Constituency profile

Southgate and Wood Green

London · Borough constituency

Bambos Charalambous MP
Sitting MP

Bambos Charalambous

Labour

First elected June 2017

Current PollCheck projection

Region & type
London
Borough constituency
Last 5 GE winners
CCLLL
Labour 3/5, Conservative 2/5
EU referendum 2016
36.3% Leave
UK average 51.9%; -15.6pp below mean
Current outlook
Labour +23.2pp
vs Conservative 18.3%
LondonRemain-leaningGraduate-heavyDiverse

About the Southgate and Wood Green constituency

Southgate and Wood Green is a borough constituency in London. The sitting MP is Bambos Charalambous (Labour), first elected in June 2017. At the 2024 general election, Labour won with 51.1% to 17.6% for the Conservatives, a majority of 15,300 votes on a 58.9% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has Labour on 41.5% and the Conservatives on 18.3%, a margin of 23.2 points.

Who lives in Southgate and Wood Green? Constituency demographics

From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.

Leave vote 2016
36.3%
UK average ~52%
Degree or above
42.9%
UK average ~34%
No qualifications
20.1%
UK average ~18%
Owner-occupied
47.3%
UK average ~63%
Renting (social + private)
51.1%
UK average ~36%
Median age
38.3
UK median ~40
Age 65+
16.3%
UK average ~19%
Age 18-34
33.0%
UK average ~28%

How did Southgate and Wood Green vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?

2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.

2024 general election

Lab hold · majority 15,300 votes (33.5pp) · turnout 58.9%

Current projection

If a general election were held today, at current poll average

Map of Southgate and Wood Green

Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from the 2021 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›

Council layer (not Westminster)

Southgate and Wood Green within Enfield and Haringey

Southgate and Wood Green crosses council boundaries: Enfield (59%), Haringey (41%). The figures below are from the 7 May 2026 council elections where held, otherwise the most recent available ward result. About this layer ›

Council overlap

CouncilShare of seatProjection
Enfield
42 LSOAs
59%View projection ›
Haringey
29 LSOAs
41%View projection ›

Recent council by-elections

Council ward by-elections held inside this seat, most recent first. The result column shows which party won; the share column shows the top three parties’ vote shares on the day.

DateWardResultTop 3 vote shares
25 Jun 2026Woodside
Haringey
Grn GAIN from LabGrn 43% Lab 41% Ref 7%

Most recent council ward results

Latest council winner per ward - May 2026 results where the council voted, otherwise the most recent available result. How this table is sourced ›

Ward GE2024 winner Latest council winner Shift since GE2024 Turnout
Arnos GroveLabour 46.3%vs Conservative 24.5%May 2026 Conservative 43.1%vs Green 20.4%
Labour→Conservative
+22.4pp
49.1%
Bounds GreenLabour 56.0%vs Green 11.9%May 2026 Labour 35.9%vs Lib Dem 28.4%
Labour share
-20.2pp
47.5%
BowesLabour 51.9%vs Conservative 18.1%May 2026 Labour 30.4%vs Conservative 29.9%
Labour share
-21.5pp
37.8%
CockfostersLabour 42.4%vs Conservative 28.0%May 2026 Conservative 57.9%vs Reform 13.7%
Labour→Conservative
+29.5pp
47.1%
New SouthgateLabour 53.7%vs Conservative 16.5%May 2026 Green 37.1%vs Labour 29.6%
Labour→Green
+24.6pp
42.7%
Noel ParkLabour 51.6%vs Green 16.8%May 2026 Green 44.7%vs Labour 35.0%
Labour→Green
+22.2pp
35.5%
OakwoodLabour 45.6%vs Conservative 25.3%May 2026 Conservative 51.7%vs Green 20.1%
Labour→Conservative
+33.0pp
49.7%
Palmers GreenLabour 55.1%vs Conservative 17.3%May 2026 Labour 33.0%vs Green 27.9%
Labour share
-22.0pp
46.4%
SouthgateLabour 44.8%vs Conservative 22.2%May 2026 Conservative 42.9%vs Green 28.0%
Labour→Conservative
+25.1pp
46.9%
White Hart LaneLabour 55.9%vs Conservative 12.7%May 2026 Green 39.5%vs Labour 34.0%
Labour→Green
+25.6pp
34.0%
WoodsideLabour 56.3%vs Green 13.2%May 2026 Labour 37.8%vs Green 37.5%
Labour share
-18.5pp
36.3%

Projection trajectory

PollCheck's projection for Southgate and Wood Green at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.

Who has won Southgate and Wood Green at past general elections?

2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›

Year Result MP Lab Con LD Right (Ref/UKIP) Green Other Majority Turnout
2010predecessorCon holdDavid Burrowes Enfield, Southgate MP32.2%49.4%13.8%1.1% UKIP1.4%1.9%7,62669.1%
2015predecessorCon holdDavid Burrowes Enfield, Southgate MP39.0%49.4%3.3%4.6% UKIP3.7%-4,75370.5%+1.4
2017predecessorLab gain from ConBambos Charalambous Enfield, Southgate MP51.7%42.7%4.0%-1.6%-4,35574.1%+3.6
2019notionalLabour winnerBambos Charalambous Enfield, Southgate MP, pre-review boundary57.8%28.6%9.9%-2.5%1.2%15,41469.3%
2024Lab holdBambos Charalambous51.1%17.6%8.6%6.9% Ref12.3%3.5%15,30058.9%-10.4

Southgate and Wood Green was created or substantially redrawn by the 2023 boundary review. Pre-2024 rows below are for the predecessor seat Enfield, Southgate (the seat that covered most of this area), so vote shares and majorities aren’t directly comparable to the post-2024 figures.

Constituencies most like Southgate and Wood Green

Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Southgate and Wood Green. Politics shown for context.

What would change this seat?

Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.

Related

Sources

Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›

Show full source list
  • 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
  • Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
  • Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
  • Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
  • May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
  • Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
  • Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
  • EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
  • MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
  • Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
  • Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.

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