Constituency profile

Easington

North East · County constituency · County Durham

Grahame Morris MP
Sitting MP

Grahame Morris

Labour

MP since May 2010

Current PollCheck projection

Region & type
North East
County constituency, County Durham council
Last 5 GE winners
LLLLL
Labour 5/5
EU referendum 2016
66.0% Leave
UK average 51.9%; +14.1pp above mean
Current outlook
Labour +7.9pp
vs Reform UK 36.2%
NorthernStrong Leave areaWorking-class profile

About the Easington constituency

Easington is a county constituency in the North East. The sitting MP is Grahame Morris (Labour), MP since May 2010. At the 2024 general election, Labour won with 48.9% to 29.8% for Reform UK, a majority of 6,542 votes on a 49.5% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has Labour on 44.1% and Reform UK on 36.2%, a margin of 7.9 points.

Who lives in Easington? Constituency demographics

From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.

Leave vote 2016
66.0%
UK average ~52%
Degree or above
21.2%
UK average ~34%
No qualifications
26.2%
UK average ~18%
Owner-occupied
59.7%
UK average ~63%
Renting (social + private)
40.0%
UK average ~36%
Median age
43.5
UK median ~40
Age 65+
24.4%
UK average ~19%
Age 18-34
27.5%
UK average ~28%

How did Easington vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?

2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.

2024 general election

Lab hold · majority 6,542 votes (19.1pp) · turnout 49.5%

Current projection

If a general election were held today, at current poll average

Map of Easington

Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from the 2021 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›

Council layer (not Westminster)

Easington within County Durham

Easington sits entirely within County Durham Council. County Durham was not due to vote in 2026, so the figures below are the most recent ward results with vote counts available. About this layer ›

Council overlap

CouncilShare of seat
County Durham
63 LSOAs
100%

Most recent council ward results

Latest council winner per ward - May 2026 results where the council voted, otherwise the most recent result with vote counts available. How this table is sourced ›

Ward GE2024 winner Latest council winner Shift since GE2024 Turnout
BlackhallsLabour 49.5%vs Reform 28.2%2025 Labour 44.5%vs Reform 44.0%2025 ward: Blackhalls & Hesledens, covering 60% of this ward-32.0%
DawdonLabour 52.3%vs Reform 28.7%2025 Reform 39.1%vs Others 33.0%2025 ward: Dalton & Dawdon, covering 67% of this ward-30.0%
DenesideLabour 48.7%vs Reform 31.1%2025 Reform 39.1%vs Others 33.0%2025 ward: Dalton & Dawdon, covering 80% of this ward-30.0%
EasingtonLabour 48.1%vs Reform 29.7%2025 Reform 54.5%vs Independent 22.3%2025 ward: Easington & Shotton, covering 100% of this ward-29.0%
HordenLabour 51.4%vs Reform 30.7%2025 Reform 56.4%vs Labour 32.7%2025 ward: Horden & Dene House, covering 100% of this ward-30.0%
MurtonLabour 52.5%vs Reform 26.0%2025 Reform 46.1%vs Labour 34.0%2025 ward: Murton, covering 100% of this ward-29.0%
PassfieldLabour 40.8%vs Reform 34.5%2025 Reform 52.5%vs Labour 22.0%2025 ward: Castle Eden & Passfield, covering 100% of this ward-34.0%
Peterlee EastLabour 46.5%vs Reform 34.1%2025 Reform 56.4%vs Labour 32.7%2025 ward: Horden & Dene House, covering 50% of this ward-30.0%
Peterlee WestLabour 45.7%vs Reform 33.1%2025 Reform 52.4%vs Labour 21.6%2025 ward: Peterlee, covering 100% of this ward-24.0%
SeahamLabour 48.5%vs Reform 28.1%2025 Reform 41.2%vs Labour 25.1%2025 ward: Seaham, covering 100% of this ward-34.0%
Shotton and South HettonLabour 46.3%vs Reform 32.4%2025 Reform 54.5%vs Independent 22.3%2025 ward: Easington & Shotton, covering 67% of this ward-29.0%
Trimdon and ThornleyLabour 49.8%vs Reform 23.3%2025 Reform 65.1%vs Labour 26.5%2025 ward: Thornley & Wheatley Hill, covering 50% of this ward-32.0%
WingateLabour 54.4%vs Reform 26.7%2025 Reform 52.6%vs Labour 30.3%2025 ward: Trimdon & Wingate, covering 100% of this ward-31.0%

Projection trajectory

PollCheck's projection for Easington at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.

Who has won Easington at past general elections?

2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›

Year Result MP Lab Con LD Right (Ref/UKIP) Green Other Majority Turnout
2010Lab holdGrahame Morris58.9%13.7%16.0%4.7% UKIP-6.6%14,98254.7%
2015Lab holdGrahame Morris61.0%12.9%2.4%18.7% UKIP2.1%2.8%14,64156.2%+1.5
2017Lab holdGrahame Morris63.7%22.7%1.3%4.7% UKIP1.1%6.5%14,89258.3%+2.1
2019notionalLabour winnerGrahame Morris 2019 MP, pre-review boundary46.8%27.1%4.1%18.1% Brx0.3%3.6%7,85256.9%-1.4
2024Lab holdGrahame Morris48.9%10.9%2.4%29.8% Ref3.4%4.6%6,54249.5%-7.4

Earlier years are on pre-2024 boundaries; comparable results on the new boundary will be added when sourced.

Constituencies most like Easington

Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Easington. Politics shown for context.

What would change this seat?

Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.

Related

Sources

Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›

Show full source list
  • 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
  • Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
  • Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
  • Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
  • May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
  • Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
  • Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
  • EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
  • MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
  • Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
  • Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic model at the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls, built from the British Election Study Internet Panel (Fieldhouse et al.), Census 2021 (ONS) and Scotland's Census 2022 (NRS). The trajectory was recalculated with the current model, introduced in autumn 2026.

If you spot a data issue, please let us know.