Chelsea and Fulham
London · Borough constituency
About the Chelsea and Fulham constituency
Chelsea and Fulham is a borough constituency in London. The sitting MP is Ben Coleman (Labour), first elected in July 2024. At the 2024 general election, Labour won with 39.4% to 39.1% for the Conservatives, a majority of 152 votes on a 60.0% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has the Conservatives on 37.9% and Labour on 30.6%, a margin of 7.3 points - a projected change of hands from Labour.
Who lives in Chelsea and Fulham? Constituency demographics
From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.
How did Chelsea and Fulham vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?
2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.
2024 general election
Current projection
Map of Chelsea and Fulham
Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from the 2021 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›
Chelsea and Fulham within Hammersmith and Fulham and Kensington and Chelsea
Chelsea and Fulham crosses council boundaries: Hammersmith and Fulham (68%), Kensington and Chelsea (32%). The figures below are from the 7 May 2026 council elections where held, otherwise the most recent available ward result. About this layer ›
Council overlap
| Council | Share of seat | Projection |
|---|---|---|
| Hammersmith and Fulham | 68% | View projection › |
| Kensington and Chelsea | 32% | View projection › |
Most recent council ward results
Latest council winner per ward - May 2026 results where the council voted, otherwise the most recent available result. How this table is sourced ›
| Ward | GE2024 winner | Latest council winner | Shift since GE2024 | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea Riverside | Conservative 43.7%vs Labour 36.9% | May 2026 Conservative 46.4%vs Labour 21.2% | Conservative share +2.7pp | 39.3% |
| Fulham Reach | Labour 47.9%vs Conservative 31.1% | May 2026 Labour 47.3%vs Conservative 22.9% | Labour share -0.6pp | 41.0% |
| Fulham Town | Conservative 39.8%vs Labour 35.3% | May 2026 Conservative 47.2%vs Labour 17.6% | Conservative share +7.4pp | 39.6% |
| Lillie | Labour 48.6%vs Conservative 29.2% | May 2026 Labour 41.2%vs Conservative 32.7% | Labour share -7.4pp | 37.3% |
| Munster | Conservative 38.9%vs Labour 36.2% | May 2026 Conservative 43.1%vs Labour 24.4% | Conservative share +4.2pp | 38.4% |
| Palace & Hurlingham | Conservative 46.1%vs Labour 35.3% | May 2026 Conservative 56.4%vs Labour 21.4% | Conservative share +10.3pp | 45.9% |
| Parsons Green & Sandford | Conservative 44.1%vs Labour 34.0% | May 2026 Conservative 50.2%vs Labour 17.9% | Conservative share +6.1pp | 41.3% |
| Redcliffe | Conservative 44.7%vs Labour 31.6% | May 2026 Conservative 63.6%vs Lib Dem 12.1% | Conservative share +18.9pp | 34.4% |
| Royal Hospital | Conservative 52.4%vs Labour 26.8% | May 2026 Conservative 68.9%vs Reform 13.6% | Conservative share +16.5pp | 40.6% |
| Sands End | Labour 42.6%vs Conservative 35.5% | May 2026 Conservative 36.6%vs Labour 34.1% | Labour→Conservative +4.8pp | 35.0% |
| Stanley | Conservative 47.1%vs Labour 32.6% | May 2026 Conservative 62.2%vs Labour 14.5% | Conservative share +15.2pp | 35.8% |
| Walham Green | Labour 50.0%vs Conservative 30.9% | May 2026 Labour 38.7%vs Conservative 33.7% | Labour share -11.3pp | 39.7% |
| West Kensington | Labour 51.0%vs Conservative 27.0% | May 2026 Labour 46.6%vs Conservative 17.9% | Labour share -4.5pp | 33.8% |
Projection trajectory
PollCheck's projection for Chelsea and Fulham at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.
Who has won Chelsea and Fulham at past general elections?
2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›
| Year | Result | MP | Lab | Con | LD | Majority | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | Con hold | Greg Hands | 18.5% | 60.5% | 16.2% | 16,722 | 60.2% |
| 2015 | Con hold | Greg Hands | 23.1% | 62.9% | 5.2% | 16,022 | 63.4%+3.2 |
| 2017 | Con hold | Greg Hands | 33.2% | 52.6% | 11.0% | 8,188 | 66.1%+2.7 |
| 2019notional | Conservative winner | Greg Hands 2019 MP, pre-review boundary | 29.1% | 45.5% | 23.8% | 8,993 | 71.6%+5.5 |
| 2024 | Lab gain from Con | Ben Coleman | 39.4% | 39.1% | 7.7% | 152 | 60.0%-11.6 |
Earlier years are on pre-2024 boundaries; comparable results on the new boundary will be added when sourced.
Constituencies most like Chelsea and Fulham
Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Chelsea and Fulham. Politics shown for context.
- ↑Graduate61.0 / 64.7vs 33.7
- ↓Owner-occupied36.1 / 37.5vs 61.9
- ↓Leave29.1 / 25.1vs 53.2
- ↑Graduate61.0 / 61.0vs 33.7
- ↓Leave29.1 / 27.8vs 53.2
- ↓Owner-occupied36.1 / 44.3vs 61.9
- ↓Owner-occupied36.1 / 36.0vs 61.9
- ↑Graduate61.0 / 58.2vs 33.7
- ↑Private rent38.5 / 35.9vs 20.2
- ↑Graduate61.0 / 60.3vs 33.7
- ↓Owner-occupied36.1 / 29.9vs 61.9
- ↓Leave29.1 / 30.5vs 53.2
- ↑Graduate61.0 / 65.2vs 33.7
- ↓Owner-occupied36.1 / 36.9vs 61.9
- ↓Leave29.1 / 22.1vs 53.2
What would change this seat?
Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.
Related
Sources
Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›
Show full source list
- 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
- Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
- Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
- Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
- May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
- Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
- Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
- EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
- MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
- Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
- Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.
If you spot a data issue, please let us know.