcomes

Plaid Cymru84 in 100

Independent, Reform UK, Labour, Conservative, Liberal Democrats: fewer than 6 wins in 100 each.

The ward last elected two councillors together, in May 2022; Plaid Cymru took the most votes with 54 per cent.

See the full projection →

Hertford Kingsmead

East Hertfordshire · vacated by a Green councillor

Green: Slight favourite wins 62 of 100 simulated outcomes

Green62 in 100

Conservative30 in 100

Labour, Liberal Democrats: fewer than 6 wins in 100 each.

Also on the ballot, not projected to win the seat: Reform UK.

The Greens won all three seats when the ward last voted, in May 2023, with 38 per cent of the vote.

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Calverley & Farsley

Leeds · vacated by a Labour councillor

Labour: Slight favourite wins 55 of 100 simulated outcomes

Labour55 in 100

Conservative38 in 100

Yorkshire Party, Reform UK, Liberal Democrats, Green: fewer than 5 wins in 100 each.

Also on the ballot, not projected to win the seat: Restore Britain.

This seat was last contested in May 2024, when Labour won it with 46 per cent.

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Grantham St Wulfram's

South Kesteven · vacated by an Independent councillor

Conservative: Slight favourite wins 51 of 100 simulated outcomes

Conservative51 in 100

Reform UK35 in 100

Labour, Wayne Hasnip (Independent), Green: fewer than 7 wins in 100 each.

The Conservatives won the ward's last contest in November 2023 with 34 per cent.

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Hartlebury

Wychavon · vacated by a Conservative councillor

Conservative: Strong favourite wins 87 of 100 simulated outcomes

Conservative87 in 100

Reform UK12 in 100

Labour: fewer than 5 wins in 100 each.

The Conservatives won the ward's last contest in May 2023 with 58 per cent.

See the full projection →

Council by-elections · Past results

Council composition from Open Council Data. Candidates, candidate histories and polling-day information from Democracy Club. Historical ward results from the Local Elections Archive Project and Democracy Club. Boundary data contains OS data © Crown copyright and database right.