Queen's Park and Maida Vale
London · Borough constituency
About the Queen's Park and Maida Vale constituency
Queen's Park and Maida Vale is a borough constituency in London. The sitting MP is Georgia Gould (Labour), first elected in July 2024. At the 2024 general election, Labour won with 52.5% to 13.6% for the Greens, a majority of 14,913 votes on a 50.7% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has Labour on 42.1% and the Greens on 15.8%, a margin of 26.3 points.
Who lives in Queen's Park and Maida Vale? Constituency demographics
From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.
How did Queen's Park and Maida Vale vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?
2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.
2024 general election
Current projection
Map of Queen's Park and Maida Vale
Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from the 2021 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›
Queen's Park and Maida Vale within Westminster and Brent
Queen's Park and Maida Vale crosses council boundaries: Westminster (56%), Brent (44%). The figures below are from the 7 May 2026 council elections where held, otherwise the most recent available ward result. About this layer ›
Council overlap
| Council | Share of seat | Projection |
|---|---|---|
| Westminster | 56% | View projection › |
| Brent | 44% | View projection › |
Most recent council ward results
Latest council winner per ward - May 2026 results where the council voted, otherwise the most recent available result. How this table is sourced ›
| Ward | GE2024 winner | Latest council winner | Shift since GE2024 | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Church Street | Labour 51.3%vs Green 15.1% | May 2026 Labour 42.6%vs Green 28.9% | Labour share -8.7pp | 29.8% |
| Harlesden & Kensal Green | Labour 57.6%vs Green 11.9% | May 2026 Labour 39.4%vs Green 36.5% | Labour share -18.2pp | - |
| Harrow Road | Labour 50.9%vs Green 15.2% | May 2026 Labour 39.5%vs Green 36.0% | Labour share -11.4pp | 33.9% |
| Kilburn | Labour 58.2%vs Green 11.9% | May 2026 Green 40.9%vs Labour 33.3% | Labour→Green +26.9pp | - |
| Little Venice | Labour 41.6%vs Conservative 23.0% | May 2026 Conservative 42.9%vs Labour 32.5% | Labour→Conservative +14.5pp | 41.7% |
| Maida Vale | Labour 48.3%vs Conservative 15.7% | May 2026 Labour 39.3%vs Conservative 23.0% | Labour share -9.0pp | 32.9% |
| Queen's Park | Labour 52.3%vs Green 14.9% | May 2026 Labour 41.9%vs Green 29.9% | Labour share -10.5pp | 33.4% |
| Queens Park | Labour 53.8%vs Lib Dem 12.3% | May 2026 Lib Dem 39.9%vs Labour 26.6% | Labour→Lib Dem +27.4pp | - |
| Westbourne | Labour 53.0%vs Green 15.8% | May 2026 Labour 43.5%vs Green 33.8% | Labour share -9.5pp | 33.1% |
Projection trajectory
PollCheck's projection for Queen's Park and Maida Vale at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.
Who has won Queen's Park and Maida Vale at past general elections?
2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›
| Year | Result | MP | Lab | Con | LD | Majority | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010predecessor | Lab hold | Karen Buck Westminster North MP | 43.9% | 38.5% | 13.9% | 2,126 | 59.3% |
| 2015predecessor | Lab hold | Karen Buck Westminster North MP | 46.8% | 41.8% | 3.7% | 1,977 | 63.4%+4.1 |
| 2017predecessor | Lab hold | Karen Buck Westminster North MP | 59.9% | 33.3% | 5.2% | 11,512 | 67.8%+4.4 |
| 2019notional | Labour winner | Karen Buck Westminster North MP, pre-review boundary | 61.9% | 19.8% | 13.9% | 18,874 | 59.5% |
| 2024 | Lab hold | Georgia Gould | 52.5% | 13.3% | 8.9% | 14,913 | 50.7%-8.8 |
Queen's Park and Maida Vale was created or substantially redrawn by the 2023 boundary review. Pre-2024 rows below are for the predecessor seat Westminster North (the seat that covered most of this area), so vote shares and majorities aren’t directly comparable to the post-2024 figures.
Constituencies most like Queen's Park and Maida Vale
Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Queen's Park and Maida Vale. Politics shown for context.
- ↓Owner-occupied27.1 / 34.0vs 61.9
- ↓Leave33.4 / 35.7vs 53.2
- ↑Social rent38.2 / 32.2vs 16.8
- ↓Owner-occupied27.1 / 29.0vs 61.9
- ↑Social rent38.2 / 37.1vs 16.8
- ↓Leave33.4 / 20.5vs 53.2
- ↓Owner-occupied27.1 / 32.5vs 61.9
- ↓Leave33.4 / 29.9vs 53.2
- ↑Social rent38.2 / 33.2vs 16.8
- ↓Owner-occupied27.1 / 23.8vs 61.9
- ↑Social rent38.2 / 37.0vs 16.8
- ↓Leave33.4 / 26.1vs 53.2
- ↓Owner-occupied27.1 / 27.1vs 61.9
- ↓Leave33.4 / 23.8vs 53.2
- ↑Social rent38.2 / 32.8vs 16.8
What would change this seat?
Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.
Related
Sources
Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›
Show full source list
- 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
- Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
- Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
- Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
- May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
- Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
- Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
- EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
- MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
- Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
- Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.
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