Constituency profile

Battersea

London · Borough constituency · Wandsworth borough

Marsha De Cordova MP
Sitting MP

Marsha De Cordova

Labour

First elected June 2017

Current PollCheck projection

Region & type
London
Borough constituency, Wandsworth council
Last 5 GE winners
CCLLL
Labour 3/5, Conservative 2/5
EU referendum 2016
22.1% Leave
UK average 51.9%; -29.8pp below mean
Current outlook
Labour +15.0pp
vs Conservative 24.5%
LondonStrong Remain areaGraduate-heavyDiverse

About the Battersea constituency

Battersea is a borough constituency in London. The sitting MP is Marsha De Cordova (Labour), first elected in June 2017. At the 2024 general election, Labour won with 48.8% to 23.2% for the Conservatives, a majority of 12,039 votes on a 64.6% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has Labour on 39.5% and the Conservatives on 24.5%, a margin of 15.0 points.

Who lives in Battersea? Constituency demographics

From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.

Leave vote 2016
22.1%
UK average ~52%
Degree or above
65.2%
UK average ~34%
No qualifications
9.3%
UK average ~18%
Owner-occupied
36.9%
UK average ~63%
Renting (social + private)
60.7%
UK average ~36%
Median age
32.8
UK median ~40
Age 65+
10.1%
UK average ~19%
Age 18-34
47.8%
UK average ~28%

How did Battersea vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?

2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.

2024 general election

Lab hold · majority 12,039 votes (25.6pp) · turnout 64.6%

Current projection

If a general election were held today, at current poll average

Map of Battersea

Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from the 2021 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›

Council layer (not Westminster)

Battersea within Wandsworth

Battersea sits entirely within Wandsworth Council. The figures below are from the council elections held on 7 May 2026. About this layer ›

Council overlap

CouncilShare of seatProjection
Wandsworth
60 LSOAs
100%View projection ›

Most recent council ward results

Latest council winner per ward - May 2026 results where the council voted, otherwise the most recent available result. How this table is sourced ›

Ward GE2024 winner Latest council winner Shift since GE2024 Turnout
BalhamLabour 49.1%vs Conservative 24.2%May 2026 Conservative 38.9%vs Labour 36.8%
Labour→Conservative
+13.5pp
-
Battersea ParkLabour 51.2%vs Conservative 22.0%May 2026 Labour 34.1%vs Conservative 32.2%
Labour share
-17.1pp
-
FalconbrookLabour 48.0%vs Conservative 17.6%May 2026 Labour 44.9%vs Green 23.1%
Labour share
-3.1pp
-
LavenderLabour 47.5%vs Conservative 24.7%May 2026 Conservative 44.5%vs Labour 26.7%
Labour→Conservative
+20.3pp
-
Nine ElmsLabour 42.1%vs Conservative 24.1%May 2026 Conservative 40.8%vs Labour 21.1%
Labour→Conservative
+18.8pp
-
NorthcoteLabour 43.0%vs Conservative 29.1%May 2026 Conservative 51.8%vs Labour 18.7%
Labour→Conservative
+23.4pp
-
Shaftesbury & QueenstownLabour 52.6%vs Conservative 19.4%May 2026 Labour 46.0%vs Conservative 23.3%
Labour share
-6.5pp
-
St Mary'sLabour 50.4%vs Conservative 23.3%May 2026 Conservative 35.5%vs Labour 32.9%
Labour→Conservative
+14.9pp
-
Wandsworth TownLabour 52.2%vs Conservative 22.2%May 2026 Labour 37.4%vs Conservative 34.7%
Labour share
-14.8pp
-

Projection trajectory

PollCheck's projection for Battersea at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.

Who has won Battersea at past general elections?

2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›

Year Result MP Lab Con LD Right (Ref/UKIP) Green Other Majority Turnout
2010Con gain from LabJane Ellison35.1%47.3%14.7%1.0% UKIP1.1%0.7%5,97765.7%
2015Con holdJane Ellison36.8%52.4%4.4%3.1% UKIP3.3%-7,93867.0%+1.3
2017Lab gain from ConMarsha De Cordova45.9%41.5%8.0%0.6% UKIP1.6%2.3%2,41671.0%+4.0
2019notionalLabour winnerMarsha De Cordova 2019 MP, pre-review boundary46.4%35.4%15.1%-2.5%0.6%6,02676.3%+5.3
2024Lab holdMarsha De Cordova48.8%23.2%10.3%6.0% Ref9.0%2.7%12,03964.6%-11.7

Earlier years are on pre-2024 boundaries; comparable results on the new boundary will be added when sourced.

Constituencies most like Battersea

Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Battersea. Politics shown for context.

What would change this seat?

Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.

Related

Sources

Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›

Show full source list
  • 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
  • Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
  • Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
  • Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
  • May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
  • Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
  • Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
  • EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
  • MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
  • Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
  • Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.

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