Dacorum Council - Wards and Councillors

District council · East of England · 51 seats in 25 wards · All seats elected every four years · Next election 6 May 2027

Liberal Democrats run Dacorum Council as a minority administration. The council has 51 councillors in 25 wards. Seats by party: Lib Dem 19, Conservative 18, Other 9, Labour 4. The next election is on 6 May 2027.

A government plan to replace the councils in this area with four unitary councils was paused for review on 7 September 2026. Elections due in May 2027 will go ahead on existing council boundaries. Source

Control

Seats by party

Liberal Democrats (Minority)

51 seats - 26 for a majority

Labour 4Conservative 18Lib Dem 19Other 9Vacant 1

Seat changes since the 4 May 2023 election Other +7 Labour +1 Lib Dem −9 1 vacant

Vote share at the 4 May 2023 election (51 seats, all wards)

ShareSeats won

Lib Dem40.4%28

Conservative32.5%18

Labour17.0%3

Green6.5%0

Other2.7%2

Reform0.9%0

Next election

6 May 2027

all 51 seats up, then every four years

Largest party

Lib Dem 19

7 short of the 26 needed for a majority

Closest result

Adeyfield East

Labour won the last seat by 6 votes over Conservative, 4 May 2023

Latest by-election

Apsley & Corner Hall

Lib Dem hold, 11 June 2026 (5 since 2021)

Constituencies

3 overlap

2024Now

Voted Leave in 2016

51%

GB 52%

Wards

Who holds each ward

LabourConservativeLib DemIndependent

Coloured by the party holding most of the ward's seats today; where seats are split evenly, by the party with the higher share at the last election.

All 25 wards

Councillors and last results

Select a ward for its full results, candidates and last by-election.

Ward and councillors	Last election
Adeyfield East Barbara Pesch, Andrew Williams	4 May 2023 Conservative 41.5% lead 1.1 pts
Adeyfield West Adrian England, Ron Tindall	4 May 2023 Lib Dem 60.6% lead 40.2 pts
Aldbury and Wigginton Paul Reynolds	4 May 2023 Lib Dem 57.3% lead 20.0 pts
Apsley and Corner Hall Hugo Hardy, David Deacon, Carrie Link	4 May 2023 Lib Dem 48.6% lead 15.8 pts
Ashridge Terry Douris	4 May 2023 Conservative 67.5% lead 42.4 pts
Bennetts End Pete Hannell, Lin Greenfield	4 May 2023 Labour 30.5% lead 1.0 pts
Berkhamsted Castle Ian Bristow, Rick Freedman	4 May 2023 Lib Dem 59.4% lead 37.4 pts
Berkhamsted East Garrick Stevens, Nigel Taylor	4 May 2023 Lib Dem 58.3% lead 39.7 pts
Berkhamsted West Will Jankowski, Sally Symington	4 May 2023 Lib Dem 58.4% lead 35.6 pts
Bovingdon, Flaunden and Chipperfield Philip Walker, Gbola Adeleke, Stewart Riddick	4 May 2023 Conservative 42.0% lead 18.3 pts
Boxmoor William Allen, Simy Dhyani, Claire Hobson	4 May 2023 Lib Dem 65.1% lead 40.9 pts
Chaulden and Warners End Fiona Guest, Nigel Durrant, Graeme Elliot	4 May 2023 Conservative 41.8% lead 14.6 pts
Gadebridge Angela Mitchell, Heather Pound	4 May 2023 Labour 38.4% lead 2.6 pts
Grovehill Julie Banks, Alex Bhinder, Goverdhan Silwal	4 May 2023 Conservative 45.9% lead 13.6 pts
Hemel Hempstead Town Neil Harden, Victoria Santamaria	4 May 2023 Lib Dem 46.7% lead 19.8 pts
Highfield Sammy Barry-Mears, Brenda Link	4 May 2023 Lib Dem 51.3% lead 26.1 pts
Kings Langley Alan Johnson, Alan Anderson	4 May 2023 Conservative 46.3% lead 25.1 pts
Leverstock Green Jonathan Gale, Catherine McArevey, Robin Bromham	4 May 2023 Lib Dem 43.2% lead 6.3 pts
Nash Mills Jan Maddern	4 May 2023 Independent 65.7% lead 48.8 pts
Northchurch Lara Pringle	4 May 2023 Lib Dem 70.2% lead 48.9 pts
Tring Central Sheron Wilkie, Carole Weston	4 May 2023 Lib Dem 59.7% lead 38.7 pts
Tring East Michela Capozzi	4 May 2023 Lib Dem 51.0% lead 12.8 pts
Tring West and Rural Brian Patterson, Caroline Smith-Wright	4 May 2023 Lib Dem 49.9% lead 25.8 pts
Watling Edward Barradell, Jane Timmis	4 May 2023 Conservative 48.0% lead 13.8 pts
Woodhall Farm Belinda Williams, Colette Wyatt-Lowe	4 May 2023 Conservative 52.3% lead 26.9 pts

