Ealing Central and Acton
London · Borough constituency
About the Ealing Central and Acton constituency
Ealing Central and Acton is a borough constituency in London. The sitting MP is Dr Rupa Huq (Labour), first elected in May 2015. At the 2024 general election, Labour won with 46.8% to 17.5% for the Conservatives, a majority of 13,995 votes on a 60.9% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has Labour on 42.6% and the Conservatives on 17.1%, a margin of 25.5 points.
Who lives in Ealing Central and Acton? Constituency demographics
From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.
How did Ealing Central and Acton vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?
2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.
2024 general election
Current projection
Map of Ealing Central and Acton
Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from the 2021 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›
Ealing Central and Acton within Ealing and Hammersmith and Fulham
Ealing Central and Acton crosses council boundaries: Ealing (85%), Hammersmith and Fulham (15%). The figures below are from the 7 May 2026 council elections where held, otherwise the most recent available ward result. About this layer ›
Council overlap
| Council | Share of seat | Projection |
|---|---|---|
| Ealing | 85% | View projection › |
| Hammersmith and Fulham | 15% | View projection › |
Recent council by-elections
Council ward by-elections held inside this seat, most recent first. The result column shows which party won; the share column shows the top three parties’ vote shares on the day.
| Date | Ward | Result | Top 3 vote shares |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun 2026 | North Acton | Grn HOLD | Grn 30% Lab 24% LD 20% |
Most recent council ward results
Latest council winner per ward - May 2026 results where the council voted, otherwise the most recent available result. How this table is sourced ›
| Ward | GE2024 winner | Latest council winner | Shift since GE2024 | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| College Park & Old Oak | Labour 48.5%vs Green 13.8% | May 2026 Labour 53.5%vs Reform 17.9% | Labour share +5.0pp | 31.0% |
| Ealing Broadway | Labour 41.3%vs Conservative 23.2% | May 2026 Conservative 33.8%vs Lib Dem 28.2% | Labour→Conservative +19.0pp | - |
| Ealing Common | Labour 44.8%vs Conservative 19.3% | May 2026 Lib Dem 39.5%vs Green 19.1% | Labour→Lib Dem +24.9pp | - |
| East Acton | Labour 53.6%vs Conservative 15.6% | May 2026 Labour 30.4%vs Green 26.0% | Labour share -23.2pp | - |
| Hanger Hill | Labour 40.0%vs Conservative 21.6% | May 2026 Lib Dem 38.5%vs Conservative 21.5% | Labour→Lib Dem +25.9pp | - |
| North Acton | Labour 51.2%vs Conservative 15.9% | May 2026 Labour 32.3%vs Green 28.2% | Labour share -18.9pp | - |
| South Acton | Labour 52.8%vs Conservative 14.7% | May 2026 Labour 30.2%vs Green 26.3% | Labour share -22.5pp | - |
| Southfield | Labour 40.5%vs Lib Dem 19.4% | May 2026 Lib Dem 48.0%vs Labour 15.6% | Labour→Lib Dem +26.7pp | - |
| Wormholt | Labour 53.9%vs Conservative 13.4% | May 2026 Labour 52.4%vs Green 14.1% | Labour share -1.5pp | 38.1% |
Projection trajectory
PollCheck's projection for Ealing Central and Acton at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.
Who has won Ealing Central and Acton at past general elections?
2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›
| Year | Result | MP | Lab | Con | LD | Majority | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | Con gain from Lab | Angie Bray | 30.1% | 38.0% | 27.6% | 3,716 | 67.2% |
| 2015 | Lab gain from Con | Rupa Huq | 43.2% | 42.7% | 6.1% | 274 | 71.3%+4.1 |
| 2017 | Lab hold | Rupa Huq | 59.7% | 34.7% | 5.6% | 13,807 | 74.6%+3.3 |
| 2019notional | Labour winner | Rupa Huq 2019 MP, pre-review boundary | 52.3% | 25.6% | 17.3% | 14,133 | 70.3%-4.3 |
| 2024 | Lab hold | Rupa Huq | 46.8% | 17.5% | 12.7% | 13,995 | 60.9%-9.4 |
Earlier years are on pre-2024 boundaries; comparable results on the new boundary will be added when sourced.
Constituencies most like Ealing Central and Acton
Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Ealing Central and Acton. Politics shown for context.
- ↓Owner-occupied38.9 / 36.0vs 61.9
- ↑Graduate54.8 / 58.2vs 33.7
- ↑Private rent38.5 / 35.9vs 20.2
- ↓Leave29.1 / 25.6vs 53.2
- ↑Graduate54.8 / 61.8vs 33.7
- ↑Private rent38.5 / 36.0vs 20.2
- ↓Leave29.1 / 27.8vs 53.2
- ↑Graduate54.8 / 61.0vs 33.7
- ↓Owner-occupied38.9 / 44.3vs 61.9
- ↓Leave29.1 / 25.1vs 53.2
- ↓Owner-occupied38.9 / 37.5vs 61.9
- ↑Graduate54.8 / 64.7vs 33.7
- ↓Leave29.1 / 30.5vs 53.2
- ↓Owner-occupied38.9 / 29.9vs 61.9
- ↑Graduate54.8 / 60.3vs 33.7
What would change this seat?
Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.
Related
Sources
Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›
Show full source list
- 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
- Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
- Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
- Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
- May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
- Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
- Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
- EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
- MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
- Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
- Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.
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