Tottenham
London · Borough constituency
About the Tottenham constituency
Tottenham is a borough constituency in London. The sitting MP is Mr David Lammy (Labour), first elected in June 2000. At the 2024 general election, Labour won with 57.5% to 19.0% for the Greens, a majority of 15,434 votes on a 52.9% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has Labour on 46.1% and the Greens on 20.6%, a margin of 25.5 points.
Who lives in Tottenham? Constituency demographics
From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.
How did Tottenham vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?
2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.
2024 general election
Current projection
Map of Tottenham
Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from the 2021 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›
Tottenham within Haringey and Hackney
Tottenham crosses council boundaries: Haringey (82%), Hackney (18%). The figures below are from the 7 May 2026 council elections where held, otherwise the most recent available ward result. About this layer ›
Council overlap
| Council | Share of seat | Projection |
|---|---|---|
| Haringey | 82% | View projection › |
| Hackney | 18% | View projection › |
Recent council by-elections
Council ward by-elections held inside this seat, most recent first. The result column shows which party won; the share column shows the top three parties’ vote shares on the day.
| Date | Ward | Result | Top 3 vote shares |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun 2026 | Northumberland Park | Lab GAIN from Grn | Lab 44% Grn 42% Ref 5% |
Most recent council ward results
Latest council winner per ward - May 2026 results where the council voted, otherwise the most recent available result. How this table is sourced ›
| Ward | GE2024 winner | Latest council winner | Shift since GE2024 | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brownswood | Labour 57.5%vs Green 20.1% | May 2026 Green 52.6%vs Labour 36.9% | Labour→Green +26.6pp | 45.0% |
| Bruce Castle | Labour 57.5%vs Green 18.3% | May 2026 Labour 45.3%vs Green 16.6% | Labour share -12.2pp | 32.7% |
| Hermitage & Gardens | Labour 58.0%vs Green 20.1% | May 2026 Green 61.0%vs Labour 27.5% | Labour→Green +35.7pp | 46.2% |
| Northumberland Park | Labour 57.5%vs Green 18.1% | May 2026 Labour 46.5%vs Others 19.2% | Labour share -11.0pp | 31.9% |
| Seven Sisters | Labour 58.1%vs Green 18.6% | May 2026 Green 49.3%vs Labour 36.7% | Labour→Green +26.1pp | 40.1% |
| South Tottenham | Labour 58.7%vs Green 18.1% | May 2026 Labour 48.2%vs Green 36.8% | Labour share -10.5pp | 35.2% |
| St Ann's | Labour 55.8%vs Green 20.6% | May 2026 Green 58.1%vs Labour 29.5% | Labour→Green +31.9pp | 42.2% |
| Tottenham Central | Labour 57.4%vs Green 19.1% | May 2026 Green 53.2%vs Labour 33.8% | Labour→Green +28.9pp | 40.8% |
| Tottenham Hale | Labour 58.0%vs Green 17.4% | May 2026 Green 52.0%vs Labour 34.9% | Labour→Green +28.8pp | 37.3% |
| West Green | Labour 56.1%vs Green 20.2% | May 2026 Labour 44.1%vs Green 19.4% | Labour share -12.0pp | 39.4% |
| Woodberry Down | Labour 57.6%vs Green 19.0% | May 2026 Labour 41.0%vs Green 39.4% | Labour share -16.7pp | 38.0% |
Projection trajectory
PollCheck's projection for Tottenham at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.
Who has won Tottenham at past general elections?
2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›
| Year | Result | MP | Lab | Con | LD | Majority | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | Lab hold | David Lammy | 59.3% | 14.9% | 17.7% | 16,931 | 59.1% |
| 2015 | Lab hold | David Lammy | 67.3% | 12.0% | 4.1% | 23,564 | 60.1%+1.0 |
| 2017 | Lab hold | David Lammy | 81.6% | 11.5% | 3.4% | 34,584 | 67.7%+7.6 |
| 2019notional | Labour winner | David Lammy 2019 MP, pre-review boundary | 77.8% | 11.1% | 5.0% | 30,488 | 60.2%-7.5 |
| 2024 | Lab hold | David Lammy | 57.5% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 15,434 | 52.9%-7.3 |
Earlier years are on pre-2024 boundaries; comparable results on the new boundary will be added when sourced.
Constituencies most like Tottenham
Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Tottenham. Politics shown for context.
- ↓Owner-occupied27.1 / 29.0vs 61.9
- ↓Leave23.8 / 20.5vs 53.2
- ↑Social rent32.8 / 37.1vs 16.8
- ↓Owner-occupied27.1 / 32.5vs 61.9
- ↓Leave23.8 / 29.9vs 53.2
- ↑Social rent32.8 / 33.2vs 16.8
- ↓Owner-occupied27.1 / 27.1vs 61.9
- ↓Leave23.8 / 33.4vs 53.2
- ↑Social rent32.8 / 38.2vs 16.8
- ↓Owner-occupied27.1 / 23.6vs 61.9
- ↓Leave23.8 / 26.6vs 53.2
- ↑Social rent32.8 / 44.7vs 16.8
- ↓Owner-occupied27.1 / 23.8vs 61.9
- ↓Leave23.8 / 26.1vs 53.2
- ↑Private rent37.2 / 36.0vs 20.2
What would change this seat?
Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.
Related
Sources
Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›
Show full source list
- 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
- Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
- Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
- Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
- May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
- Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
- Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
- EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
- MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
- Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
- Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.
If you spot a data issue, please let us know.