Dulwich and West Norwood
London · Borough constituency
About the Dulwich and West Norwood constituency
Dulwich and West Norwood is a borough constituency in London. The sitting MP is Helen Hayes (Labour), first elected in May 2015. At the 2024 general election, Labour won with 60.3% to 18.9% for the Greens, a majority of 18,789 votes on a 61.1% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has Labour on 48.1% and the Greens on 20.2%, a margin of 27.9 points.
Who lives in Dulwich and West Norwood? Constituency demographics
From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.
How did Dulwich and West Norwood vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?
2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.
2024 general election
Current projection
Map of Dulwich and West Norwood
Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from the 2021 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›
Dulwich and West Norwood within Lambeth and Southwark
Dulwich and West Norwood crosses council boundaries: Lambeth (72%), Southwark (28%). The figures below are from the 7 May 2026 council elections where held, otherwise the most recent available ward result. About this layer ›
Council overlap
| Council | Share of seat | Projection |
|---|---|---|
| Lambeth | 72% | View projection › |
| Southwark | 28% | View projection › |
Most recent council ward results
Latest council winner per ward - May 2026 results where the council voted, otherwise the most recent available result. How this table is sourced ›
| Ward | GE2024 winner | Latest council winner | Shift since GE2024 | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brixton North | Labour 62.5%vs Green 15.6% | May 2026 Labour 40.5%vs Green 39.4% | Labour share -22.0pp | - |
| Brixton Windrush | Labour 62.7%vs Green 20.1% | May 2026 Green 47.3%vs Labour 36.5% | Labour→Green +26.7pp | - |
| Champion Hill | Labour 64.8%vs Green 16.2% | May 2026 Labour 46.3%vs Green 38.3% | Labour share -18.6pp | 44.0% |
| Dulwich Village | Labour 54.8%vs Conservative 15.5% | May 2026 Labour 36.9%vs Lib Dem 27.4% | Labour share -17.9pp | 61.6% |
| Dulwich Wood | Labour 62.7%vs Green 14.1% | May 2026 Labour 40.5%vs Green 27.5% | Labour share -22.1pp | 46.1% |
| Gipsy Hill | Labour 59.4%vs Green 23.9% | May 2026 Green 50.8%vs Labour 34.4% | Labour→Green +25.9pp | - |
| Herne Hill & Loughborough Junction | Labour 59.9%vs Green 24.3% | May 2026 Green 53.1%vs Labour 33.3% | Labour→Green +27.7pp | - |
| Knight's Hill | Labour 58.6%vs Green 19.0% | May 2026 Green 43.9%vs Labour 38.8% | Labour→Green +22.4pp | - |
| St Martin's | Labour 59.9%vs Green 16.2% | May 2026 Labour 42.5%vs Green 24.5% | Labour share -17.4pp | - |
| West Dulwich | Labour 60.2%vs Green 17.6% | May 2026 Green 37.7%vs Labour 33.5% | Labour→Green +23.4pp | - |
Projection trajectory
PollCheck's projection for Dulwich and West Norwood at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.
Who has won Dulwich and West Norwood at past general elections?
2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›
| Year | Result | MP | Lab | Con | LD | Majority | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | Lab hold | Tessa Jowell | 46.6% | 22.2% | 27.2% | 9,365 | 66.2% |
| 2015 | Lab hold | Helen Hayes | 54.1% | 22.7% | 9.8% | 16,122 | 67.1%+0.9 |
| 2017 | Lab hold | Helen Hayes | 69.6% | 19.5% | 8.0% | 28,156 | 71.9%+4.8 |
| 2019notional | Labour winner | Helen Hayes 2019 MP, pre-review boundary | 64.5% | 16.6% | 1.0% | 24,963 | 70.2%-1.7 |
| 2024 | Lab hold | Helen Hayes | 60.3% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 18,789 | 61.1%-9.1 |
Earlier years are on pre-2024 boundaries; comparable results on the new boundary will be added when sourced.
Constituencies most like Dulwich and West Norwood
Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Dulwich and West Norwood. Politics shown for context.
- ↓Leave22.9 / 29.9vs 53.2
- ↓Owner-occupied39.9 / 32.5vs 61.9
- ↑Graduate56.3 / 54.2vs 33.7
- ↓Leave22.9 / 21.5vs 53.2
- ↑Graduate56.3 / 60.3vs 33.7
- ↓Owner-occupied39.9 / 31.8vs 61.9
- ↓Leave22.9 / 28.4vs 53.2
- ↑Graduate56.3 / 57.3vs 33.7
- ↓Age 65+11.8 / 12.6vs 22.7
- ↑Graduate56.3 / 55.4vs 33.7
- ↓Owner-occupied39.9 / 34.0vs 61.9
- ↑Social rent33.9 / 32.2vs 16.8
- ↓Leave22.9 / 20.5vs 53.2
- ↓Owner-occupied39.9 / 29.0vs 61.9
- ↑Social rent33.9 / 37.1vs 16.8
What would change this seat?
Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.
Related
Sources
Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›
Show full source list
- 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
- Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
- Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
- Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
- May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
- Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
- Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
- EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
- MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
- Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
- Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.
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