Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk
Scotland · County constituency · Scottish Borders borough
About the Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk constituency
Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk is a county constituency in Scotland. The sitting MP is John Lamont (Conservative), first elected in June 2017. At the 2024 general election, the Conservatives won with 40.5% to 26.4% for the SNP, a majority of 6,599 votes on a 60.9% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has the Conservatives on 39.9% and the SNP on 26.5%, a margin of 13.4 points.
Who lives in Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk? Constituency demographics
From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.
How did Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?
2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.
2024 general election
Current projection
Map of Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk
Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from Scotland's 2022 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›
How Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk voted at the Scottish Parliament election (7 May 2026)
Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk crosses multiple Holyrood boundaries: Ettrick, Roxburgh and Berwickshire (82%), Midlothian South, Tweeddale and Lauderdale (17%). Scotland uses the Additional Member System: voters cast one ballot for a constituency MSP and a second for a regional list. The figures below are the constituency vote.
| Holyrood constituency | Share of Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk | Winner | Runner-up | Elected MSP |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ettrick, Roxburgh and Berwickshire | 82% | Conservative 44.8% | SNP 27.3% | Rachael Hamilton |
| Midlothian South, Tweeddale and Lauderdale | 17% | SNP 40.9% | Conservative 20.1% | Calum Kerr |
Holyrood 2026 constituency results from official declarations. Overlap percentages are area-based using the post-2024 Westminster boundary against the new Holyrood second-review boundary (in force from 7 May 2026).
Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk within Scottish Borders
Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk sits entirely within Scottish Borders Council. Scottish Borders was not due to vote in 2026, so the figures below are the most recent ward results available. About this layer ›
Council overlap
| Council | Share of seat |
|---|---|
| Scottish Borders | 100% |
Recent council by-elections
Council ward by-elections held inside this seat, most recent first. The result column shows which party won; the share column shows the top three parties’ vote shares on the day.
| Date | Ward | Result | Top 3 vote shares |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb 2024 | Jedburgh and District | Con GAIN from SNP | — |
Most recent council ward results
Latest council winner per ward - May 2026 results where the council voted, otherwise the most recent available result. How this table is sourced ›
| Ward | GE2024 winner | Latest council winner | Shift since GE2024 | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| East Berwickshire | Conservative 48.6%vs SNP 25.5% | 2017 Conservative 58.7%vs SNP 19.6% | - | - |
| Galashiels and District | SNP 32.3%vs Conservative 31.6% | 2017 SNP 31.6%vs Independent 30.8% | - | - |
| Hawick and Denholm | Conservative 33.2%vs SNP 27.8% | 2017 Independent 63.3%vs Conservative 16.5% | - | - |
| Hawick and Hermitage | Conservative 42.2%vs SNP 32.3% | 2017 Independent 62.5%vs Conservative 26.4% | - | - |
| Jedburgh and District | Conservative 46.2%vs SNP 22.4% | 2017 Conservative 55.3%vs SNP 19.7% | - | - |
| Kelso and District | Conservative 48.9%vs SNP 16.6% | 2017 Conservative 53.0%vs SNP 16.5% | - | - |
| Leaderdale and Melrose | Conservative 42.3%vs SNP 30.0% | 2017 Independent 40.9%vs Conservative 32.0% | - | - |
| Mid Berwickshire | Conservative 48.9%vs SNP 26.9% | 2017 Conservative 59.2%vs SNP 21.2% | - | - |
| Selkirkshire | Conservative 42.5%vs SNP 30.4% | 2017 Conservative 42.1%vs Independent 25.7% | - | - |
| Tweeddale East | SNP 32.1%vs Conservative 30.9% | 2017 Conservative 37.6%vs SNP 32.2% | - | - |
Projection trajectory
PollCheck's projection for Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.
Who has won Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk at past general elections?
2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›
| Year | Result | MP | Lab | Con | LD | Majority | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | LD hold | Michael Moore | 10.2% | 33.8% | 45.4% | 5,675 | 66.4% |
| 2015 | SNP gain from LD | Calum Kerr | 4.9% | 36.0% | 18.7% | 328 | 74.2%+7.8 |
| 2017 | Con gain from SNP | John Lamont | 8.6% | 53.9% | 4.7% | 11,060 | 71.5%-2.7 |
| 2019notional | Conservative winner | John Lamont 2019 MP, pre-review boundary | 4.7% | 48.4% | 8.1% | 5,148 | 71.2%-0.3 |
| 2024 | Con hold | John Lamont | 13.6% | 40.5% | 7.9% | 6,599 | 60.9%-10.3 |
Earlier years are on pre-2024 boundaries; comparable results on the new boundary will be added when sourced.
Constituencies most like Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk
Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk. Politics shown for context.
- ↓Leave43.3 / 44.6vs 53.2
- ↓Under 3522.1 / 21.3vs 30.2
- ↑Age 65+31.0 / 30.3vs 22.7
- ↑Age 65+31.0 / 31.4vs 22.7
- ↓Leave43.3 / 45.1vs 53.2
- ↓Under 3522.1 / 22.5vs 30.2
- ↓Leave43.3 / 41.4vs 53.2
- ↓Under 3522.1 / 21.9vs 30.2
- ↑Age 65+31.0 / 30.6vs 22.7
- ↓Leave43.3 / 42.4vs 53.2
- ↑Graduate41.7 / 42.1vs 33.7
- ↓Under 3522.1 / 23.4vs 30.2
- ↓Leave43.3 / 44.1vs 53.2
- ↑Age 65+31.0 / 29.6vs 22.7
- ↓Under 3522.1 / 23.9vs 30.2
What would change this seat?
Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.
Related
Sources
Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›
Show full source list
- 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
- Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
- Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
- Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
- May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
- Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
- Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
- EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
- MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
- Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
- Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.
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