Stalybridge and Hyde
North West · County constituency · Tameside borough
About the Stalybridge and Hyde constituency
Stalybridge and Hyde is a county constituency in the North West. The sitting MP is Jonathan Reynolds (Labour (Co-op)), first elected in May 2010. At the 2024 general election, Labour won with 43.8% to 20.9% for Reform UK, a majority of 8,539 votes on a 51.5% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has Labour on 34.4% and Reform UK on 31.3%, a margin of 3.1 points.
Who lives in Stalybridge and Hyde? Constituency demographics
From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.
How did Stalybridge and Hyde vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?
2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.
2024 general election
Current projection
Map of Stalybridge and Hyde
Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from the 2021 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›
Stalybridge and Hyde within Tameside
Stalybridge and Hyde sits entirely within Tameside Council. The figures below are from the council elections held on 7 May 2026. About this layer ›
Council overlap
| Council | Share of seat | Projection |
|---|---|---|
| Tameside | 100% | View projection › |
Most recent council ward results
Latest council winner per ward - May 2026 results where the council voted, otherwise the most recent available result. How this table is sourced ›
| Ward | GE2024 winner | Latest council winner | Shift since GE2024 | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dukinfield Stalybridge | Labour 43.7%vs Reform 22.7% | May 2026 Reform 48.0%vs Labour 23.9% | Labour→Reform +22.5pp | 40.5% |
| Hyde Godley | Labour 44.8%vs Reform 20.9% | May 2026 Reform 35.8%vs Labour 21.4% | Labour→Reform +19.2pp | 42.0% |
| Hyde Newton | Labour 45.0%vs Reform 22.0% | May 2026 Reform 45.1%vs Labour 21.4% | Labour→Reform +23.4pp | 35.6% |
| Hyde Werneth | Labour 42.9%vs Conservative 22.4% | May 2026 Reform 29.9%vs Conservative 28.3% | Labour→Reform +15.7pp | 45.2% |
| Longdendale | Labour 45.2%vs Reform 20.4% | May 2026 Reform 45.5%vs Labour 26.2% | Labour→Reform +22.1pp | 35.3% |
| Mossley | Labour 46.1%vs Reform 19.3% | May 2026 Reform 39.3%vs Labour 37.5% | Labour→Reform +14.3pp | 46.8% |
| Stalybridge North | Labour 43.4%vs Reform 21.6% | May 2026 Reform 47.7%vs Green 26.6% | Labour→Reform +25.1pp | 38.9% |
| Stalybridge South | Labour 39.5%vs Conservative 23.0% | May 2026 Reform 33.7%vs Conservative 30.6% | Labour→Reform +18.9pp | 43.2% |
Projection trajectory
PollCheck's projection for Stalybridge and Hyde at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.
Who has won Stalybridge and Hyde at past general elections?
2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›
| Year | Result | MP | Lab | Con | LD | Majority | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | Lab hold | Jonathan Reynolds | 39.6% | 32.9% | 17.0% | 2,744 | 59.2% |
| 2015 | Lab hold | Jonathan Reynolds | 45.0% | 28.7% | 3.1% | 6,686 | 57.5%-1.7 |
| 2017 | Lab hold | Jonathan Reynolds | 57.2% | 38.1% | 2.3% | 8,084 | 59.5%+2.0 |
| 2019notional | Labour winner | Jonathan Reynolds 2019 MP, pre-review boundary | 44.9% | 38.0% | 4.3% | 2,946 | 58.0%-1.5 |
| 2024 | Lab hold | Jonathan Reynolds | 43.8% | 18.5% | 2.9% | 8,539 | 51.5%-6.5 |
Earlier years are on pre-2024 boundaries; comparable results on the new boundary will be added when sourced.
Constituencies most like Stalybridge and Hyde
Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Stalybridge and Hyde. Politics shown for context.
- ↓Graduate26.3 / 27.1vs 33.7
- ↑Leave59.3 / 61.0vs 53.2
- ↑Social rent21.0 / 19.2vs 16.8
- ↓Graduate26.3 / 27.0vs 33.7
- ↑Leave59.3 / 59.8vs 53.2
- ↑Social rent21.0 / 23.4vs 16.8
- ↑Leave59.3 / 58.9vs 53.2
- ↑Social rent21.0 / 19.8vs 16.8
- ↓Graduate26.3 / 31.2vs 33.7
- ↓Graduate26.3 / 26.6vs 33.7
- ↑Social rent21.0 / 20.3vs 16.8
- ↑Leave59.3 / 56.7vs 53.2
- ↑Leave59.3 / 61.6vs 53.2
- ↓Graduate26.3 / 28.5vs 33.7
What would change this seat?
Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.
Related
Sources
Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›
Show full source list
- 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
- Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
- Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
- Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
- May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
- Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
- Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
- EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
- MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
- Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
- Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.
If you spot a data issue, please let us know.