Vauxhall and Camberwell Green
London · Borough constituency
About the Vauxhall and Camberwell Green constituency
Vauxhall and Camberwell Green is a borough constituency in London. The sitting MP is Florence Eshalomi (Labour (Co-op)), first elected in December 2019. At the 2024 general election, Labour won with 57.4% to 17.1% for the Greens, a majority of 15,112 votes on a 53.9% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has Labour on 45.8% and the Greens on 18.6%, a margin of 27.2 points.
Who lives in Vauxhall and Camberwell Green? Constituency demographics
From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.
How did Vauxhall and Camberwell Green vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?
2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.
2024 general election
Current projection
Map of Vauxhall and Camberwell Green
Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from the 2021 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›
Vauxhall and Camberwell Green within Lambeth and Southwark
Vauxhall and Camberwell Green crosses council boundaries: Lambeth (71%), Southwark (29%). The figures below are from the 7 May 2026 council elections where held, otherwise the most recent available ward result. About this layer ›
Council overlap
| Council | Share of seat | Projection |
|---|---|---|
| Lambeth | 71% | View projection › |
| Southwark | 29% | View projection › |
Most recent council ward results
Latest council winner per ward - May 2026 results where the council voted, otherwise the most recent available result. How this table is sourced ›
| Ward | GE2024 winner | Latest council winner | Shift since GE2024 | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Camberwell Green | Labour 60.4%vs Green 17.2% | May 2026 Labour 45.9%vs Green 38.1% | Labour share -14.5pp | 36.5% |
| Kennington | Labour 57.1%vs Green 18.4% | May 2026 Labour 39.5%vs Green 30.4% | Labour share -17.7pp | - |
| Myatt's Fields | Labour 59.2%vs Green 17.9% | May 2026 Green 41.4%vs Labour 39.0% | Labour→Green +21.9pp | - |
| Newington | Labour 60.7%vs Green 15.1% | May 2026 Labour 43.5%vs Green 33.5% | Labour share -17.2pp | 37.2% |
| Oval | Labour 56.2%vs Green 18.1% | May 2026 Labour 38.4%vs Green 30.3% | Labour share -17.8pp | - |
| Stockwell East | Labour 55.0%vs Green 17.9% | May 2026 Lib Dem 31.1%vs Green 30.6% | Labour→Lib Dem +22.0pp | - |
| Stockwell West & Larkhall | Labour 59.4%vs Green 15.5% | May 2026 Labour 38.5%vs Green 34.3% | Labour share -20.8pp | - |
| Vauxhall | Labour 55.4%vs Green 16.1% | May 2026 Green 31.4%vs Labour 31.0% | Labour→Green +19.9pp | - |
| Waterloo & South Bank | Labour 50.9%vs Lib Dem 21.1% | May 2026 Labour 30.4%vs Lib Dem 29.1% | Labour share -20.5pp | - |
Projection trajectory
PollCheck's projection for Vauxhall and Camberwell Green at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.
Who has won Vauxhall and Camberwell Green at past general elections?
2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›
| Year | Result | MP | Lab | Con | LD | Majority | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010predecessor | Lab hold | Kate Hoey Vauxhall MP | 49.8% | 21.5% | 25.1% | 10,651 | 57.7% |
| 2015predecessor | Lab hold | Kate Hoey Vauxhall MP | 53.8% | 27.3% | 6.9% | 12,708 | 58.3%+0.6 |
| 2017predecessor | Lab hold | Kate Hoey Vauxhall MP | 57.4% | 18.7% | 20.6% | 20,250 | 67.1%+8.8 |
| 2019notional | Labour winner | Florence Eshalomi Vauxhall MP, pre-review boundary | 60.5% | 14.5% | 19.1% | 19,225 | 66.3% |
| 2024 | Lab hold | Florence Eshalomi | 57.4% | 7.5% | 12.1% | 15,112 | 53.9%-12.4 |
Vauxhall and Camberwell Green was created or substantially redrawn by the 2023 boundary review. Pre-2024 rows below are for the predecessor seat Vauxhall (the seat that covered most of this area), so vote shares and majorities aren’t directly comparable to the post-2024 figures.
Constituencies most like Vauxhall and Camberwell Green
Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Vauxhall and Camberwell Green. Politics shown for context.
- ↓Owner-occupied23.6 / 20.8vs 61.9
- ↑Social rent44.7 / 44.9vs 16.8
- ↓Leave26.6 / 22.8vs 53.2
- ↓Owner-occupied23.6 / 24.1vs 61.9
- ↑Social rent44.7 / 47.8vs 16.8
- ↓Leave26.6 / 28.8vs 53.2
- ↓Owner-occupied23.6 / 32.5vs 61.9
- ↓Leave26.6 / 29.9vs 53.2
- ↑Graduate53.5 / 54.2vs 33.7
- ↓Owner-occupied23.6 / 23.8vs 61.9
- ↓Leave26.6 / 26.1vs 53.2
- ↑Graduate53.5 / 56.9vs 33.7
- ↓Owner-occupied23.6 / 29.0vs 61.9
- ↓Leave26.6 / 20.5vs 53.2
- ↑Social rent44.7 / 37.1vs 16.8
What would change this seat?
Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.
Related
Sources
Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›
Show full source list
- 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
- Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
- Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
- Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
- May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
- Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
- Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
- EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
- MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
- Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
- Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.
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