Hampstead and Highgate
London · Borough constituency
About the Hampstead and Highgate constituency
Hampstead and Highgate is a borough constituency in London. The sitting MP is Tulip Siddiq (Labour), first elected in May 2015. At the 2024 general election, Labour won with 48.3% to 17.4% for the Conservatives, a majority of 14,970 votes on a 60.7% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has Labour on 39.1% and the Conservatives on 19.2%, a margin of 19.9 points.
Who lives in Hampstead and Highgate? Constituency demographics
From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.
How did Hampstead and Highgate vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?
2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.
2024 general election
Current projection
Map of Hampstead and Highgate
Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from the 2021 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›
Hampstead and Highgate within Camden and Haringey
Hampstead and Highgate crosses council boundaries: Camden (89%), Haringey (11%). The figures below are from the 7 May 2026 council elections where held, otherwise the most recent available ward result. About this layer ›
Council overlap
| Council | Share of seat | Projection |
|---|---|---|
| Camden | 89% | View projection › |
| Haringey | 11% | View projection › |
Most recent council ward results
Latest council winner per ward - May 2026 results where the council voted, otherwise the most recent available result. How this table is sourced ›
| Ward | GE2024 winner | Latest council winner | Shift since GE2024 | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belsize | Labour 37.6%vs Conservative 21.4% | May 2026 Lib Dem 34.8%vs Conservative 29.2% | Labour→Lib Dem +20.3pp | 39.2% |
| Fortune Green | Labour 47.6%vs Lib Dem 17.0% | May 2026 Lib Dem 39.2%vs Green 21.5% | Labour→Lib Dem +24.3pp | 37.5% |
| Frognal | Labour 40.9%vs Conservative 29.5% | May 2026 Conservative 45.4%vs Green 16.2% | Labour→Conservative +20.4pp | 39.1% |
| Gospel Oak | Labour 55.6%vs Green 13.8% | May 2026 Green 34.6%vs Labour 34.2% | Labour→Green +21.1pp | 39.2% |
| Hampstead Town | Labour 43.6%vs Conservative 23.6% | May 2026 Lib Dem 37.7%vs Conservative 32.5% | Labour→Lib Dem +27.6pp | 48.1% |
| Highgate | Labour 48.9%vs Lib Dem 17.3% | May 2026 Lib Dem 34.6%vs Green 26.1% | Labour→Lib Dem +22.5pp | 50.7% |
| Highgate | Labour 53.6%vs Green 16.7% | May 2026 Labour 40.1%vs Green 40.0% | Labour share -13.5pp | 52.6% |
| Kilburn | Labour 52.8%vs Green 14.4% | May 2026 Green 36.1%vs Labour 34.7% | Labour→Green +19.8pp | 30.4% |
| Primrose Hill | Labour 41.0%vs Others 25.4% | May 2026 Labour 33.9%vs Conservative 27.0% | Labour share -7.1pp | 39.1% |
| South Hampstead | Labour 49.9%vs Conservative 17.8% | May 2026 Labour 29.2%vs Lib Dem 22.4% | Labour share -20.6pp | 39.5% |
| West Hampstead | Labour 48.0%vs Lib Dem 14.7% | May 2026 Lib Dem 41.2%vs Labour 22.6% | Labour→Lib Dem +25.9pp | 36.5% |
Projection trajectory
PollCheck's projection for Hampstead and Highgate at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.
Who has won Hampstead and Highgate at past general elections?
2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›
| Year | Result | MP | Lab | Con | LD | Majority | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010predecessor | Lab hold | Glenda Jackson Hampstead and Kilburn MP | 32.8% | 32.7% | 31.2% | 42 | 65.7% |
| 2015predecessor | Lab hold | Tulip Siddiq Hampstead and Kilburn MP | 44.4% | 42.3% | 5.6% | 1,138 | 67.3%+1.6 |
| 2017predecessor | Lab hold | Tulip Siddiq Hampstead and Kilburn MP | 59.0% | 32.4% | 7.0% | 15,560 | 70.4%+3.1 |
| 2019notional | Labour winner | Tulip Siddiq Hampstead and Kilburn MP, pre-review boundary | 47.6% | 23.2% | 24.3% | 13,400 | 77.3% |
| 2024 | Lab hold | Tulip Siddiq | 48.3% | 17.4% | 12.7% | 14,970 | 60.7%-16.6 |
Hampstead and Highgate was created or substantially redrawn by the 2023 boundary review. Pre-2024 rows below are for the predecessor seat Hampstead and Kilburn (the seat that covered most of this area), so vote shares and majorities aren’t directly comparable to the post-2024 figures.
Constituencies most like Hampstead and Highgate
Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Hampstead and Highgate. Politics shown for context.
- ↑Graduate64.7 / 61.0vs 33.7
- ↓Owner-occupied37.5 / 36.1vs 61.9
- ↓Leave25.1 / 29.1vs 53.2
- ↑Graduate64.7 / 61.0vs 33.7
- ↓Leave25.1 / 27.8vs 53.2
- ↓Owner-occupied37.5 / 44.3vs 61.9
- ↑Graduate64.7 / 60.3vs 33.7
- ↓Owner-occupied37.5 / 29.9vs 61.9
- ↓Leave25.1 / 30.5vs 53.2
- ↓Leave25.1 / 29.1vs 53.2
- ↓Owner-occupied37.5 / 38.9vs 61.9
- ↑Graduate64.7 / 54.8vs 33.7
- ↑Graduate64.7 / 65.2vs 33.7
- ↓Leave25.1 / 22.1vs 53.2
- ↓Owner-occupied37.5 / 36.9vs 61.9
What would change this seat?
Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.
Related
Sources
Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›
Show full source list
- 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
- Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
- Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
- Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
- May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
- Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
- Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
- EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
- MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
- Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
- Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.
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