Adeyfield East

Andrew Williams ConservativeBarbara Pesch Labour

Last scheduled election, 4 May 2023 (2 seats)

Conservative41.5%

Labour40.4%

Lib Dem18.1%

Candidate	Party	Votes
Andrew Williams Elected	Conservative	434
Barbara Brucelia Pesch Elected	Labour	423
William Wyatt-Lowe	Conservative	417
David Taylor	Labour	400
Faith Thornhill	Lib Dem	190
Stephen Thornhill	Lib Dem	161

Party shares count each party's leading candidate.

Adeyfield West

Adrian England Lib DemRon Tindall Independent

Last scheduled election, 4 May 2023 (2 seats)

Lib Dem60.6%

Labour20.4%

Conservative19.1%

Candidate	Party	Votes
Adrian England Elected	Lib Dem	654
Ron Tindall Elected	Lib Dem	612
Gary Michael Cook	Labour	220
Adam Arthur Wyatt-Lowe	Conservative	206
Helen Banham Heenan	Labour	187
Bola Ibrahim	Conservative	186

Party shares count each party's leading candidate.

Aldbury and Wigginton

Paul Reynolds Lib Dem

Last scheduled election, 4 May 2023

Lib Dem57.3%

Conservative37.3%

Labour5.4%

Candidate	Party	Votes	Share
Paul David Reynolds Elected	Lib Dem	471	57.3%
Paul Daryl Richardson	Conservative	307	37.3%
Deborah Charlton	Labour	44	5.4%

Apsley and Corner Hall

Carrie Link Lib DemDavid Deacon Lib DemHugo Hardy Lib Dem

Last scheduled election, 4 May 2023 (3 seats)

Lib Dem48.6%

Conservative32.8%

Labour18.6%

Candidate	Party	Votes
David Deacon Elected	Lib Dem	1,053
Toni Cox Elected	Lib Dem	990
Carrie Proctor-Link Elected	Lib Dem	978
Brian Michael Collier	Conservative	711
Charlotte Ruth Palmer	Conservative	647
Babita Sinha	Conservative	589
Samidha Garg	Labour	404
Daniel Thomas Worker	Labour	375
Shanmugam Jagatharan	Labour	367

Party shares count each party's leading candidate.

Last by-election, 11 June 2026

Lib Dem32.9%

Reform24.5%

Conservative17.9%

Independent9.5%

Green8.0%

Labour7.1%

Candidate	Party	Votes	Share
Hugo James Hardy Elected	Lib Dem	742	32.9%
Andrew Garnett	Reform	552	24.5%
Hubert Harvey Wilson	Conservative	404	17.9%
Eric Johnson	Independent	213	9.5%
Connor Manship	Green	181	8.0%
Bailey Hewitt	Labour	161	7.1%

Ashridge

Terry Douris Conservative

Last scheduled election, 4 May 2023

Conservative67.5%

Lib Dem25.1%

Labour7.4%

Candidate	Party	Votes	Share
Terry Douris Elected	Conservative	643	67.5%
Susan Waite Jordan	Lib Dem	239	25.1%
Jody Whitehill	Labour	70	7.4%

Bennetts End

Lin Greenfield LabourPete Hannell Labour

Last scheduled election, 4 May 2023 (2 seats)

Labour30.5%

Independent29.5%

Conservative21.9%

Green10.1%

Lib Dem7.9%

Candidate	Party	Votes
Pete Hannell Elected	Labour	500
John Birnie Elected	Independent	483
Lin Greenfield	Labour	391
Mark Rogers	Conservative	359
Muhammad Imran Khan	Conservative	313
Andrew Kevin Lambert	Green	166
Philip Lovell	Lib Dem	129
Lynda Roe	Lib Dem	124

Party shares count each party's leading candidate.

Last by-election, 21 November 2024

Labour37.1%

Conservative36.5%

Green11.9%

Reform10.7%

Lib Dem3.7%

Candidate	Party	Votes	Share
Lin Greenfield Elected	Labour	318	37.1%
Margaret Patricia Griffiths	Conservative	313	36.5%
Andrew Kevin Lambert	Green	102	11.9%
Christopher James Morris	Reform	92	10.7%
Lloyd Harris	Lib Dem	32	3.7%

Berkhamsted Castle

Ian Bristow Lib DemRick Freedman Lib Dem

Last scheduled election, 4 May 2023 (2 seats)

Lib Dem59.4%

Conservative22.0%

Green8.7%

Labour7.2%

Reform2.6%

Candidate	Party	Votes
Ian Bristow Elected	Lib Dem	1,287
Rick Freedman Elected	Lib Dem	1,205
Sue Beardshaw	Conservative	477
Anthony Armytage	Conservative	460
Leslie Stuart Tate	Green	189
Kate Meeks	Labour	155
Kevin Dunford	Labour	112
Lesley Ann Taylor	Reform	57

Party shares count each party's leading candidate.

