Constituency profile

Edinburgh West

Scotland · Burgh constituency · Edinburgh borough

Christine Jardine MP
Sitting MP

Christine Jardine

Liberal Democrat

First elected June 2017

Current PollCheck projection

Region & type
Scotland
Burgh constituency, Edinburgh council
Last 5 GE winners
LDSLDLDLD
Liberal Democrats 4/5, SNP 1/5
EU referendum 2016
28.8% Leave
UK average 51.9%; -23.1pp below mean
Current outlook
Liberal Democrats +23.4pp
vs SNP 22.6%
ScottishStrong Remain areaGraduate-heavy

About the Edinburgh West constituency

Edinburgh West is a burgh constituency in Scotland. The sitting MP is Christine Jardine (Liberal Democrat), first elected in June 2017. At the 2024 general election, the Liberal Democrats won with 50.8% to 19.4% for the SNP, a majority of 16,470 votes on a 68.6% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has the Liberal Democrats on 46.0% and the SNP on 22.6%, a margin of 23.4 points.

Who lives in Edinburgh West? Constituency demographics

From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.

Leave vote 2016
28.8%
UK average ~52%
Degree or above
58.5%
UK average ~34%
No qualifications
9.8%
UK average ~18%
Owner-occupied
77.5%
UK average ~63%
Renting (social + private)
21.5%
UK average ~36%
Median age
44.4
UK median ~40
Age 65+
25.5%
UK average ~19%
Age 18-34
24.1%
UK average ~28%

How did Edinburgh West vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?

2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.

2024 general election

LD hold · majority 16,470 votes (31.4pp) · turnout 68.6%

Current projection

If a general election were held today, at current poll average

Map of Edinburgh West

Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from Scotland's 2022 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›

Holyrood 2026 layer

How Edinburgh West voted at the Scottish Parliament election (7 May 2026)

Edinburgh West crosses multiple Holyrood boundaries: Edinburgh North Western (85%), Edinburgh Northern (7%), Edinburgh South Western (4%), Bathgate (1%). Scotland uses the Additional Member System: voters cast one ballot for a constituency MSP and a second for a regional list. The figures below are the constituency vote.

Holyrood constituencyShare of Edinburgh WestWinnerRunner-upElected MSP
Edinburgh North Western85%Liberal Democrats 57.2%SNP 24.8%Alex Cole-Hamilton
Edinburgh Northern7%Liberal Democrats 34.6%SNP 27.9%Sanne Dijkstra-Downie
Edinburgh South Western4%SNP 36.2%Labour 26.0%Simita Kumar
Bathgate1%SNP 40.7%Labour 24.0%Pauline Stafford

Holyrood 2026 constituency results from official declarations. Overlap percentages are area-based using the post-2024 Westminster boundary against the new Holyrood second-review boundary (in force from 7 May 2026).

Council layer (not Westminster)

Edinburgh West within Edinburgh

Edinburgh West sits entirely within Edinburgh Council. Edinburgh was not due to vote in 2026, so the figures below are the most recent ward results available. About this layer ›

Council overlap

CouncilShare of seat
Edinburgh
1 LSOAs
100%

Most recent council ward results

Latest council winner per ward - May 2026 results where the council voted, otherwise the most recent available result. How this table is sourced ›

Ward GE2024 winner Latest council winner Shift since GE2024 Turnout
AlmondLib Dem 57.4%vs SNP 19.6%2017 Lib Dem 50.8%vs SNP 22.6%--
City CentreLabour 37.9%vs SNP 28.1%2017 Conservative 32.7%vs SNP 25.1%--
Corstorphine / MurrayfieldLib Dem 55.5%vs SNP 17.7%No council data--
Drum Brae / GyleLib Dem 54.5%vs SNP 21.0%No council data--
InverleithLib Dem 30.6%vs Labour 28.4%2017 Conservative 36.9%vs SNP 19.0%--
Pentland HillsLabour 35.1%vs SNP 30.5%2017 Conservative 41.3%vs SNP 28.8%--
Sighthill / GorgieLabour 41.8%vs SNP 33.2%No council data--

Projection trajectory

PollCheck's projection for Edinburgh West at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.

Who has won Edinburgh West at past general elections?

2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›

Year Result MP Lab Con LD Right (Ref/UKIP) Green Other Majority Turnout
2010LD holdMike Crockart27.7%23.2%35.9%---3,80371.3%
2015SNP gain from LDMichelle Thomson11.7%12.3%33.1%1.9% UKIP2.1%-3,21076.5%+5.2
2017LD gain from SNPChristine Jardine14.9%21.9%34.3%--0.3%2,98873.8%-2.7
2019notionalLiberal Democrat winnerChristine Jardine 2019 MP, pre-review boundary8.7%18.0%38.2%--35.1%2,88871.7%-2.1
2024LD holdChristine Jardine15.0%5.5%50.8%4.2% Ref4.0%1.1%16,47068.6%-3.1

Earlier years are on pre-2024 boundaries; comparable results on the new boundary will be added when sourced.

Constituencies most like Edinburgh West

Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Edinburgh West. Politics shown for context.

What would change this seat?

Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.

Related

Sources

Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›

Show full source list
  • 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
  • Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
  • Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
  • Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
  • May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
  • Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
  • Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
  • EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
  • MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
  • Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
  • Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.

If you spot a data issue, please let us know.