Waltham Forest
London borough · London · 60 seats in 22 wards · All seats elected every four years · Next election 2 May 2030
The Greens have a majority on Waltham Forest Council. The council has 60 councillors in 22 wards. Seats by party: Green 31, Labour 15, Conservative 14. The next election is on 2 May 2030.
Seats by party
Who holds each ward
Winning margin at the last election, in points.
Coloured by the party holding most of the ward's seats today; where seats are split evenly, by the party with the higher share at the last election.
Councillors and last results
Select a ward for its full results, candidates and last by-election.
| Ward and councillors | Last election |
|---|---|
| Cann Hall Peter Richardson, Eva Tabbasam, Tom Hainge | 7 May 2026 Green 49.2% lead 16.2 pts |
| Cathall Aisha Abubakar, Rachel Barrat | 7 May 2026 Green 36.9% lead 1.7 pts |
| Chapel End Luke Glazzard, Layla Rosa, Sue Wheat | 7 May 2026 Green 40.4% lead 3.1 pts |
| Chingford Green Kay Isa, Kelly Summers, Mitchell Goldie | 7 May 2026 Conservative 57.9% lead 42.2 pts |
| Endlebury Emma Best, Roy Berg | 7 May 2026 Conservative 54.5% lead 38.1 pts |
| Forest Yuksel Gonul, Paul Perkins, Simone Mcnichols-Thomas | 7 May 2026 Green 54.5% lead 27.0 pts |
| Grove Green Charlotte Lafferty, Paul Treacy, Sarah Bentley | 7 May 2026 Green 49.3% lead 21.0 pts |
| Hale End & Highams Park South Rosalind Doré, Tony Bell | 7 May 2026 Labour 41.3% lead 19.2 pts |
| Hatch Lane & Highams Park North Siobhan Wing, Umar Ali, Shenise Adam | 7 May 2026 Conservative 36.9% lead 13.7 pts |
| High Street John Donegan, Marcelo Hart-Camus, Lisa Bryan | 7 May 2026 Green 51.4% lead 16.9 pts |
| Higham Hill Louise Ashcroft, Karen Bellamy, Em Dean | 7 May 2026 Green 39.1% lead 4.7 pts |
| Hoe Street Ahsan Khan, Andrew Dixon, Miriam Mirwitch | 7 May 2026 Labour 42.0% lead 2.8 pts |
| Larkswood Sam O'Connell, John Moss, Catherine Saumarez | 7 May 2026 Conservative 24.9% lead 7.3 pts |
| Lea Bridge Solène Fabios, Rosalind Rowlands, Liz Biggs | 7 May 2026 Green 59.4% lead 33.0 pts |
| Leyton Rob Gardner, Demetrius Williams, Daisy Richards | 7 May 2026 Green 50.5% lead 22.3 pts |
| Leytonstone Denise Alder, RoseMary Warrington, Clyde Loakes | 7 May 2026 Labour 34.7% lead 0.9 pts |
| Markhouse Johar Khan, Chanté Johnson | 7 May 2026 Labour 46.2% lead 6.7 pts |
| St James David Berrie, Martin Edobor, Anna Kerr | 7 May 2026 Green 47.4% lead 9.3 pts |
| Upper Walthamstow Caramel Quin, Yusuf Patel | 7 May 2026 Labour 47.2% lead 16.9 pts |
| Valley Jemma Hemsted, Toby Garrett, Afzal Akram | 7 May 2026 Conservative 30.9% lead 11.1 pts |
| William Morris Kizzy Gardiner, Grace Williams, Ben Copsey | 7 May 2026 Labour 45.3% lead 6.3 pts |
| Wood Street Richard Sweden, Stephanie Talbut | 7 May 2026 Labour 39.2% lead 1.1 pts |
Cann Hall
Last scheduled election, 7 May 2026 (3 seats)
| Candidate | Party | Votes |
|---|---|---|
| Eva Aasma Tabbasam Elected | Green | 1,970 |
| Tom Hainge Elected | Green | 1,951 |
| Peter Richardson Elected | Green | 1,900 |
| Kischa Green | Labour | 1,323 |
| Sally Littlejohn | Labour | 1,318 |
| Keith Rayner | Labour | 1,141 |
| Terry Leonard Noon | Reform | 287 |
| Robin Kenneth Williams | Reform | 283 |
| Sally Burnell | Lib Dem | 219 |
| Chris Hill-Davies | Conservative | 209 |
| Mike Lang | Conservative | 180 |
| Ian Slater | Conservative | 164 |
| Philip Denis Hawker | Lib Dem | 159 |
| Attila Gurbuz | Lib Dem | 141 |
Party shares count each party's leading candidate.