Berkhamsted East

Garrick Stevens Lib DemNigel Taylor Lib Dem

Last scheduled election, 4 May 2023 (2 seats)

Lib Dem58.3%

Conservative18.6%

Green13.4%

Labour9.8%

Candidate	Party	Votes
Garrick Stevens Elected	Lib Dem	1,300
Nigel Taylor Elected	Lib Dem	1,065
Ian Reay	Conservative	415
Kevin Donald Fielding	Green	298
Rene Leonard Neville de Silva	Conservative	290
Michael David Bromberg	Labour	218
Jay Gladdy	Labour	161

Party shares count each party's leading candidate.

Berkhamsted West

Sally Symington Lib DemWill Jankowski Lib Dem

Last scheduled election, 4 May 2023 (2 seats)

Lib Dem58.4%

Conservative22.8%

Labour9.7%

Green9.1%

Candidate	Party	Votes
Sally Symington Elected	Lib Dem	1,155
Robert Stewart Elected	Lib Dem	987
Carol Green	Conservative	451
Rebecca Mackenzie	Labour	192
Bernard Hurley	Green	179
Christopher Roberts	Labour	112

Party shares count each party's leading candidate.

Last by-election, 24 July 2025

Lib Dem56.4%

Conservative31.3%

Green8.7%

Labour3.6%

Candidate	Party	Votes	Share
Will Jankowski Elected	Lib Dem	643	56.4%
Ben Rolfe	Conservative	357	31.3%
Rose Mary Sheridan	Green	99	8.7%
Jim Lawler	Labour	41	3.6%

Bovingdon, Flaunden and Chipperfield

Gbola Adeleke ConservativePhilip Walker ConservativeStewart Riddick Conservative

Last scheduled election, 4 May 2023 (3 seats)

Conservative42.0%

Lib Dem23.7%

Green18.5%

Labour15.8%

Candidate	Party	Votes
Stewart Riddick Elected	Conservative	1,116
Gbola Adeleke Elected	Conservative	1,070
Philip Anthony Walker Elected	Conservative	1,026
Sarah Jane Bell	Lib Dem	630
Wiebke Carr	Green	493
Adam Hawkswood	Lib Dem	462
Michael James Buttleman	Labour	420
Nick Hollinghurst	Lib Dem	400
Antony Fitzgerald	Labour	331
James Wignall	Labour	291

Party shares count each party's leading candidate.

Boxmoor

Claire Hobson IndependentSimy Dhyani Lib DemWilliam Allen Lib Dem

Last scheduled election, 4 May 2023 (3 seats)

Lib Dem65.1%

Conservative24.2%

Labour10.7%

Candidate	Party	Votes
William Allen Elected	Lib Dem	1,668
Claire Hobson Elected	Lib Dem	1,563
Simy Dhyani Elected	Lib Dem	1,451
Peter William Allen	Conservative	620
Grace Elizabeth Froggatt	Conservative	551
Carole Lynn Levene	Conservative	498
Andrew Richard Suzmeyan	Labour	273
Lee Whitehill	Labour	262
Helen Terry	Labour	252

Party shares count each party's leading candidate.

Chaulden and Warners End

Fiona Guest ConservativeGraeme Elliot ConservativeNigel Durrant Conservative

Last scheduled election, 4 May 2023 (3 seats)

Conservative41.8%

Labour27.2%

Lib Dem23.8%

Reform7.1%

Candidate	Party	Votes
Fiona Guest Elected	Conservative	923
Graeme Elliot Elected	Conservative	835
Nigel Durrant Elected	Conservative	828
Kit Wales	Labour	602
Anne Christine Harradine	Labour	594
Diane Wilson	Lib Dem	527
Allison McKenzie	Lib Dem	516
Neil Donald Kennedy	Lib Dem	387
Michael Howard Potts	Reform	158

Party shares count each party's leading candidate.

Gadebridge

Angela Mitchell LabourHeather Pound Conservative

Last scheduled election, 4 May 2023 (2 seats)

Labour38.4%

Conservative35.8%

Green13.9%

Lib Dem12.0%

Candidate	Party	Votes
Angela Mitchell Elected	Labour	451
Heather Pound Elected	Conservative	421
Mark Bignell	Conservative	405
Gary John Ruff	Labour	370
Christine Elaine Ridley	Green	163
Sarah Owen	Lib Dem	141
Chris Angell	Lib Dem	132
Suzanne Watts	Green	125

Party shares count each party's leading candidate.

