Coatbridge and Bellshill
Scotland · Burgh constituency · North Lanarkshire
About the Coatbridge and Bellshill constituency
Coatbridge and Bellshill is a burgh constituency in Scotland. The sitting MP is Frank McNally (Labour), MP since July 2024. At the 2024 general election, Labour won with 49.8% to 33.4% for the SNP, a majority of 6,344 votes on a 53.3% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has the SNP on 34.9% and Labour on 30.6%, a margin of 4.3 points - a projected change of hands from Labour.
Who lives in Coatbridge and Bellshill? Constituency demographics
From Scotland's 2022 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.
How did Coatbridge and Bellshill vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?
2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.
2024 general election
Current projection
Map of Coatbridge and Bellshill
Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from Scotland's 2022 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›
How Coatbridge and Bellshill voted at the Scottish Parliament election (7 May 2026)
Coatbridge and Bellshill crosses multiple Holyrood boundaries (approximate share of the seat's area in each): Coatbridge and Chryston (62%), Uddingston and Bellshill (32%), Strathkelvin and Bearsden (2%), Cumbernauld and Kilsyth (2%), Motherwell and Wishaw (1%). Scotland uses the Additional Member System: voters cast one ballot for a constituency MSP and a second for a regional list. The figures below are the constituency vote.
| Holyrood constituency | Approx. share of Coatbridge and Bellshill's area | Winner | Runner-up | Elected MSP |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coatbridge and Chryston | 62% | SNP 49.1% | Labour 26.1% | Fulton MacGregor |
| Uddingston and Bellshill | 32% | SNP 41.5% | Labour 29.1% | Steven Bonnar |
| Strathkelvin and Bearsden | 2% | Liberal Democrats 39.5% | SNP 33.0% | Adam Harley |
| Cumbernauld and Kilsyth | 2% | SNP 50.8% | Labour 23.8% | Jamie Hepburn |
| Motherwell and Wishaw | 1% | SNP 43.7% | Labour 23.6% | Clare Adamson |
Holyrood 2026 constituency results from official declarations. Overlap percentages are approximate shares of the Westminster seat's land area, not of its electorate. They come from an area overlay of the post-2024 Westminster boundary on simplified Holyrood second-review boundaries (in force from 7 May 2026), so they do not always sum to 100% and small overlaps may be artefacts of the simplified boundaries.
Coatbridge and Bellshill within North Lanarkshire
Coatbridge and Bellshill sits entirely within North Lanarkshire Council. North Lanarkshire was not due to vote in 2026, so the figures below are the most recent ward results with vote counts available. About this layer ›
Council overlap
| Council | Share of seat |
|---|---|
| North Lanarkshire | 100% |
Recent council by-elections
Council ward by-elections held inside this seat, most recent first. The result column shows which party won; the share column shows the top three parties’ vote shares on the day.
| Date | Ward | Result | Top 3 vote shares |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct 2024 | Mossend and Holytown | Lab HOLD | Lab 36% SNP 35% Ref 16% |
| 18 Jun 2023 | Bellshill | Lab GAIN from SNP | Lab 52% SNP 27% Other 10% |
Most recent council ward results
Latest council result per ward, from the most recent election with vote counts available. How this table is sourced ›
Scottish council wards elect several councillors each by STV, so for these wards the table shows first preferences, not seats: the party with the most first-preference votes and each other party's share. 2022 figures are from the official cast-vote records.
| Ward | GE2024 winner | Latest council first preferences | Shift since GE2024 | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bellshill | Labour 52.3%vs SNP 32.4% | 2022 SNP 40.8%Labour 38.8%, Conservative 13.7%, Independent 4.5%, Others 2.2% | - | 37.7% |
| Coatbridge North and Glenboig | Labour 49.7%vs SNP 36.5% | No council data | - | - |
| Coatbridge South | Labour 50.0%vs SNP 39.2% | 2022 SNP 53.2%Labour 34.9%, Conservative 6.7%, Independent 3.1%, Green 2.1% | - | 36.8% |
| Coatbridge West | Labour 52.2%vs SNP 35.5% | 2022 SNP 48.0%Labour 39.4%, Others 6.5%, Conservative 6.2% | - | 37.4% |
| Mossend and Holytown | Labour 53.4%vs SNP 32.5% | 2022 SNP 42.6%Labour 39.4%, Conservative 12.8%, Others 5.2% | - | 36.7% |
| Thorniewood | Labour 56.1%vs SNP 30.1% | 2022 Labour 43.4%SNP 36.8%, Independent 12.7%, Conservative 7.1% | - | 41.0% |
Projection trajectory
PollCheck's projection for Coatbridge and Bellshill at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.
Who has won Coatbridge and Bellshill at past general elections?
2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›
| Year | Result | MP | Lab | Con | LD | SNP | Majority | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010predecessor | Lab hold | Tom Clarke Coatbridge, Chryston and Bellshill MP | 66.6% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 16.8% | 20,714 | 59.4% |
| 2015predecessor | SNP gain from Lab | Phil Boswell Coatbridge, Chryston and Bellshill MP | 33.9% | 6.3% | 1.1% | 56.6% | 11,501 | 68.6%+9.2 |
| 2017predecessor | Lab gain from SNP | Hugh Gaffney Coatbridge, Chryston and Bellshill MP | 42.6% | 16.2% | 2.0% | 39.1% | 1,586 | 63.3%-5.3 |
| 2019notional | Scottish National Party winner | Steven Bonnar Coatbridge, Chryston and Bellshill MP, pre-review boundary | 36.3% | 11.9% | 3.0% | 47.3% | 5,084 | 63.3% |
| 2024 | Lab gain from SNP | Frank McNally | 49.8% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 33.4% | 6,344 | 53.3%-10.0 |
Coatbridge and Bellshill was created or substantially redrawn by the 2023 boundary review. Pre-2024 rows below are for the predecessor seat Coatbridge, Chryston and Bellshill (the seat that covered most of this area), so vote shares and majorities aren’t directly comparable to the post-2024 figures.
Constituencies most like Coatbridge and Bellshill
Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Coatbridge and Bellshill. Politics shown for context.
- ↓Leave38.8 / 39.8vs 53.2
- ↓Private rent8.2 / 8.3vs 20.2
- ↑Social rent29.3 / 28.2vs 16.8
- ↓Leave38.8 / 36.8vs 53.2
- ↑Social rent29.3 / 30.7vs 16.8
- ↓Private rent8.2 / 8.0vs 20.2
- ↓Leave38.8 / 38.0vs 53.2
- ↓Private rent8.2 / 8.1vs 20.2
- ↑Social rent29.3 / 33.5vs 16.8
- ↓Private rent8.2 / 8.3vs 20.2
- ↓Leave38.8 / 41.2vs 53.2
- ↑Social rent29.3 / 25.8vs 16.8
- ↓Private rent8.2 / 8.7vs 20.2
- ↓Leave38.8 / 42.1vs 53.2
- ↑Social rent29.3 / 25.5vs 16.8
What would change this seat?
Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.
Related
Sources
Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›
Show full source list
- 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
- Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
- Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
- Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
- May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
- Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
- Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
- EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
- MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
- Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
- Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic model at the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls, built from the British Election Study Internet Panel (Fieldhouse et al.), Census 2021 (ONS) and Scotland's Census 2022 (NRS). The trajectory was recalculated with the current model, introduced in autumn 2026.
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