Walthamstow
London · Borough constituency · Waltham Forest
About the Walthamstow constituency
Walthamstow is a borough constituency in London. The sitting MP is Stella Creasy (Labour (Co-op)), MP since May 2010. At the 2024 general election, Labour won with 59.5% to 20.1% for the Greens, a majority of 17,996 votes on a 61.3% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has Labour on 51.3% and the Greens on 22.7%, a margin of 28.6 points.
Who lives in Walthamstow? Constituency demographics
From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.
How did Walthamstow vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?
2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.
2024 general election
Current projection
Map of Walthamstow
Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from the 2021 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›
Walthamstow within Waltham Forest
Walthamstow sits entirely within Waltham Forest Council. The figures below are from the council elections held on 7 May 2026. About this layer ›
Council overlap
| Council | Share of seat | 2026 election |
|---|---|---|
| Waltham Forest | 100% | 2026 result › |
Most recent council ward results
Latest council winner per ward - May 2026 results where the council voted, otherwise the most recent result with vote counts available. How this table is sourced ›
| Ward | GE2024 winner | Latest council winner | Shift since GE2024 | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chapel End | Labour 61.1%vs Green 19.4% | May 2026 Green 45.6%vs Labour 39.6% | Labour→Green +23.8pp | 41.5% |
| Hale End & Highams Park South | Others 34.2%vs Labour 32.1% | May 2026 Labour 43.9%vs Green 22.8% | Others→Labour +23.0pp | 49.7% |
| High Street | Labour 59.4%vs Green 20.2% | May 2026 Green 52.8%vs Labour 35.5% | Labour→Green +28.2pp | 41.9% |
| Higham Hill | Labour 62.8%vs Green 17.6% | May 2026 Green 39.2%vs Labour 37.3% | Labour→Green +23.5pp | 35.7% |
| Hoe Street | Labour 60.1%vs Green 19.7% | May 2026 Labour 45.9%vs Green 41.3% | Labour share -14.2pp | 41.4% |
| Lea Bridge | Labour 52.8%vs Green 22.4% | May 2026 Green 63.5%vs Labour 27.1% | Labour→Green +33.4pp | 38.8% |
| Markhouse | Labour 56.0%vs Green 22.1% | May 2026 Labour 47.5%vs Green 42.6% | Labour share -8.5pp | 43.1% |
| St James | Labour 60.9%vs Green 22.3% | May 2026 Green 52.5%vs Labour 38.9% | Labour→Green +26.1pp | 45.8% |
| Upper Walthamstow | Labour 50.6%vs Conservative 15.2% | May 2026 Labour 48.9%vs Green 31.4% | Labour share -1.7pp | 43.7% |
| William Morris | Labour 60.6%vs Green 19.0% | May 2026 Labour 46.7%vs Green 41.4% | Labour share -13.9pp | 44.7% |
| Wood Street | Labour 58.4%vs Green 21.4% | May 2026 Labour 42.6%vs Green 39.9% | Labour share -15.7pp | 46.0% |
Projection trajectory
PollCheck's projection for Walthamstow at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.
Who has won Walthamstow at past general elections?
2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›
| Year | Result | MP | Lab | Con | LD | Majority | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | Lab hold | Stella Creasy | 51.8% | 14.0% | 28.7% | 9,478 | 63.4% |
| 2015 | Lab hold | Stella Creasy | 68.9% | 13.4% | 4.0% | 23,195 | 62.4%-1.0 |
| 2017 | Lab hold | Stella Creasy | 80.6% | 14.1% | 2.9% | 32,017 | 70.8%+8.4 |
| 2019notional | Labour winner | Stella Creasy 2019 MP, pre-review boundary | 76.1% | 12.3% | 5.9% | 30,862 | 68.2%-2.6 |
| 2024 | Lab hold | Stella Creasy | 59.5% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 17,996 | 61.3%-6.9 |
Earlier years are on pre-2024 boundaries; comparable results on the new boundary will be added when sourced.
Constituencies most like Walthamstow
Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Walthamstow. Politics shown for context.
- ↓Leave33.5 / 34.8vs 53.2
- ↑Graduate46.8 / 47.1vs 33.7
- ↓Owner-occupied45.2 / 48.2vs 61.9
- ↓Owner-occupied45.2 / 44.3vs 61.9
- ↑Graduate46.8 / 45.7vs 33.7
- ↓Leave33.5 / 41.6vs 53.2
- ↓Leave33.5 / 30.9vs 53.2
- ↑Graduate46.8 / 48.7vs 33.7
- ↓Owner-occupied45.2 / 49.0vs 61.9
- ↓Age 65+10.0 / 14.6vs 22.7
- ↓Owner-occupied45.2 / 53.1vs 61.9
- ↑Private rent30.1 / 27.0vs 20.2
- ↓Leave33.5 / 36.3vs 53.2
- ↓Owner-occupied45.2 / 47.3vs 61.9
- ↑Private rent30.1 / 32.4vs 20.2
What would change this seat?
Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.
Related
Sources
Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›
Show full source list
- 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
- Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
- Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
- Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
- May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
- Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
- Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
- EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
- MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
- Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
- Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic model at the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls, built from the British Election Study Internet Panel (Fieldhouse et al.), Census 2021 (ONS) and Scotland's Census 2022 (NRS). The trajectory was recalculated with the current model, introduced in autumn 2026.
If you spot a data issue, please let us know.