Constituency profile

Hackney North and Stoke Newington

London · Borough constituency · Hackney borough

Ms Diane Abbott MP
Sitting MP

Ms Diane Abbott

Independent

First elected June 1987

Current PollCheck projection

Region & type
London
Borough constituency, Hackney council
Last 5 GE winners
LLLLL
Labour 5/5
EU referendum 2016
20.5% Leave
UK average 51.9%; -31.4pp below mean
Current outlook
Labour +20.0pp
vs Green 29.2%
LondonStrong Remain areaGraduate-heavyDiverse

About the Hackney North and Stoke Newington constituency

Hackney North and Stoke Newington is a borough constituency in London. The sitting MP is Ms Diane Abbott (Independent), first elected in June 1987. At the 2024 general election, Labour won with 59.5% to 22.6% for the Greens, a majority of 15,080 votes on a 52.6% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has Labour on 49.2% and the Greens on 29.2%, a margin of 20.0 points.

Who lives in Hackney North and Stoke Newington? Constituency demographics

From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.

Leave vote 2016
20.5%
UK average ~52%
Degree or above
48.9%
UK average ~34%
No qualifications
18.7%
UK average ~18%
Owner-occupied
29.0%
UK average ~63%
Renting (social + private)
69.2%
UK average ~36%
Median age
32.7
UK median ~40
Age 65+
10.6%
UK average ~19%
Age 18-34
42.7%
UK average ~28%

How did Hackney North and Stoke Newington vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?

2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.

2024 general election

Lab hold · majority 15,080 votes (36.9pp) · turnout 52.6%

Current projection

If a general election were held today, at current poll average

Map of Hackney North and Stoke Newington

Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from the 2021 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›

Council layer (not Westminster)

Hackney North and Stoke Newington within Hackney

Hackney North and Stoke Newington sits entirely within Hackney Council. The figures below are from the council elections held on 7 May 2026. About this layer ›

Council overlap

CouncilShare of seatProjection
Hackney
67 LSOAs
100%View projection ›

Most recent council ward results

Latest council winner per ward - May 2026 results where the council voted, otherwise the most recent available result. How this table is sourced ›

Ward GE2024 winner Latest council winner Shift since GE2024 Turnout
CazenoveLabour 60.8%vs Green 20.4%May 2026 Conservative 37.6%vs Labour 26.8%
Labour→Conservative
+32.4pp
41.6%
ClissoldLabour 61.1%vs Green 24.0%May 2026 Labour 41.5%vs Green 38.6%
Labour share
-19.6pp
46.6%
Hackney DownsLabour 55.3%vs Green 30.8%May 2026 Green 64.6%vs Labour 26.9%
Labour→Green
+31.1pp
43.7%
King's ParkLabour 64.1%vs Green 20.1%May 2026 Green 53.4%vs Labour 37.8%
Labour→Green
+29.8pp
42.9%
Lea BridgeLabour 58.5%vs Green 24.1%May 2026 Green 59.2%vs Labour 32.3%
Labour→Green
+30.7pp
43.5%
ShacklewellLabour 63.2%vs Green 21.4%May 2026 Green 54.5%vs Labour 36.9%
Labour→Green
+29.7pp
44.0%
SpringfieldLabour 55.0%vs Green 17.4%May 2026 Conservative 53.4%vs Green 24.9%
Labour→Conservative
+37.8pp
38.0%
Stamford Hill WestLabour 56.0%vs Conservative 20.3%May 2026 Conservative 52.4%vs Green 21.1%
Labour→Conservative
+35.3pp
46.3%
Stoke NewingtonLabour 60.6%vs Green 24.8%May 2026 Green 52.2%vs Labour 39.2%
Labour→Green
+24.4pp
48.1%

Projection trajectory

PollCheck's projection for Hackney North and Stoke Newington at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.

Who has won Hackney North and Stoke Newington at past general elections?

2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›

Year Result MP Lab Con LD Right (Ref/UKIP) Green Other Majority Turnout
2010Lab holdDiane Abbott55.0%14.5%23.9%-4.6%2.0%14,46162.9%
2015Lab holdDiane Abbott62.9%14.7%5.0%2.2% UKIP14.6%0.6%24,00856.6%-6.3
2017Lab holdDiane Abbott75.1%12.7%6.8%-4.6%0.9%35,13966.2%+9.6
2019notionalLabour winnerDiane Abbott 2019 MP, pre-review boundary69.8%13.0%7.7%-8.0%1.5%29,16268.1%+1.9
2024Lab holdDiane Abbott59.5%8.4%3.8%3.1% Ref22.6%2.5%15,08052.6%-15.5

Earlier years are on pre-2024 boundaries; comparable results on the new boundary will be added when sourced.

Constituencies most like Hackney North and Stoke Newington

Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Hackney North and Stoke Newington. Politics shown for context.

What would change this seat?

Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.

Related

Sources

Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›

Show full source list
  • 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
  • Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
  • Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
  • Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
  • May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
  • Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
  • Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
  • EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
  • MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
  • Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
  • Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.

If you spot a data issue, please let us know.