← Thursday 22 October 2026

Saron

Carmarthenshire · polled Thursday 22 October
Labour defending

This by-election was called after the death of Labour councillor Peter Cooper. The ward last elected two councillors together, in May 2022; Plaid Cymru took the most votes with 54 per cent. Earlier contests were won by Plaid Cymru in 2018 and led by Plaid Cymru in 2017. 6 candidates stood.

The council

Carmarthenshire

Every ward and councillor, who runs the council, and each by-election since May.

Carmarthenshire council page →
Result
Plaid Cymru gain from Labour
Party Share
Plaid Cymru43.9%
Reform UK28.0%
Labour17.6%
Conservative4.9%
Independent4.5%
Liberal Democrats1.2%

Projection published before polls closed
84 in 100
simulated outcomes
Plaid Cymru: Strong favourite
Plaid Cymru84 in 100

Independent, Reform UK, Labour, Conservative, Liberal Democrats: fewer than 6 wins in 100 each.

How often each candidate wins the seat across 10,000 simulations of this contest - chances of winning, not vote shares.

How this ward has voted
May 2017
Jul 2018
May 2022
ResultConservativeLabourLiberal DemocratsPlaid CymruIndependents
May 2022-30%6%54%10%
Jul 201813%21%1%65%-
May 201714%35%-51%-

Winning share of all votes cast in bold. Multi-member wards elect several councillors at once. Includes any county-division contest covering the same ground.

On the ballot
  • Nicholas Craig Davies (Plaid Cymru)
    44% of the vote, elected
  • Richard Galvin (Reform UK)
    28% of the vote
  • Anthony Wyn Jones (Labour)
    18% of the vote
  • Craig Griffiths (Conservative)
    5% of the vote
    Lives in Tumble; Conservative candidate in the Llangennech by-election in June 2026 (38 votes).
  • Owen Jenkins (Independent)
    5% of the vote
  • Caryl Evelyn Tandy (Liberal Democrats)
    1% of the vote
    Liberal Democrat candidate here in 2022 (130 votes) and in the 2018 by-election on the old boundaries (14 votes).
The council

Carmarthenshire is a Welsh council: it runs every local service. Current control: Plaid Cymru.

Current composition of 75 seats
Labour 14Green 1Reform UK 1Plaid Cymru 39Independents and others 20

Seats under the independents-and-others heading here have been won by independents at elections since 2022.

Carmarthenshire council page →

How every council in Britain stands →

Wards coloured by the party that last won them; the by-election ward is outlined. Hover a ward for its last result.

Ward profile
Degree-educated30%
Owner-occupied72%
Social renting18%
Recent results nearby

Sir Gaerfyrddin Senedd seat, May 2026: Plaid Cymru 43%, Reform UK 33%, Labour 8%.

In Westminster

The ward is part of the Caerfyrddin constituency. Plaid Cymru MP Ann Davies won it at the 2024 general election with 34 per cent of the vote.

Spot an error, or have feedback on this page?
Council composition from Open Council Data. Candidates, candidate histories and polling-day information from Democracy Club. Historical ward results from the Local Elections Archive Project and Democracy Club. Boundary data contains OS data © Crown copyright and database right.