Redditch
West Midlands · County constituency
About the Redditch constituency
Redditch is a county constituency in the West Midlands. The sitting MP is Chris Bloore (Labour), first elected in July 2024. At the 2024 general election, Labour won with 35.0% to 33.1% for the Conservatives, a majority of 789 votes on a 59.6% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has Reform UK on 32.0% and the Conservatives on 28.3%, a margin of 3.7 points - a projected change of hands from Labour.
Who lives in Redditch? Constituency demographics
From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.
How did Redditch vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?
2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.
2024 general election
Current projection
Map of Redditch
Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from the 2021 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›
Redditch within Redditch and Wychavon
Redditch crosses council boundaries: Redditch (88%), Wychavon (12%). The figures below are from the 7 May 2026 council elections where held, otherwise the most recent available ward result. About this layer ›
Council overlap
| Council | Share of seat | Projection |
|---|---|---|
| Redditch | 88% | View projection › |
| Wychavon | 12% | — |
Recent council by-elections
Council ward by-elections held inside this seat, most recent first. The result column shows which party won; the share column shows the top three parties’ vote shares on the day.
| Date | Ward | Result | Top 3 vote shares |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Sep 2024 | Harvington & Norton | Ind GAIN from Con | — |
Most recent council ward results
Latest council winner per ward - May 2026 results where the council voted, otherwise the most recent available result. How this table is sourced ›
| Ward | GE2024 winner | Latest council winner | Shift since GE2024 | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Astwood Bank & Feckenham | Conservative 39.0%vs Labour 30.4% | May 2026 Reform 36.8%vs Conservative 31.9% | Conservative→Reform +12.6pp | 45.1% |
| Batchley & Brockhill | Labour 38.9%vs Conservative 30.1% | May 2026 Reform 39.8%vs Labour 20.4% | Labour→Reform +19.6pp | 35.2% |
| Central | Labour 43.2%vs Conservative 27.0% | May 2026 Labour 30.6%vs Reform 28.8% | Labour share -12.7pp | 30.8% |
| Dodderhill | Conservative 38.0%vs Labour 27.5% | 2023 Conservative 59.5%vs Green 40.5% | - | 29.5% |
| Greenlands & Lakeside | Labour 38.1%vs Conservative 28.1% | May 2026 Reform 40.8%vs Labour 24.5% | Labour→Reform +15.8pp | 35.2% |
| Harvington & Norton | Conservative 39.0%vs Labour 28.8% | 2023 Conservative 54.1%vs Lib Dem 30.8% | - | 38.0% |
| Headless Cross & Oakenshaw | Conservative 33.8%vs Labour 33.5% | May 2026 Reform 39.3%vs Labour 19.7% | Conservative→Reform +17.5pp | 42.7% |
| Inkberrow | Conservative 40.3%vs Labour 27.5% | 2023 Conservative 60.0%vs Green 28.8% | - | 39.0% |
| Matchborough & Woodrow | Labour 36.1%vs Conservative 30.4% | May 2026 Reform 42.6%vs Conservative 20.4% | Labour→Reform +18.6pp | 29.5% |
| Winyates | Conservative 34.1%vs Labour 33.6% | May 2026 Reform 45.6%vs Conservative 18.2% | Conservative→Reform +19.4pp | 39.1% |
Projection trajectory
PollCheck's projection for Redditch at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.
Who has won Redditch at past general elections?
2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›
| Year | Result | MP | Lab | Con | LD | Majority | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | Con gain from Lab | Karen Lumley | 30.3% | 43.5% | 17.6% | 5,821 | 66.1% |
| 2015 | Con hold | Karen Lumley | 31.1% | 47.1% | 3.1% | 7,054 | 67.3%+1.2 |
| 2017 | Con hold | Rachel Maclean | 36.0% | 52.3% | 2.6% | 7,363 | 70.2%+2.9 |
| 2019notional | Conservative winner | Rachel Maclean 2019 MP, pre-review boundary | 25.9% | 64.7% | 6.4% | 18,423 | 67.9%-2.3 |
| 2024 | Lab gain from Con | Chris Bloore | 34.9% | 33.1% | 5.1% | 789 | 59.6%-8.3 |
Earlier years are on pre-2024 boundaries; comparable results on the new boundary will be added when sourced.
Constituencies most like Redditch
Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Redditch. Politics shown for context.
- ↓Graduate27.1 / 26.3vs 33.7
- ↑Leave61.0 / 59.3vs 53.2
- ↓Private rent13.9 / 16.4vs 20.2
- ↓Private rent13.9 / 14.4vs 20.2
- ↓Graduate27.1 / 28.3vs 33.7
- ↑Leave61.0 / 58.1vs 53.2
- ↑Leave61.0 / 61.6vs 53.2
- ↓Graduate27.1 / 28.5vs 33.7
- ↓Private rent13.9 / 15.5vs 20.2
- ↓Graduate27.1 / 26.6vs 33.7
- ↓Private rent13.9 / 16.1vs 20.2
- ↑Leave61.0 / 56.7vs 53.2
- ↑Leave61.0 / 66.0vs 53.2
- ↓Private rent13.9 / 13.9vs 20.2
- ↓Graduate27.1 / 24.9vs 33.7
What would change this seat?
Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.
Related
Sources
Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›
Show full source list
- 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
- Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
- Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
- Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
- May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
- Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
- Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
- EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
- MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
- Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
- Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.
If you spot a data issue, please let us know.