Constituency profile

Lewisham North

London · Borough constituency · Lewisham borough

Vicky Foxcroft MP
Sitting MP

Vicky Foxcroft

Labour

First elected May 2015

Current PollCheck projection

Region & type
London
Borough constituency, Lewisham council
Last 5 GE winners
LLLLL
Labour 5/5
EU referendum 2016
29.9% Leave
UK average 51.9%; -22.0pp below mean
Current outlook
Labour +20.4pp
vs Green 28.7%
LondonStrong Remain areaGraduate-heavyDiverse

About the Lewisham North constituency

Lewisham North is a borough constituency in London. The sitting MP is Vicky Foxcroft (Labour), first elected in May 2015. At the 2024 general election, Labour won with 57.7% to 21.9% for the Greens, a majority of 15,782 votes on a 59.5% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has Labour on 49.1% and the Greens on 28.7%, a margin of 20.4 points.

Who lives in Lewisham North? Constituency demographics

From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.

Leave vote 2016
29.9%
UK average ~52%
Degree or above
54.2%
UK average ~34%
No qualifications
12.9%
UK average ~18%
Owner-occupied
32.5%
UK average ~63%
Renting (social + private)
64.9%
UK average ~36%
Median age
33.7
UK median ~40
Age 65+
9.0%
UK average ~19%
Age 18-34
44.0%
UK average ~28%

How did Lewisham North vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?

2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.

2024 general election

Lab hold · majority 15,782 votes (35.8pp) · turnout 59.5%

Current projection

If a general election were held today, at current poll average

Map of Lewisham North

Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from the 2021 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›

Council layer (not Westminster)

Lewisham North within Lewisham

Lewisham North sits entirely within Lewisham Council. The figures below are from the council elections held on 7 May 2026. About this layer ›

Council overlap

CouncilShare of seatProjection
Lewisham
67 LSOAs
100%View projection ›

Most recent council ward results

Latest council winner per ward - May 2026 results where the council voted, otherwise the most recent available result. How this table is sourced ›

Ward GE2024 winner Latest council winner Shift since GE2024 Turnout
BlackheathLabour 53.0%vs Green 17.9%May 2026 Green 32.9%vs Labour 27.7%
Labour→Green
+20.2pp
45.6%
BrockleyLabour 59.5%vs Green 22.5%May 2026 Green 55.0%vs Labour 33.5%
Labour→Green
+29.2pp
43.5%
DeptfordLabour 59.5%vs Green 22.8%May 2026 Green 54.5%vs Labour 32.4%
Labour→Green
+29.4pp
39.2%
EvelynLabour 58.4%vs Green 20.0%May 2026 Green 44.5%vs Labour 34.8%
Labour→Green
+24.0pp
35.4%
LadywellLabour 54.7%vs Green 27.0%May 2026 Green 55.7%vs Labour 33.2%
Labour→Green
+25.1pp
48.9%
Lewisham CentralLabour 56.3%vs Green 19.6%May 2026 Green 44.4%vs Labour 36.9%
Labour→Green
+22.1pp
38.4%
New Cross GateLabour 60.8%vs Green 19.9%May 2026 Green 49.9%vs Labour 34.5%
Labour→Green
+28.1pp
38.3%
Telegraph HillLabour 59.9%vs Green 23.6%May 2026 Green 54.7%vs Labour 35.1%
Labour→Green
+27.9pp
45.6%

Projection trajectory

PollCheck's projection for Lewisham North at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.

Who has won Lewisham North at past general elections?

2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›

Year Result MP Lab Con LD Right (Ref/UKIP) Green Other Majority Turnout
2010predecessorLab holdJoan Ruddock Lewisham, Deptford MP53.7%13.5%23.4%-6.7%2.7%12,49961.5%
2015predecessorLab holdVicky Foxcroft Lewisham, Deptford MP60.2%14.9%5.3%4.2% UKIP12.5%2.9%21,51664.6%+3.1
2017predecessorLab holdVicky Foxcroft Lewisham, Deptford MP77.0%13.7%5.3%-3.0%1.0%34,89970.2%+5.6
2019notionalLabour winnerVicky Foxcroft Lewisham, Deptford MP, pre-review boundary69.4%12.2%11.1%-5.3%2.0%28,94968.8%
2024Lab holdVicky Foxcroft57.7%6.1%7.4%4.5% Ref21.9%2.3%15,78259.5%-9.3

Lewisham North was created or substantially redrawn by the 2023 boundary review. Pre-2024 rows below are for the predecessor seat Lewisham, Deptford (the seat that covered most of this area), so vote shares and majorities aren’t directly comparable to the post-2024 figures.

Constituencies most like Lewisham North

Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Lewisham North. Politics shown for context.

What would change this seat?

Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.

Related

Sources

Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›

Show full source list
  • 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
  • Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
  • Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
  • Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
  • May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
  • Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
  • Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
  • EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
  • MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
  • Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
  • Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.

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