Cathall
Last scheduled election, 7 May 2026 (2 seats)
| Candidate | Party | Votes |
|---|---|---|
| Rachel Susan Barrat Elected | Green | 872 |
| Aisha Abubakar Elected | Labour | 832 |
| Naheed Asghar | Labour | 785 |
| Thomas Hugh MacInnes | Green | 728 |
| Carol Vickery | Reform | 181 |
| Susan Catten | Waltham Forest Independent Socialists | 144 |
| Vincent John | Conservative | 132 |
| Rita Moore | Conservative | 125 |
| Connor Rosoman | Waltham Forest Independent Socialists | 123 |
| Robert Graham Cocking | Lib Dem | 122 |
| Nicola McGregor | Lib Dem | 118 |
| Shaukat Ali | Independent | 80 |
Party shares count each party's leading candidate.
Chapel End
Last scheduled election, 7 May 2026 (3 seats)
| Candidate | Party | Votes |
|---|---|---|
| Layla Louise Rosa Elected | Green | 1,808 |
| Sue Wheat Elected | Green | 1,784 |
| Luke Antony Glazzard Elected | Green | 1,744 |
| Louise Mitchell | Labour | 1,668 |
| Paul Douglas | Labour | 1,562 |
| Steve Terry | Labour | 1,407 |
| Marcello Boljevic | Reform | 349 |
| Joe Lloyd Higgs | Lib Dem | 302 |
| Zainab Akram | Conservative | 255 |
| Samina Maqsoom | Conservative | 212 |
| Muhammad Amjad Inam | Conservative | 205 |
| Ipek Naciye Ozerim | Lib Dem | 158 |
| Dino Schreuder | Lib Dem | 155 |
| Mike Cleverley | Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | 94 |
Party shares count each party's leading candidate.
Chingford Green
Last scheduled election, 7 May 2026 (3 seats)
| Candidate | Party | Votes |
|---|---|---|
| Mitchell Goldie Elected | Conservative | 2,696 |
| Kay Isa Elected | Conservative | 2,468 |
| Kelly Summers Elected | Conservative | 2,419 |
| Mo Allen | Green | 733 |
| Kathryn Judd | Green | 615 |
| Kris Jack | Green | 611 |
| Rehana Begum Ali-Rahman | Labour | 536 |
| Stephen Roberts | Labour | 514 |
| Matt Davis | Reform | 483 |
| Francis Joseph Bray | Reform | 471 |
| Jimmy Sergi | Labour | 452 |
| Kimberley Tonner | Reform | 437 |
| Henry Arthur Boyle | Lib Dem | 208 |
| Andrew Hugh Chipperfield | Lib Dem | 124 |
| Stephen Francis Greig James | Lib Dem | 111 |
Party shares count each party's leading candidate.
Endlebury
Last scheduled election, 7 May 2026 (2 seats)
| Candidate | Party | Votes |
|---|---|---|
| Roy Berg Elected | Conservative | 1,709 |
| Emma Best Elected | Conservative | 1,695 |
| Jake Smith | Green | 513 |
| Monika Sobiecki | Green | 451 |
| Alison Dinah Cox | Labour | 410 |
| Lana Davis | Reform | 390 |
| Mark Lawrence Ebden | Labour | 334 |
| Loiza Sitton | Reform | 333 |
| Nigel Charles Spencer Lea | Lib Dem | 114 |
Party shares count each party's leading candidate.
