Preston
North West · Borough constituency · Preston borough
About the Preston constituency
Preston is a borough constituency in the North West. The sitting MP is Sir Mark Hendrick (Labour (Co-op)), first elected in November 2000. At the 2024 general election, Labour won with 35.0% to 25.2% for other parties, a majority of 5,291 votes on a 51.7% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has Labour on 29.6% and Reform UK on 22.3%, a margin of 7.4 points.
Who lives in Preston? Constituency demographics
From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.
How did Preston vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?
2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.
2024 general election
Current projection
Map of Preston
Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from the 2021 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›
Preston within Preston
Preston sits entirely within Preston Council. The figures below are from the council elections held on 7 May 2026. About this layer ›
Council overlap
| Council | Share of seat | Projection |
|---|---|---|
| Preston | 100% | View projection › |
Most recent council ward results
Latest council winner per ward - May 2026 results where the council voted, otherwise the most recent available result. How this table is sourced ›
| Ward | GE2024 winner | Latest council winner | Shift since GE2024 | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashton | Labour 36.0%vs Others 22.5% | May 2026 Lib Dem 33.5%vs Reform 29.0% | Labour→Lib Dem +22.2pp | - |
| Brookfield | Labour 35.2%vs Others 24.2% | May 2026 Reform 42.5%vs Labour 28.0% | Labour→Reform +17.3pp | - |
| Cadley | Labour 33.8%vs Others 22.5% | May 2026 Lib Dem 40.2%vs Reform 29.6% | Labour→Lib Dem +26.3pp | - |
| City Centre | Labour 36.0%vs Others 24.9% | May 2026 Green 39.7%vs Labour 27.7% | Labour→Green +21.7pp | - |
| Deepdale | Labour 35.2%vs Others 31.8% | May 2026 Labour 54.1%vs Green 28.2% | Labour share +18.8pp | - |
| Fishwick & Frenchwood | Labour 34.5%vs Others 30.8% | May 2026 Labour 43.9%vs Green 30.8% | Labour share +9.4pp | - |
| Garrison | Labour 35.0%vs Others 24.6% | May 2026 Labour 36.8%vs Reform 29.0% | Labour share +1.8pp | - |
| Ingol & Cottam | Labour 33.2%vs Others 22.2% | May 2026 Lib Dem 45.4%vs Reform 29.8% | Labour→Lib Dem +31.5pp | - |
| Lea & Larches | Labour 35.2%vs Others 22.2% | May 2026 Reform 39.2%vs Lib Dem 38.9% | Labour→Reform +23.9pp | - |
| Plungington | Labour 35.9%vs Others 24.6% | May 2026 Green 35.1%vs Labour 29.4% | Labour→Green +18.5pp | - |
| Ribbleton | Labour 35.5%vs Others 23.5% | May 2026 Reform 47.1%vs Labour 25.6% | Labour→Reform +20.5pp | - |
| St Matthew's | Labour 34.3%vs Others 29.2% | May 2026 Labour 36.1%vs Others 23.1% | Labour share +1.8pp | - |
Projection trajectory
PollCheck's projection for Preston at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.
Who has won Preston at past general elections?
2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›
| Year | Result | MP | Lab | Con | LD | Majority | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | Lab hold | Mark Hendrick | 48.2% | 21.7% | 24.4% | 7,733 | 53.1% |
| 2015 | Lab hold | Mark Hendrick | 56.0% | 20.0% | 3.7% | 12,067 | 55.8%+2.7 |
| 2017 | Lab hold | Mark Hendrick | 68.0% | 23.8% | 3.4% | 15,723 | 61.6%+5.8 |
| 2019notional | Labour winner | Mark Hendrick 2019 MP, pre-review boundary | 57.3% | 29.8% | 6.8% | 11,850 | 59.1%-2.5 |
| 2024 | Lab hold | Mark Hendrick | 35.0% | 13.0% | 8.0% | 5,291 | 51.7%-7.4 |
Earlier years are on pre-2024 boundaries; comparable results on the new boundary will be added when sourced.
Constituencies most like Preston
Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Preston. Politics shown for context.
- ↓Owner-occupied51.9 / 52.6vs 61.9
- ↑Private rent25.4 / 25.4vs 20.2
- ↓Age 65+16.1 / 18.3vs 22.7
- ↓Owner-occupied51.9 / 56.5vs 61.9
- ↑Private rent25.4 / 24.2vs 20.2
- ↑Under 3539.5 / 34.6vs 30.2
- ↓Owner-occupied51.9 / 52.2vs 61.9
- ↓Age 65+16.1 / 17.1vs 22.7
- ↑Social rent22.0 / 22.9vs 16.8
- ↓Owner-occupied51.9 / 54.6vs 61.9
- ↑Private rent25.4 / 24.6vs 20.2
- ↓Age 65+16.1 / 19.4vs 22.7
- ↓Owner-occupied51.9 / 52.8vs 61.9
- ↑Social rent22.0 / 22.6vs 16.8
- ↓Age 65+16.1 / 17.4vs 22.7
What would change this seat?
Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.
Related
Sources
Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›
Show full source list
- 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
- Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
- Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
- Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
- May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
- Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
- Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
- EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
- MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
- Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
- Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.
If you spot a data issue, please let us know.