Constituency profile

Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk

Scotland · County constituency · Scottish Borders

John Lamont MP
Sitting MP

John Lamont

Conservative

MP since June 2017

Current PollCheck projection

Region & type
Scotland
County constituency, Scottish Borders council
Last 5 GE winners
LDSCCC
Conservative 3/5, Liberal Democrats 1/5, SNP 1/5
EU referendum 2016
43.3% Leave
UK average 51.9%; -8.6pp below mean
Current outlook
Conservative +12.7pp
vs SNP 24.1%
ScottishRemain-leaningGraduate-heavy

About the Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk constituency

Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk is a county constituency in Scotland. The sitting MP is John Lamont (Conservative), MP since June 2017. At the 2024 general election, the Conservatives won with 40.5% to 26.4% for the SNP, a majority of 6,599 votes on a 60.9% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has the Conservatives on 36.8% and the SNP on 24.1%, a margin of 12.7 points.

Who lives in Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk? Constituency demographics

From Scotland's 2022 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.

Leave vote 2016
43.3%
UK average ~52%
Degree or above
41.7%
UK average ~34%
No qualifications
18.2%
UK average ~18%
Owner-occupied
61.2%
UK average ~63%
Renting (social + private)
36.1%
UK average ~36%
Median age
50.5
UK median ~40
Age 65+
31.0%
UK average ~19%
Age 18-34
22.1%
UK average ~28%

How did Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?

2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.

2024 general election

Con hold · majority 6,599 votes (14.1pp) · turnout 60.9%

Current projection

If a general election were held today, at current poll average

Map of Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk

Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from Scotland's 2022 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›

Holyrood 2026 layer

How Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk voted at the Scottish Parliament election (7 May 2026)

Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk crosses multiple Holyrood boundaries (approximate share of the seat's area in each): Ettrick, Roxburgh and Berwickshire (82%), Midlothian South, Tweeddale and Lauderdale (17%). Scotland uses the Additional Member System: voters cast one ballot for a constituency MSP and a second for a regional list. The figures below are the constituency vote.

Holyrood constituencyApprox. share of Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk's areaWinnerRunner-upElected MSP
Ettrick, Roxburgh and Berwickshire82%Conservative 44.8%SNP 27.3%Rachael Hamilton
Midlothian South, Tweeddale and Lauderdale17%SNP 40.9%Conservative 20.1%Calum Kerr

Holyrood 2026 constituency results from official declarations. Overlap percentages are approximate shares of the Westminster seat's land area, not of its electorate. They come from an area overlay of the post-2024 Westminster boundary on simplified Holyrood second-review boundaries (in force from 7 May 2026), so they do not always sum to 100% and small overlaps may be artefacts of the simplified boundaries.

Council layer (not Westminster)

Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk within Scottish Borders

Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk sits entirely within Scottish Borders Council. Scottish Borders was not due to vote in 2026, so the figures below are the most recent ward results with vote counts available. About this layer ›

Council overlap

CouncilShare of seat
Scottish Borders
119 data zones
100%

Recent council by-elections

Council ward by-elections held inside this seat, most recent first. The result column shows which party won; the share column shows the top three parties’ vote shares on the day.

DateWardResultTop 3 vote shares
23 Feb 2024Jedburgh and District
Scottish Borders
Con GAIN from SNPCon 58% SNP 17% Lab 10%

Most recent council ward results

Latest council result per ward, from the most recent election with vote counts available. How this table is sourced ›

Scottish council wards elect several councillors each by STV, so for these wards the table shows first preferences, not seats: the party with the most first-preference votes and each other party's share. 2022 figures are from the official cast-vote records.

Ward GE2024 winner Latest council first preferences Shift since GE2024 Turnout
East BerwickshireConservative 48.6%vs SNP 25.5%2022 Conservative 41.0%Independent 24.3%, SNP 21.2%, Labour 7.0%, Green 5.8%, Others 0.8%--
Galashiels and DistrictSNP 32.3%vs Conservative 31.6%2022 SNP 35.9%Conservative 26.4%, Independent 16.7%, Lib Dem 10.6%, Green 9.0%, Others 1.3%--
Hawick and DenholmConservative 33.2%vs SNP 27.8%2022 Independent 82.4%Conservative 9.4%, Green 4.5%, Labour 3.7%--
Hawick and HermitageConservative 42.2%vs SNP 32.3%2022 Independent 54.8%Conservative 18.4%, SNP 16.7%, Labour 3.7%, Lib Dem 3.7%, Green 2.7%--
Jedburgh and DistrictConservative 46.2%vs SNP 22.4%2022 Conservative 50.3%SNP 23.1%, Independent 18.0%, Green 7.1%, Others 1.5%--
Kelso and DistrictConservative 48.9%vs SNP 16.6%2022 Conservative 47.1%Lib Dem 29.8%, Green 13.2%, Labour 9.4%, Others 0.4%--
Leaderdale and MelroseConservative 42.3%vs SNP 30.0%2022 Independent 34.3%Conservative 24.4%, SNP 19.7%, Lib Dem 12.7%, Labour 4.5%, Green 4.3%, Others 0.2%--
Mid BerwickshireConservative 48.9%vs SNP 26.9%2022 Conservative 46.1%SNP 25.8%, Lib Dem 11.5%, Green 7.0%, Labour 6.1%, Others 3.5%--
SelkirkshireConservative 42.5%vs SNP 30.4%2022 Independent 40.9%Conservative 26.2%, SNP 21.8%, Labour 5.6%, Green 5.5%--
Tweeddale EastSNP 32.1%vs Conservative 30.9%2022 SNP 30.3%Conservative 22.5%, Independent 18.3%, Lib Dem 9.9%, Green 9.6%, Labour 9.2%, Others 0.2%--

Projection trajectory

PollCheck's projection for Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.

Who has won Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk at past general elections?

2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›

Year Result MP Lab Con LD SNP Right (Ref/UKIP) Green Other Majority Turnout
2010LD holdMichael Moore10.2%33.8%45.4%9.2%1.2% UKIP-0.3%5,67566.4%
2015SNP gain from LDCalum Kerr4.9%36.0%18.7%36.6%2.4% UKIP1.1%0.2%32874.2%+7.8
2017Con gain from SNPJohn Lamont8.6%53.9%4.7%32.8%---11,06071.5%-2.7
2019notionalConservative winnerJohn Lamont 2019 MP, pre-review boundary4.7%48.4%8.1%38.8%---5,14871.2%-0.3
2024Con holdJohn Lamont13.6%40.5%7.9%26.4%7.2% Ref3.3%1.2%6,59960.9%-10.3

Earlier years are on pre-2024 boundaries; comparable results on the new boundary will be added when sourced.

Constituencies most like Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk

Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk. Politics shown for context.

What would change this seat?

Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.

Related

Sources

Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›

Show full source list
  • 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
  • Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
  • Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
  • Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
  • May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
  • Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
  • Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
  • EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
  • MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
  • Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
  • Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic model at the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls, built from the British Election Study Internet Panel (Fieldhouse et al.), Census 2021 (ONS) and Scotland's Census 2022 (NRS). The trajectory was recalculated with the current model, introduced in autumn 2026.

If you spot a data issue, please let us know.