Forest
Last scheduled election, 7 May 2026 (3 seats)
| Candidate | Party | Votes |
|---|---|---|
| Simone McNichols-Thomas Elected | Green | 2,401 |
| Yuksel Gonul Elected | Green | 2,337 |
| Paul Perkins Elected | Green | 2,332 |
| Marsela Berberi | Labour | 1,211 |
| Zafran Malik | Labour | 1,201 |
| Kastriot Berberi | Labour | 1,178 |
| Muhammad Abadat Ali | Reform | 315 |
| Judy Karas Hounsun | Reform | 304 |
| Asad Ishtiaq | Reform | 275 |
| Fred Harrison | Lib Dem | 233 |
| Colin Mace | Conservative | 203 |
| Lauren Smith | Conservative | 186 |
| Jonathan Luke Jerningham Schutz | Lib Dem | 165 |
| Saif Ullah | Lib Dem | 142 |
| Mamad Jalloh | Conservative | 139 |
| Len Hockey | Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | 44 |
| Robert Andrew Harvey | Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | 34 |
| Maria Talaia | Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | 22 |
Party shares count each party's leading candidate.
Grove Green
Last scheduled election, 7 May 2026 (3 seats)
| Candidate | Party | Votes |
|---|---|---|
| Sarah Bentley Elected | Green | 2,231 |
| Charlotte Lafferty Elected | Green | 2,030 |
| Paul Treacy Elected | Green | 1,828 |
| Minnie Hope Cullen Close | Labour | 1,281 |
| Khevyn Limbajee | Labour | 1,242 |
| Uzma Rasool | Labour | 1,155 |
| Arran Paul Angus | Lib Dem | 614 |
| Fiona Hamilton | Lib Dem | 497 |
| Naomi McCarthy | Lib Dem | 455 |
| David Boulter | Reform | 211 |
| Malcolm Shykles | Reform | 186 |
| Iona Shouna Berg | Conservative | 141 |
| Mike Smith | Conservative | 141 |
| Frank Boateng | Conservative | 128 |
| Robert Ivan Thomas | Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | 46 |
Party shares count each party's leading candidate.
Hale End & Highams Park South
Last scheduled election, 7 May 2026 (2 seats)
| Candidate | Party | Votes |
|---|---|---|
| Tony Bell Elected | Labour | 1,384 |
| Rosalind Anne Doré Elected | Labour | 1,365 |
| Brian Russell Capaloff | Green | 741 |
| Lukas Simma | Green | 686 |
| Dan Medlock | Conservative | 571 |
| Ruairidh Villar | Conservative | 458 |
| Mary-Jane Florentin | Reform | 407 |
| Ricardo William James Allured | Reform | 398 |
| Jeremy Peter Simpson Gee | Lib Dem | 152 |
| Hulya Ozturk | Independent | 65 |
| Louise Helen Cuffaro | Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | 35 |
Party shares count each party's leading candidate.
Hatch Lane & Highams Park North
Last scheduled election, 7 May 2026 (3 seats)
| Candidate | Party | Votes |
|---|---|---|
| Shenise Adam Elected | Conservative | 1,818 |
| Siobhan Wing Elected | Conservative | 1,698 |
| Umar Ali Elected | Conservative | 1,693 |
| Heather Gardiner | Green | 1,144 |
| Rory Matthew Fitzgerald | Green | 1,062 |
| Catherine Burns | Labour | 1,016 |
| Andrew McMullen | Green | 1,000 |
| Daniel Brett | Labour | 963 |
| Ollie Welch | Labour | 813 |
| Marion Fitzgerald | Reform | 679 |
| Tim James | Reform | 648 |
| Catherine Mears | Reform | 599 |
| Sadia Iftikhar Mirza | Lib Dem | 207 |
| Linda Susan Taaffe | Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | 63 |
Party shares count each party's leading candidate.
High Street
Last scheduled election, 7 May 2026 (3 seats)
| Candidate | Party | Votes |
|---|---|---|
| Lisa Teresa Bryan Elected | Green | 1,882 |
| John Patrick Donegan Elected | Green | 1,759 |
| Marcelo Hart-Camus Elected | Green | 1,708 |
| Jeremy Cohen | Labour | 1,262 |
| Zia Rehman | Labour | 1,182 |
| Osaro Otobo | Labour | 1,149 |
| David Hook | Reform | 178 |
| Farah Anwar | Reform | 162 |
| Nathan William Christian Hollow | Lib Dem | 147 |
| Amena Akter | Conservative | 135 |
| Anish Harish Vithlani | Reform | 135 |
| Samuel George Martin | Conservative | 135 |
| Idris Akram | Conservative | 128 |
| Graem Peters | Lib Dem | 108 |
| Nancy Taaffe | Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | 54 |
Party shares count each party's leading candidate.
