Newcastle upon Tyne Central and West
North East · Borough constituency · Newcastle upon Tyne borough
About the Newcastle upon Tyne Central and West constituency
Newcastle upon Tyne Central and West is a borough constituency in the North East. The sitting MP is Dame Chi Onwurah (Labour), first elected in May 2010. At the 2024 general election, Labour won with 45.6% to 18.9% for Reform UK, a majority of 11,060 votes on a 53.8% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has Labour on 31.4% and Reform UK on 23.7%, a margin of 7.7 points.
Who lives in Newcastle upon Tyne Central and West? Constituency demographics
From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.
How did Newcastle upon Tyne Central and West vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?
2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.
2024 general election
Current projection
Map of Newcastle upon Tyne Central and West
Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from the 2021 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›
Newcastle upon Tyne Central and West within Newcastle upon Tyne
Newcastle upon Tyne Central and West sits entirely within Newcastle upon Tyne Council. The figures below are from the council elections held on 7 May 2026. About this layer ›
Council overlap
| Council | Share of seat | Projection |
|---|---|---|
| Newcastle upon Tyne | 100% | View projection › |
Most recent council ward results
Latest council winner per ward - May 2026 results where the council voted, otherwise the most recent available result. How this table is sourced ›
| Ward | GE2024 winner | Latest council winner | Shift since GE2024 | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arthur's Hill | Labour 47.6%vs Reform 18.3% | May 2026 Green 49.5%vs Labour 27.8% | Labour→Green +30.5pp | 36.5% |
| Benwell & Scotswood | Labour 46.9%vs Reform 19.3% | May 2026 Reform 37.8%vs Labour 28.9%now part of Benwell Scotswood Denton Burn | Labour→Reform +18.2pp | 40.4% |
| Blakelaw | Labour 46.3%vs Reform 19.9% | May 2026 Reform 38.2%vs Labour 30.8%now part of Blakelaw Cowgate | Labour→Reform +17.0pp | 34.2% |
| Chapel | Labour 42.2%vs Reform 21.6% | May 2026 Others 63.6%vs Reform 21.3% | Labour→Others +49.7pp | 55.6% |
| Denton & Westerhope | Labour 46.0%vs Reform 20.5% | May 2026 Reform 43.7%vs Labour 19.0% | Labour→Reform +25.1pp | 36.5% |
| Elswick | Labour 46.2%vs Reform 16.4% | May 2026 Green 48.3%vs Reform 24.0% | Labour→Green +32.3pp | 36.1% |
| Kingston Park South & Newbiggin Hall | Labour 40.9%vs Others 20.8% | 2024 Labour 65.0%vs Conservative 16.4% | - | - |
| Lemington | Labour 46.0%vs Reform 21.0% | May 2026 Reform 49.9%vs Labour 26.4% | Labour→Reform +24.2pp | 40.7% |
| Monument | Labour 46.5%vs Reform 19.8% | May 2026 Green 50.8%vs Labour 21.8% | Labour→Green +33.5pp | 32.4% |
| West Fenham | Labour 45.6%vs Reform 18.8% | May 2026 Lib Dem 37.5%vs Reform 32.0% | Labour→Lib Dem +32.8pp | 43.7% |
| Wingrove | Labour 47.4%vs Reform 15.8% | May 2026 Green 45.0%vs Labour 32.9% | Labour→Green +25.4pp | 45.5% |
Projection trajectory
PollCheck's projection for Newcastle upon Tyne Central and West at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.
Who has won Newcastle upon Tyne Central and West at past general elections?
2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›
| Year | Result | MP | Lab | Con | LD | Majority | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010predecessor | Lab hold | Chinyelu Onwurah Newcastle upon Tyne Central MP | 45.9% | 19.4% | 24.1% | 7,466 | 56.5% |
| 2015predecessor | Lab hold | Chi Onwurah Newcastle upon Tyne Central MP | 55.0% | 18.9% | 6.3% | 12,673 | 60.3%+3.8 |
| 2017predecessor | Lab hold | Chi Onwurah Newcastle upon Tyne Central MP | 64.9% | 24.6% | 4.9% | 14,937 | 67.0%+6.7 |
| 2019notional | Labour winner | Chi Onwurah Newcastle upon Tyne Central MP, pre-review boundary | 59.3% | 26.6% | 3.0% | 15,731 | 63.0% |
| 2024 | Lab hold | Chi Onwurah | 45.6% | 10.2% | 4.7% | 11,060 | 53.8%-9.2 |
Newcastle upon Tyne Central and West was created or substantially redrawn by the 2023 boundary review. Pre-2024 rows below are for the predecessor seat Newcastle upon Tyne Central (the seat that covered most of this area), so vote shares and majorities aren’t directly comparable to the post-2024 figures.
Constituencies most like Newcastle upon Tyne Central and West
Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Newcastle upon Tyne Central and West. Politics shown for context.
- ↑Social rent31.4 / 34.0vs 16.8
- ↓Owner-occupied45.1 / 48.7vs 61.9
- ↓Employed47.6 / 51.6vs 57.3
- ↑Under 3540.4 / 39.5vs 30.2
- ↓Owner-occupied45.1 / 51.9vs 61.9
- ↓Age 65+17.3 / 16.1vs 22.7
- ↑Under 3540.4 / 42.4vs 30.2
- ↓Employed47.6 / 48.1vs 57.3
- ↓Owner-occupied45.1 / 54.2vs 61.9
- ↓Owner-occupied45.1 / 49.1vs 61.9
- ↓Employed47.6 / 48.4vs 57.3
- ↑Social rent31.4 / 24.7vs 16.8
- ↓Owner-occupied45.1 / 48.0vs 61.9
- ↑Social rent31.4 / 28.6vs 16.8
- ↓Graduate27.9 / 26.9vs 33.7
What would change this seat?
Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.
Related
Sources
Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›
Show full source list
- 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
- Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
- Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
- Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
- May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
- Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
- Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
- EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
- MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
- Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
- Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.
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