Dumfries and Galloway
Scotland · County constituency · Dumfries and Galloway
About the Dumfries and Galloway constituency
Dumfries and Galloway is a county constituency in Scotland. The sitting MP is John Cooper (Conservative), MP since July 2024. At the 2024 general election, the Conservatives won with 29.6% to 27.5% for the SNP, a majority of 930 votes on a 58.3% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has the Conservatives on 31.0% and the SNP on 28.4%, a margin of 2.6 points.
Who lives in Dumfries and Galloway? Constituency demographics
From Scotland's 2022 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.
How did Dumfries and Galloway vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?
2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.
2024 general election
Current projection
Map of Dumfries and Galloway
Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from Scotland's 2022 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›
How Dumfries and Galloway voted at the Scottish Parliament election (7 May 2026)
Dumfries and Galloway sits almost entirely within the Holyrood constituency of Galloway and West Dumfries. Scotland uses the Additional Member System: voters cast one ballot for a constituency MSP and a second for a regional list. The figures below are the constituency vote.
| Holyrood constituency | Approx. share of Dumfries and Galloway's area | Winner | Runner-up | Elected MSP |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Galloway and West Dumfries | 92% | Conservative 38.3% | SNP 33.0% | Finlay Carson |
| Dumfriesshire | 7% | Conservative 34.8% | SNP 31.4% | Craig Hoy |
Holyrood 2026 constituency results from official declarations. Overlap percentages are approximate shares of the Westminster seat's land area, not of its electorate. They come from an area overlay of the post-2024 Westminster boundary on simplified Holyrood second-review boundaries (in force from 7 May 2026), so they do not always sum to 100% and small overlaps may be artefacts of the simplified boundaries.
Dumfries and Galloway within Dumfries and Galloway
Dumfries and Galloway sits entirely within Dumfries and Galloway Council. Dumfries and Galloway was not due to vote in 2026, so the figures below are the most recent ward results with vote counts available. About this layer ›
Council overlap
| Council | Share of seat |
|---|---|
| Dumfries and Galloway | 100% |
Most recent council ward results
Latest council result per ward, from the most recent election with vote counts available. How this table is sourced ›
Scottish council wards elect several councillors each by STV, so for these wards the table shows first preferences, not seats: the party with the most first-preference votes and each other party's share. 2022 figures are from the official cast-vote records.
| Ward | GE2024 winner | Latest council first preferences | Shift since GE2024 | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abbey | Labour 33.6%vs Conservative 28.3% | 2022 Conservative 36.7%SNP 31.1%, Labour 25.9%, Lib Dem 6.3% | - | 35.7% |
| Dee | Conservative 37.5%vs SNP 30.0% | No council data | - | - |
| Lochar | Conservative 30.2%vs Labour 29.4% | 2022 Conservative 39.8%SNP 33.5%, Labour 21.9%, Green 4.8% | - | 47.1% |
| Mid Galloway | Conservative 37.0%vs SNP 27.9% | No council data | - | - |
| Mid and Upper Nithsdale | Conservative 33.3%vs SNP 28.6% | 2022 Conservative 30.7%SNP 29.2%, Independent 27.4%, Labour 12.7% | - | 48.2% |
| Nith | Labour 33.5%vs SNP 29.4% | 2022 SNP 33.4%Conservative 28.3%, Labour 23.8%, Independent 9.8%, Green 4.8% | - | 47.4% |
| North West Dumfries | Labour 34.8%vs SNP 31.0% | 2022 SNP 39.5%Conservative 28.4%, Labour 27.2%, Green 4.8% | - | 38.7% |
| Wigtown West | Conservative 37.0%vs SNP 27.9% | No council data | - | - |
Projection trajectory
PollCheck's projection for Dumfries and Galloway at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.
Who has won Dumfries and Galloway at past general elections?
2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›
| Year | Result | MP | Lab | Con | LD | SNP | Majority | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | Lab hold | Russell Brown | 45.9% | 31.6% | 8.8% | 12.3% | 7,449 | 70.0% |
| 2015 | SNP gain from Lab | Richard Arkless | 24.7% | 29.9% | 1.7% | 41.4% | 6,514 | 75.2%+5.2 |
| 2017 | Con gain from SNP | Alister Jack | 20.9% | 43.3% | 2.4% | 32.4% | 5,643 | 69.5%-5.7 |
| 2019notional | Conservative winner | Alister Jack 2019 MP, pre-review boundary | 9.4% | 43.8% | 6.0% | 40.8% | 1,556 | 68.3%-1.2 |
| 2024 | Con hold | John Cooper | 25.7% | 29.6% | 4.6% | 27.5% | 930 | 58.3%-10.0 |
Earlier years are on pre-2024 boundaries; comparable results on the new boundary will be added when sourced.
Constituencies most like Dumfries and Galloway
Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Dumfries and Galloway. Politics shown for context.
- ↓Leave45.1 / 44.6vs 53.2
- ↓Under 3522.5 / 21.3vs 30.2
- ↑Age 65+31.4 / 30.3vs 22.7
- ↓Leave45.1 / 44.1vs 53.2
- ↑Age 65+31.4 / 29.6vs 22.7
- ↓Under 3522.5 / 23.9vs 30.2
- ↑Age 65+31.4 / 31.0vs 22.7
- ↓Leave45.1 / 43.3vs 53.2
- ↓Under 3522.5 / 22.1vs 30.2
- ↑Age 65+31.4 / 30.5vs 22.7
- ↓Under 3522.5 / 23.9vs 30.2
- ↓Leave45.1 / 47.4vs 53.2
- ↓Leave45.1 / 41.6vs 53.2
- ↓Under 3522.5 / 23.8vs 30.2
- ↓Private rent13.5 / 9.9vs 20.2
What would change this seat?
Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.
Related
Sources
Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›
Show full source list
- 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
- Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
- Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
- Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
- May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
- Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
- Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
- EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
- MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
- Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
- Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic model at the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls, built from the British Election Study Internet Panel (Fieldhouse et al.), Census 2021 (ONS) and Scotland's Census 2022 (NRS). The trajectory was recalculated with the current model, introduced in autumn 2026.
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