Higham Hill
Last scheduled election, 7 May 2026 (3 seats)
| Candidate | Party | Votes |
|---|---|---|
| Louise Ashcroft Elected | Green | 1,486 |
| Karen Bellamy Elected | Labour | 1,305 |
| Em Dean Elected | Green | 1,251 |
| Shumon Ali-Rahman | Labour | 1,221 |
| Kira Millana Lewis | Labour | 1,170 |
| Marco Hacon | Green | 1,148 |
| Alex Marshall-Lewis | Lib Dem | 382 |
| Alan Edward Jones | Lib Dem | 376 |
| Kath Pollard | Lib Dem | 341 |
| Cyril Thomas Cusack | Reform | 337 |
| Amber Ellmore-Payne | Reform | 325 |
| Noreen Akram | Conservative | 215 |
| Atjaz Ul Hussan Humayun | Conservative | 144 |
| Yousaff Khan | Conservative | 143 |
| Mary Rosamund Finch | Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | 74 |
Party shares count each party's leading candidate.
Hoe Street
Last scheduled election, 7 May 2026 (3 seats)
| Candidate | Party | Votes |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew James Dixon Elected | Labour | 1,855 |
| Miriam Rose Mirwitch Elected | Labour | 1,840 |
| Ahsan Khan Elected | Labour | 1,783 |
| Laura Anne Pearce | Green | 1,729 |
| Ijaz Miles Kato | Green | 1,613 |
| Hannaan Malik | Green | 1,583 |
| Andrew Killin | Reform | 260 |
| Anup Banik | Conservative | 213 |
| Raihaan Akhtar | Conservative | 204 |
| Ciara Mary Simmons | Lib Dem | 182 |
| Jean-Francois Marie Alfred Dor | Lib Dem | 167 |
| Adnin Mourin | Conservative | 166 |
| Jon Goddard | Lib Dem | 151 |
| Md Shoeb Khan | Your Party | 108 |
| Ricardo Joseph | Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | 69 |
Party shares count each party's leading candidate.
Larkswood
Last scheduled election, 7 May 2026 (3 seats)
| Candidate | Party | Votes |
|---|---|---|
| Catherine Saumarez Elected | Conservative | 1,525 |
| John Moss Elected | Conservative | 1,525 |
| Sam O'Connell Elected | Conservative | 1,524 |
| Sarah Chaney | Independent | 1,078 |
| Deborah Hollingsworth | Independent | 962 |
| Jennifer Larbie | Independent | 951 |
| Beatrice Eve Stern | Labour | 830 |
| Frank Sweeney | Labour | 711 |
| Naveen Walgamage | Labour | 670 |
| Dan Green | Reform | 525 |
| Alex Fodor | Reform | 514 |
| Peter Hollingsworth | Reform | 492 |
| Eric Heinze | Lib Dem | 250 |
Party shares count each party's leading candidate.
Lea Bridge
Last scheduled election, 7 May 2026 (3 seats)
| Candidate | Party | Votes |
|---|---|---|
| Liz Biggs Elected | Green | 2,443 |
| Solène Fabios Elected | Green | 2,325 |
| Rosie Rowlands Elected | Green | 2,303 |
| Shabana Dhedhi | Labour | 1,087 |
| Jennifer Whilby | Labour | 984 |
| George Minnah | Labour | 950 |
| Michael Alexander Dickens | Reform | 235 |
| Hussain Ahmed Foysal | Conservative | 180 |
| Harpreet Bhal | Lib Dem | 169 |
| Humayun Ikram | Conservative | 163 |
| Jim Williams | Lib Dem | 153 |
| Ariba Sheikh | Conservative | 140 |
Party shares count each party's leading candidate.
