Gorton and Denton
North West · Borough constituency
About the Gorton and Denton constituency
Gorton and Denton is a borough constituency in the North West. The sitting MP is Hannah Spencer (Green Party), first elected in February 2026. At the 2024 general election, Labour won with 50.8% to 14.1% for Reform UK, a majority of 13,413 votes on a 47.8% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has Labour on 40.2% and the Greens on 20.2%, a margin of 19.9 points.
Who lives in Gorton and Denton? Constituency demographics
From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.
How did Gorton and Denton vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?
2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.
2024 general election
Current projection
Map of Gorton and Denton
Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from the 2021 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›
Gorton and Denton within Manchester and Tameside
Gorton and Denton crosses council boundaries: Manchester (64%), Tameside (36%). The figures below are from the 7 May 2026 council elections where held, otherwise the most recent available ward result. About this layer ›
Council overlap
| Council | Share of seat | Projection |
|---|---|---|
| Manchester | 64% | View projection › |
| Tameside | 36% | View projection › |
Most recent council ward results
Latest council winner per ward - May 2026 results where the council voted, otherwise the most recent available result. How this table is sourced ›
| Ward | GE2024 winner | Latest council winner | Shift since GE2024 | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Burnage | Labour 53.0%vs Green 14.2% | May 2026 Green 45.8%vs Labour 29.3% | Labour→Green +27.6pp | 36.3% |
| Denton North East | Labour 45.8%vs Reform 15.0% | May 2026 Reform 49.9%vs Labour 23.3% | Labour→Reform +28.7pp | 37.5% |
| Denton South | Labour 48.7%vs Reform 14.8% | May 2026 Reform 52.6%vs Green 21.0% | Labour→Reform +34.0pp | 37.4% |
| Denton West | Labour 49.1%vs Conservative 13.1% | May 2026 Reform 49.6%vs Labour 23.8% | Labour→Reform +30.9pp | 43.4% |
| Gorton & Abbey Hey | Labour 47.8%vs Reform 16.9% | May 2026 Green 36.7%vs Labour 29.5% | Labour→Green +22.0pp | 27.8% |
| Levenshulme | Labour 52.3%vs Green 17.4% | May 2026 Green 55.5%vs Labour 19.0% | Labour→Green +35.7pp | 38.1% |
| Longsight | Labour 55.7%vs Reform 13.6% | May 2026 Green 47.4%vs Labour 31.3% | Labour→Green +30.5pp | 32.5% |
Projection trajectory
PollCheck's projection for Gorton and Denton at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.
Who has won Gorton and Denton at past general elections?
2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›
| Year | Result | MP | Lab | Con | LD | Majority | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010predecessor | Lab hold | Andrew Gwynne Denton and Reddish MP | 51.0% | 24.9% | 17.9% | 9,831 | 56.7% |
| 2015predecessor | Lab hold | Andrew Gwynne Denton and Reddish MP | 50.8% | 23.7% | 2.5% | 10,511 | 58.5%+1.8 |
| 2017predecessor | Lab hold | Andrew Gwynne Denton and Reddish MP | 63.5% | 28.0% | 2.2% | 14,077 | 60.2%+1.7 |
| 2019notional | Labour winner | Andrew Gwynne Denton and Reddish MP, pre-review boundary | 67.2% | 18.9% | 5.8% | 22,175 | 61.7% |
| 2024 | Lab hold | Andrew Gwynne | 50.8% | 7.9% | 3.8% | 13,413 | 47.8%-13.9 |
Gorton and Denton was created or substantially redrawn by the 2023 boundary review. Pre-2024 rows below are for the predecessor seat Denton and Reddish (the seat that covered most of this area), so vote shares and majorities aren’t directly comparable to the post-2024 figures.
Constituencies most like Gorton and Denton
Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Gorton and Denton. Politics shown for context.
- ↓Owner-occupied49.5 / 52.8vs 61.9
- ↑No quals24.5 / 24.3vs 18.0
- ↓Graduate27.6 / 26.2vs 33.7
- ↓Leave41.4 / 41.5vs 53.2
- ↓Owner-occupied49.5 / 50.3vs 61.9
- ↑Social rent24.8 / 23.4vs 16.8
- ↑Under 3534.8 / 34.6vs 30.2
- ↑Private rent24.6 / 24.2vs 20.2
- ↓Employed53.0 / 50.9vs 57.3
- ↓Owner-occupied49.5 / 43.5vs 61.9
- ↑Social rent24.8 / 26.6vs 16.8
- ↑No quals24.5 / 24.8vs 18.0
- ↓Owner-occupied49.5 / 48.0vs 61.9
- ↑Social rent24.8 / 28.6vs 16.8
- ↑No quals24.5 / 25.5vs 18.0
What would change this seat?
Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.
Related
Sources
Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›
Show full source list
- 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
- Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
- Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
- Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
- May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
- Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
- Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
- EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
- MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
- Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
- Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.
If you spot a data issue, please let us know.