Constituency profile

Islington North

London · Borough constituency · Islington borough

Jeremy Corbyn MP
Sitting MP

Jeremy Corbyn

Your Party

First elected June 1983

Current PollCheck projection

Region & type
London
Borough constituency, Islington council
Last 5 GE winners
LLLL?
Labour 4/5, Ind 1/5
EU referendum 2016
21.6% Leave
UK average 51.9%; -30.3pp below mean
Current outlook
Others +53.7pp
vs Green 16.3%
LondonStrong Remain areaGraduate-heavyDiverse

About the Islington North constituency

Islington North is a borough constituency in London. The sitting MP is Jeremy Corbyn (Your Party), first elected in June 1983. At the 2024 general election, other parties won with 49.3% to 34.4% for Labour, a majority of 7,247 votes on a 67.3% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has other parties on 69.9% and the Greens on 16.3%, a margin of 53.7 points.

Who lives in Islington North? Constituency demographics

From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.

Leave vote 2016
21.6%
UK average ~52%
Degree or above
57.5%
UK average ~34%
No qualifications
13.6%
UK average ~18%
Owner-occupied
29.1%
UK average ~63%
Renting (social + private)
69.0%
UK average ~36%
Median age
33.9
UK median ~40
Age 65+
11.0%
UK average ~19%
Age 18-34
44.2%
UK average ~28%

How did Islington North vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?

2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.

2024 general election

Ind gain from Lab · majority 7,247 votes (14.9pp) · turnout 67.3%

Current projection

If a general election were held today, at current poll average

Map of Islington North

Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from the 2021 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›

Council layer (not Westminster)

Islington North within Islington

Islington North sits entirely within Islington Council. The figures below are from the council elections held on 7 May 2026. About this layer ›

Council overlap

CouncilShare of seatProjection
Islington
65 LSOAs
100%View projection ›

Most recent council ward results

Latest council winner per ward - May 2026 results where the council voted, otherwise the most recent available result. How this table is sourced ›

Ward GE2024 winner Latest council winner Shift since GE2024 Turnout
ArsenalLabour 42.0%vs Others 36.6%May 2026 Green 41.7%vs Labour 40.6%
Labour→Green
+18.3pp
46.1%
Finsbury ParkOthers 45.0%vs Labour 39.2%May 2026 Green 34.0%vs Labour 32.7%
Others→Green
+36.9pp
42.3%
HighburyOthers 48.1%vs Labour 31.5%May 2026 Green 45.6%vs Labour 33.4%
Others→Green
+42.9pp
49.6%
HillriseOthers 49.9%vs Labour 34.4%May 2026 Labour 38.7%vs Green 31.2%
Others→Labour
+27.1pp
44.5%
JunctionOthers 53.5%vs Labour 32.5%May 2026 Labour 40.1%vs Green 32.1%
Others→Labour
+30.6pp
42.4%
MildmayOthers 54.5%vs Labour 31.1%May 2026 Green 45.1%vs Labour 37.5%
Others→Green
+47.6pp
43.3%
TollingtonOthers 54.1%vs Labour 32.0%May 2026 Green 49.4%vs Labour 37.0%
Others→Green
+49.4pp
48.5%
Tufnell ParkOthers 49.4%vs Labour 34.6%May 2026 Green 49.5%vs Labour 36.5%
Others→Green
+46.2pp
49.9%

Projection trajectory

PollCheck's projection for Islington North at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.

Who has won Islington North at past general elections?

2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›

Year Result MP Lab Con LD Right (Ref/UKIP) Green Other Majority Turnout
2010Lab holdJeremy Corbyn54.5%14.2%26.7%1.6% UKIP3.0%-12,40165.4%
2015Lab holdJeremy Corbyn60.2%17.2%8.1%4.0% UKIP10.2%0.2%21,19467.1%+1.7
2017Lab holdJeremy Corbyn73.0%12.5%9.0%0.8% UKIP4.1%0.7%33,21573.4%+6.3
2019notionalLabour winnerJeremy Corbyn 2019 MP, pre-review boundary64.3%10.2%15.6%-8.0%1.9%26,18872.7%-0.7
2024Ind gain from LabJeremy Corbyn34.4%4.0%3.4%3.5% Ref5.4%49.3%7,24767.3%-5.4

Earlier years are on pre-2024 boundaries; comparable results on the new boundary will be added when sourced.

Constituencies most like Islington North

Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Islington North. Politics shown for context.

What would change this seat?

Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.

Related

Sources

Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›

Show full source list
  • 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
  • Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
  • Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
  • Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
  • May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
  • Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
  • Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
  • EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
  • MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
  • Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
  • Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.

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