Leicester West
East Midlands · Borough constituency · Leicester borough
About the Leicester West constituency
Leicester West is a borough constituency in the East Midlands. The sitting MP is Liz Kendall (Labour), first elected in May 2010. At the 2024 general election, Labour won with 44.6% to 19.8% for the Conservatives, a majority of 8,777 votes on a 47.8% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has Labour on 35.0% and Reform UK on 22.2%, a margin of 12.8 points.
Who lives in Leicester West? Constituency demographics
From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.
How did Leicester West vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?
2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.
2024 general election
Current projection
Map of Leicester West
Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from the 2021 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›
Leicester West within Leicester
Leicester West sits entirely within Leicester Council. Leicester was not due to vote in 2026, so the figures below are the most recent ward results available. About this layer ›
Council overlap
| Council | Share of seat |
|---|---|
| Leicester | 100% |
Most recent council ward results
Latest council winner per ward - May 2026 results where the council voted, otherwise the most recent available result. How this table is sourced ›
| Ward | GE2024 winner | Latest council winner | Shift since GE2024 | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abbey | Labour 44.6%vs Conservative 21.5% | 2023 Conservative 45.5%vs Labour 42.1% | - | 32.7% |
| Aylestone | Labour 43.7%vs Conservative 19.4% | 2023 Lib Dem 43.5%vs Labour 31.0% | - | 30.4% |
| Beaumont Leys | Labour 44.4%vs Conservative 21.3% | 2023 Conservative 46.6%vs Labour 40.2% | - | 29.2% |
| Braunstone Park & Rowley Fields | Labour 45.1%vs Conservative 18.8% | 2023 Labour 50.4%vs Conservative 26.6% | - | 26.9% |
| Fosse | Labour 44.6%vs Conservative 19.7% | 2023 Labour 40.8%vs Conservative 24.3% | - | 29.0% |
| Westcotes | Labour 45.2%vs Conservative 18.8% | 2023 Labour 46.4%vs Lib Dem 21.6% | - | 27.2% |
| Western | Labour 44.5%vs Conservative 19.2% | 2023 Labour 46.8%vs Conservative 31.1% | - | 32.6% |
Projection trajectory
PollCheck's projection for Leicester West at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.
Who has won Leicester West at past general elections?
2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›
| Year | Result | MP | Lab | Con | LD | Majority | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | Lab hold | Liz Kendall | 38.4% | 27.2% | 22.6% | 4,017 | 55.2% |
| 2015 | Lab hold | Liz Kendall | 46.5% | 25.6% | 4.4% | 7,203 | 54.6%-0.6 |
| 2017 | Lab hold | Liz Kendall | 60.8% | 31.4% | 2.1% | 11,060 | 57.9%+3.3 |
| 2019notional | Labour winner | Liz Kendall 2019 MP, pre-review boundary | 49.3% | 36.6% | 6.7% | 4,882 | 53.0%-4.9 |
| 2024 | Lab hold | Liz Kendall | 44.6% | 19.8% | 6.2% | 8,777 | 47.8%-5.2 |
Earlier years are on pre-2024 boundaries; comparable results on the new boundary will be added when sourced.
Constituencies most like Leicester West
Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Leicester West. Politics shown for context.
- ↓Owner-occupied43.5 / 48.0vs 61.9
- ↑Social rent26.6 / 28.6vs 16.8
- ↓Graduate26.5 / 26.9vs 33.7
- ↓Owner-occupied43.5 / 36.7vs 61.9
- ↑Under 3539.5 / 41.7vs 30.2
- ↑Social rent26.6 / 31.5vs 16.8
- ↓Graduate26.5 / 26.2vs 33.7
- ↓Owner-occupied43.5 / 52.8vs 61.9
- ↑No quals24.8 / 24.3vs 18.0
- ↑Under 3539.5 / 39.5vs 30.2
- ↓Owner-occupied43.5 / 51.9vs 61.9
- ↓Age 65+14.3 / 16.1vs 22.7
- ↓Owner-occupied43.5 / 51.9vs 61.9
- ↑Social rent26.6 / 25.0vs 16.8
- ↓Graduate26.5 / 24.3vs 33.7
What would change this seat?
Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.
Related
Sources
Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›
Show full source list
- 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
- Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
- Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
- Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
- May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
- Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
- Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
- EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
- MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
- Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
- Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.
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