Leyton
Last scheduled election, 7 May 2026 (3 seats)
| Candidate | Party | Votes |
|---|---|---|
| Daisy Richards Elected | Green | 1,822 |
| Rob Gardner Elected | Green | 1,799 |
| Demetrius Williams Elected | Green | 1,657 |
| Kyalo Burt-Fulcher | Labour | 1,017 |
| Whitney Ihenachor | Labour | 930 |
| Terry Wheeler | Labour | 917 |
| Joe Dyer | Lib Dem | 263 |
| Asim Shahzad | Lib Dem | 256 |
| Lorenzo Salemi | Reform | 227 |
| Trevor Robert Stone | Lib Dem | 215 |
| Kathy Berg | Conservative | 194 |
| Luke Berg | Conservative | 176 |
| Ed Clarke | Conservative | 161 |
| Imran Hussain | Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | 84 |
| Muhsin Manir | Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | 48 |
Party shares count each party's leading candidate.
Leytonstone
Last scheduled election, 7 May 2026 (3 seats)
| Candidate | Party | Votes |
|---|---|---|
| Clyde Loakes Elected | Labour | 1,815 |
| Denise Alder Elected | Green | 1,767 |
| RoseMary Warrington Elected | Green | 1,707 |
| Jenny Gray | Labour | 1,508 |
| Marie Pye | Labour | 1,463 |
| Rhiannon Eglin | Independent | 924 |
| Stephen George Routledge | Reform | 279 |
| Jaison Thomas | Reform | 245 |
| Helen Johnson | Conservative | 223 |
| Elizabeth Usu Binitie | Lib Dem | 222 |
| Beverley Goldie | Conservative | 208 |
| Nick Goldie | Conservative | 203 |
| Oliver William John Gregory | Lib Dem | 180 |
| Rylan Phi-Long Allen Holey | Lib Dem | 121 |
Party shares count each party's leading candidate.
Markhouse
Last scheduled election, 7 May 2026 (2 seats)
| Candidate | Party | Votes |
|---|---|---|
| Johar Khan Elected | Labour | 1,368 |
| Chanté Syreena Johnson Elected | Green | 1,170 |
| Sharon Waldron | Labour | 1,159 |
| Richard Wild | Green | 1,100 |
| Roger William Hemsted | Conservative | 138 |
| Ed Bird | Lib Dem | 126 |
| James Ellingham | Reform | 119 |
| Faraz Rehman | Conservative | 108 |
| Adeel Aurangzeb | Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | 38 |
Party shares count each party's leading candidate.
St James
Last scheduled election, 7 May 2026 (3 seats)
| Candidate | Party | Votes |
|---|---|---|
| Anna Rose Kerr Elected | Green | 2,194 |
| David Berrie Elected | Green | 2,169 |
| Martin Edobor Elected | Green | 2,144 |
| Catherine Diana Deakin | Labour | 1,766 |
| Caz Scott | Labour | 1,536 |
| Nathan Neil Burns | Labour | 1,515 |
| Jo Hulstrom | Reform | 227 |
| Amna Asim | Conservative | 212 |
| Nick Martlew | Lib Dem | 167 |
| Anmol Seher | Conservative | 149 |
| Shaikh Asim Mumtaz | Conservative | 129 |
| Guiseppe Mauro | Lib Dem | 123 |
| Martin Stuart Reynolds | Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | 66 |
Party shares count each party's leading candidate.
Upper Walthamstow
Last scheduled election, 7 May 2026 (2 seats)
| Candidate | Party | Votes |
|---|---|---|
| Caramel Quin Elected | Labour | 1,290 |
| Yusuf Patel Elected | Labour | 1,162 |
| Lyssa Barber | Green | 828 |
| Rbeeza Mobeen | Green | 749 |
| Samuel Clark | Conservative | 222 |
| James Henry Alexander Howe | Reform | 221 |
| Michaela Steele | Reform | 205 |
| Md Abul Moufazzal Bhuiyan | Conservative | 164 |
| Jane Elizabeth Morgan | Lib Dem | 137 |
| Lee Hawksbee | Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | 37 |
Party shares count each party's leading candidate.
