Constituency profile

Motherwell, Wishaw and Carluke

Scotland · County constituency · North Lanarkshire borough

Pamela Nash MP
Sitting MP

Pamela Nash

Labour

First elected July 2024

Current PollCheck projection

Region & type
Scotland
County constituency, North Lanarkshire council
Last 5 GE winners
LSSSL
SNP 3/5, Labour 2/5
EU referendum 2016
36.8% Leave
UK average 51.9%; -15.1pp below mean
Current outlook
Labour +3.8pp
vs SNP 32.7%
ScottishRemain-leaning

About the Motherwell, Wishaw and Carluke constituency

Motherwell, Wishaw and Carluke is a county constituency in Scotland. The sitting MP is Pamela Nash (Labour), first elected in July 2024. At the 2024 general election, Labour won with 49.1% to 31.0% for the SNP, a majority of 7,085 votes on a 54.4% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has Labour on 36.5% and the SNP on 32.7%, a margin of 3.8 points.

Who lives in Motherwell, Wishaw and Carluke? Constituency demographics

From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.

Leave vote 2016
36.8%
UK average ~52%
Degree or above
39.9%
UK average ~34%
No qualifications
20.3%
UK average ~18%
Owner-occupied
60.0%
UK average ~63%
Renting (social + private)
38.7%
UK average ~36%
Median age
42.6
UK median ~40
Age 65+
22.1%
UK average ~19%
Age 18-34
28.2%
UK average ~28%

How did Motherwell, Wishaw and Carluke vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?

2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.

2024 general election

Lab gain from SNP · majority 7,085 votes (18.1pp) · turnout 54.4%

Current projection

If a general election were held today, at current poll average

Map of Motherwell, Wishaw and Carluke

Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from Scotland's 2022 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›

Holyrood 2026 layer

How Motherwell, Wishaw and Carluke voted at the Scottish Parliament election (7 May 2026)

Motherwell, Wishaw and Carluke crosses multiple Holyrood boundaries: Clydesdale (78%), Motherwell and Wishaw (17%), Uddingston and Bellshill (2%), Hamilton, Larkhall and Stonehouse (1%), Almond Valley (1%). Scotland uses the Additional Member System: voters cast one ballot for a constituency MSP and a second for a regional list. The figures below are the constituency vote.

Holyrood constituencyShare of Motherwell, Wishaw and CarlukeWinnerRunner-upElected MSP
Clydesdale78%SNP 36.3%Labour 24.1%Màiri McAllan
Motherwell and Wishaw17%SNP 43.7%Labour 23.6%Clare Adamson
Uddingston and Bellshill2%SNP 40.9%Labour 30.2%Steven Bonnar
Hamilton, Larkhall and Stonehouse1%SNP 37.8%Labour 29.2%Alex Kerr
Almond Valley1%SNP 46.3%Labour 21.9%Angela Constance

Holyrood 2026 constituency results from official declarations. Overlap percentages are area-based using the post-2024 Westminster boundary against the new Holyrood second-review boundary (in force from 7 May 2026).

Council layer (not Westminster)

Motherwell, Wishaw and Carluke within North Lanarkshire

Motherwell, Wishaw and Carluke sits entirely within North Lanarkshire Council. North Lanarkshire was not due to vote in 2026, so the figures below are the most recent ward results available. About this layer ›

Council overlap

CouncilShare of seat
North Lanarkshire
1 LSOAs
100%

Recent council by-elections

Council ward by-elections held inside this seat, most recent first. The result column shows which party won; the share column shows the top three parties’ vote shares on the day.

DateWardResultTop 3 vote shares
18 Nov 2023Motherwell South East and Ravenscraig
North Lanarkshire
Lab GAIN from SNP
18 Jun 2023Bellshill
North Lanarkshire
Lab GAIN from SNP

Most recent council ward results

Latest council winner per ward - May 2026 results where the council voted, otherwise the most recent available result. How this table is sourced ›

Ward GE2024 winner Latest council winner Shift since GE2024 Turnout
BellshillLabour 52.3%vs SNP 32.4%2022 SNP 40.8%vs Labour 38.8%-37.7%
Clydesdale NorthLabour 50.2%vs SNP 27.1%2022 Labour 33.8%vs SNP 33.4%-47.8%
Clydesdale WestLabour 55.5%vs SNP 28.7%2022 Labour 38.2%vs SNP 32.7%-47.1%
Motherwell NorthLabour 52.3%vs SNP 34.5%2022 SNP 46.6%vs Labour 37.3%-38.1%
Motherwell South East and RavenscraigLabour 49.0%vs SNP 34.4%2022 SNP 50.9%vs Labour 37.2%-32.8%
Motherwell WestLabour 48.5%vs SNP 32.8%2022 SNP 41.1%vs Labour 31.9%-41.4%
MurdostounLabour 53.8%vs SNP 31.4%2022 Independent 32.5%vs SNP 29.7%-39.5%
WishawLabour 50.3%vs SNP 33.7%2022 SNP 45.4%vs Labour 36.0%-39.4%

Projection trajectory

PollCheck's projection for Motherwell, Wishaw and Carluke at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.

Who has won Motherwell, Wishaw and Carluke at past general elections?

2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›

Year Result MP Lab Con LD Right (Ref/UKIP) Green Other Majority Turnout
2010predecessorLab holdJim Hood Lanark and Hamilton East MP50.0%15.0%11.3%1.3% UKIP-1.4%13,47862.3%
2015predecessorSNP gain from LabAngela Crawley Lanark and Hamilton East MP30.5%15.9%2.2%2.6% UKIP--10,10069.1%+6.8
2017predecessorSNP holdAngela Crawley Lanark and Hamilton East MP31.9%32.1%2.4%1.1% UKIP--26665.3%-3.8
2019notionalScottish National Party winnerAngela Crawley Lanark and Hamilton East MP, pre-review boundary27.5%21.2%4.0%1.4% Brx-45.9%8,29462.1%
2024Lab gain from SNPPamela Nash49.1%6.2%2.1%7.7% Ref3.1%0.9%7,08554.4%-7.7

Motherwell, Wishaw and Carluke was created or substantially redrawn by the 2023 boundary review. Pre-2024 rows below are for the predecessor seat Lanark and Hamilton East (the seat that covered most of this area), so vote shares and majorities aren’t directly comparable to the post-2024 figures.

Constituencies most like Motherwell, Wishaw and Carluke

Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Motherwell, Wishaw and Carluke. Politics shown for context.

What would change this seat?

Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.

Related

Sources

Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›

Show full source list
  • 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
  • Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
  • Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
  • Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
  • May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
  • Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
  • Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
  • EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
  • MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
  • Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
  • Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.

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