Leeds South
Yorkshire and The Humber · Borough constituency · Leeds borough
About the Leeds South constituency
Leeds South is a borough constituency in Yorkshire and The Humber. The sitting MP is Hilary Benn (Labour), first elected in June 1999. At the 2024 general election, Labour won with 54.0% to 18.4% for the Greens, a majority of 11,279 votes on a 41.7% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has Labour on 37.8% and the Greens on 20.0%, a margin of 17.9 points.
Who lives in Leeds South? Constituency demographics
From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.
How did Leeds South vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?
2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.
2024 general election
Current projection
Map of Leeds South
Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from the 2021 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›
Leeds South within Leeds
Leeds South sits entirely within Leeds Council. The figures below are from the council elections held on 7 May 2026. About this layer ›
Council overlap
| Council | Share of seat | Projection |
|---|---|---|
| Leeds | 100% | View projection › |
Most recent council ward results
Latest council winner per ward - May 2026 results where the council voted, otherwise the most recent available result. How this table is sourced ›
| Ward | GE2024 winner | Latest council winner | Shift since GE2024 | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beeston & Holbeck | Labour 56.0%vs Green 18.3% | May 2026 Green 34.6%vs Labour 30.2% | Labour→Green +21.1pp | 31.3% |
| Burmantofts & Richmond Hill | Labour 60.2%vs Green 15.1% | May 2026 Labour 39.5%vs Reform 28.1% | Labour share -20.8pp | 29.9% |
| Hunslet & Riverside | Labour 50.0%vs Green 30.7% | May 2026 Green 56.2%vs Labour 25.0% | Labour→Green +25.3pp | 33.8% |
| Middleton Park | Labour 52.6%vs Others 16.0% | May 2026 Others 38.2%vs Reform 33.5% | Labour→Others +38.7pp | 29.5% |
| Temple Newsam | Labour 48.8%vs Conservative 24.7% | May 2026 Reform 36.1%vs Labour 29.1% | Labour→Reform +24.4pp | 41.8% |
Projection trajectory
PollCheck's projection for Leeds South at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.
Who has won Leeds South at past general elections?
2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›
| Year | Result | MP | Lab | Con | LD | Majority | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010predecessor | Lab hold | Hilary Benn Leeds Central MP | 49.3% | 20.2% | 20.8% | 10,645 | 46.0% |
| 2015predecessor | Lab hold | Hilary Benn Leeds Central MP | 55.0% | 17.3% | 3.4% | 16,967 | 55.1%+9.1 |
| 2017predecessor | Lab hold | Hilary Benn Leeds Central MP | 70.2% | 20.5% | 2.2% | 23,698 | 53.2%-1.9 |
| 2019notional | Labour winner | Hilary Benn Leeds Central MP, pre-review boundary | 58.4% | 26.3% | 4.4% | 13,886 | 57.9% |
| 2024 | Lab hold | Hilary Benn | 54.0% | 13.2% | 4.2% | 11,279 | 41.7%-16.2 |
Leeds South was created or substantially redrawn by the 2023 boundary review. Pre-2024 rows below are for the predecessor seat Leeds Central (the seat that covered most of this area), so vote shares and majorities aren’t directly comparable to the post-2024 figures.
Constituencies most like Leeds South
Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Leeds South. Politics shown for context.
- ↓Owner-occupied36.7 / 43.5vs 61.9
- ↑Under 3541.7 / 39.5vs 30.2
- ↑Social rent31.5 / 26.6vs 16.8
- ↓Owner-occupied36.7 / 35.1vs 61.9
- ↑Social rent31.5 / 27.6vs 16.8
- ↑Under 3541.7 / 49.2vs 30.2
- ↓Owner-occupied36.7 / 48.0vs 61.9
- ↑Social rent31.5 / 28.6vs 16.8
- ↑No quals24.9 / 25.5vs 18.0
- ↓Owner-occupied36.7 / 44.2vs 61.9
- ↑Under 3541.7 / 40.6vs 30.2
- ↑Private rent30.8 / 33.2vs 20.2
- ↓Owner-occupied36.7 / 45.1vs 61.9
- ↑Social rent31.5 / 31.4vs 16.8
- ↑Under 3541.7 / 40.4vs 30.2
What would change this seat?
Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.
Related
Sources
Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›
Show full source list
- 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
- Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
- Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
- Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
- May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
- Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
- Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
- EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
- MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
- Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
- Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.
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