Valley
Last scheduled election, 7 May 2026 (3 seats)
| Candidate | Party | Votes |
|---|---|---|
| Afzal Akram Elected | Conservative | 1,687 |
| Jemma Hemsted Elected | Conservative | 1,583 |
| Toby Garrett Elected | Conservative | 1,552 |
| Elizabeth Baptiste | Labour | 1,084 |
| Bella Callow-Robinson | Labour | 981 |
| Gerry Lyons | Labour | 898 |
| Bob Auger | Reform | 655 |
| David Axe | Reform | 642 |
| Saqeeb Howlader | Independent | 605 |
| Simon Deville | Independent | 581 |
| Matt Romo | Independent | 571 |
| Sorin-Theodor Cioriciu | Reform | 534 |
| Faiz Faiz | Lib Dem | 285 |
Party shares count each party's leading candidate.
William Morris
Last scheduled election, 7 May 2026 (3 seats)
| Candidate | Party | Votes |
|---|---|---|
| Kizzy Jane Gardiner Elected | Labour | 2,145 |
| Grace Williams Elected | Labour | 2,089 |
| Ben Aaron Copsey Elected | Green | 1,847 |
| Jack Phipps | Labour | 1,803 |
| Robyn Page | Green | 1,786 |
| Peter Ibrahim Kanyike | Green | 1,720 |
| Joseph Adegbola Alaba | Reform | 242 |
| Geraldine Charla Selmour | Reform | 234 |
| James Nicholas Goodman | Lib Dem | 223 |
| Gillian Joy Hemsted | Conservative | 208 |
| Hamza Ali | Conservative | 206 |
| Dean Remy Martin Wing | Conservative | 187 |
| Patrick Charles Smith | Lib Dem | 160 |
| Kevin Graham Parslow | Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | 69 |
Party shares count each party's leading candidate.
Wood Street
Last scheduled election, 7 May 2026 (2 seats)
| Candidate | Party | Votes |
|---|---|---|
| Richard Charles Sweden Elected | Labour | 1,284 |
| Stephanie Lynne Talbut Elected | Labour | 1,270 |
| Charlie Andrew Loveday | Green | 1,249 |
| Samir Richards | Green | 1,143 |
| Alex Muhumuza | Independent | 279 |
| Douglas George Walker | Reform | 183 |
| Stewart Robert Ware | Reform | 161 |
| Gwilym Johnston | Lib Dem | 122 |
| Maqsoom Hussain | Conservative | 117 |
| Lorenc Hoxha | Conservative | 107 |
| Adrienne Wallace | Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | 40 |
| Ellen Kenyon Peers | Trade Unionist and Socialist Coalition | 35 |
Party shares count each party's leading candidate.
Every council by-election since 2021
1 by-election since July 2021, 0 of them gains.
| Date | Ward | Result | Winner's share |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 October 2023 | Higham Hill | Labour hold | 57.3% |
Parliamentary constituencies
| Constituency | Share of council | 2024 winner | Projected now |
|---|---|---|---|
| Walthamstow | 41% | Labour | Labour 52% |
| Leyton and Wanstead | 31% | Labour | Labour 44% |
| Chingford and Woodford Green | 28% | Conservative | Conservative 32% |
Share of the council: the proportion of its census neighbourhoods (2021 LSOAs) in each seat. The projection is PollCheck's demographic model at current polling, not a forecast.
Who lives in Waltham Forest
278,438 residents in 102,928 households
GB figure. 2021 Census (Scotland: 2022): age as a share of residents aged 15 and over, qualifications of residents aged 16 and over, housing as a share of households. Leave: 2016 EU referendum, Electoral Commission results by counting area.
Councils most like this one
Closest on the measures above: the 2016 Leave vote, age, qualifications and housing. Maps show which party holds each ward.
Sources and method
Seat totals and control: PollCheck council control tracker. Councillors: Open Council Data (CC BY-SA 4.0). Election results: Democracy Club (CC BY 4.0), with some vote counts from DCLEAPIL, Leman (2025) (CC BY-SA 4.0), and corrections checked against councils' official declarations. Ward boundaries: Source: Office for National Statistics licensed under the Open Government Licence v.3.0. Contains OS data © Crown copyright and database right 2026. Census: Office for National Statistics and National Records of Scotland.
Councillor lists and DCLEAPIL-derived vote counts on this page are available under CC BY-SA 4.0.
In wards electing more than one councillor, a party's share counts only its leading candidate (the Rallings and Thrasher method). Independents count individually. The lead is the gap between the top two parties' shares.