Grovehill

Alex Bhinder ConservativeGoverdhan Silwal IndependentJulie Banks Conservative

Last scheduled election, 4 May 2023 (3 seats)

Conservative45.9%

Labour32.3%

Lib Dem15.9%

Reform5.9%

Candidate	Party	Votes
Julie Banks Elected	Conservative	708
Alex Bhinder Elected	Conservative	689
Goverdhan Silwal Elected	Conservative	606
Jennifer Mary Dickson	Labour	498
Stephen Martin Fisher	Labour	446
Pat Dartnell	Labour	413
Emma Jane Devina Macey	Lib Dem	246
Nicholas Alan Keay	Lib Dem	175
Robert Short	Lib Dem	148
Noel Willcox	Reform	91

Party shares count each party's leading candidate.

Hemel Hempstead Town

Neil Harden ConservativeVictoria Santamaria Independent

Last scheduled election, 4 May 2023 (2 seats)

Lib Dem46.7%

Labour26.9%

Conservative26.4%

Candidate	Party	Votes
Sadie Katherine Hobson Elected	Lib Dem	621
Victoria Elizabeth Santamaria Elected	Lib Dem	555
Malik Ijlal	Labour	358
Rob Beauchamp	Conservative	351
Janet Nicola Ventiroso	Labour	337
Mike Pound	Conservative	307

Party shares count each party's leading candidate.

Last by-election, 21 November 2024

Conservative43.7%

Lib Dem21.9%

Labour18.5%

Reform9.9%

Green5.9%

Candidate	Party	Votes	Share
Neil Harden Elected	Conservative	347	43.7%
Aatish Ashok Pattni	Lib Dem	174	21.9%
Mohamed Fawzi	Labour	147	18.5%
Silvi Sutherland	Reform	79	9.9%
Christine Elizabeth Talbot	Green	47	5.9%

Highfield

Brenda Link Lib DemSammy Barry-Mears Independent

Last scheduled election, 4 May 2023 (2 seats)

Lib Dem51.3%

Labour25.2%

Conservative23.5%

Candidate	Party	Votes
Brenda Link Elected	Lib Dem	464
Sammy Barry-Mears Elected	Lib Dem	450
Vanessa Louise Mitchell	Labour	228
Chris Griffiths	Conservative	213
Ray York	Labour	207
Bindu Gupta	Conservative	168

Party shares count each party's leading candidate.

Kings Langley

Alan Anderson ConservativeAlan Johnson Conservative

Last scheduled election, 4 May 2023 (2 seats)

Conservative46.3%

Green21.2%

Labour18.6%

Lib Dem13.8%

Candidate	Party	Votes
Alan James Johnson Elected	Conservative	673
Alan Anderson Elected	Conservative	646
Ashley Lawrence	Green	308
Julia Mary Coleman	Labour	270
Fran Parkins	Lib Dem	201
Dominic Terence Hook	Labour	185
Holli Pandit	Lib Dem	184

Party shares count each party's leading candidate.

Leverstock Green

Catherine McArevey Lib DemJonathan Gale Lib DemRobin Bromham Lib Dem

Last scheduled election, 4 May 2023 (3 seats)

Lib Dem43.2%

Conservative36.9%

Labour13.7%

Green6.2%

Candidate	Party	Votes
Robin Bromham Elected	Lib Dem	1,098
Jonathan Gale Elected	Lib Dem	1,060
Catherine Ann McArevey Elected	Lib Dem	966
Margaret Patricia Griffiths	Conservative	937
Rosie Sutton	Conservative	928
Neil Harden	Conservative	883
Stephen Alexander	Labour	349
Ian Hilary Laidlaw-Dickson	Labour	320
Mandi Tattershall	Labour	305
Paul Gregory De Hoest	Green	158

Party shares count each party's leading candidate.

Nash Mills

Jan Maddern Independent

Last scheduled election, 4 May 2023

Independent65.7%

Conservative16.9%

Labour12.2%

Lib Dem5.2%

Candidate	Party	Votes	Share
Jan Maddern Elected	Independent	578	65.7%
Sanjay Jamuar	Conservative	149	16.9%
Jane Clare Gibbons	Labour	107	12.2%
Alexander David Bell	Lib Dem	46	5.2%

Northchurch

Lara Pringle Independent

Last scheduled election, 4 May 2023

Lib Dem70.2%

Conservative21.3%

Green4.7%

Labour3.9%

Candidate	Party	Votes	Share
Lara Pringle Elected	Lib Dem	707	70.2%
Jackie Jones	Conservative	214	21.3%
Rose Mary Sheridan	Green	47	4.7%
Steve Ritchie	Labour	39	3.9%

Tring Central

Carole Weston IndependentSheron Wilkie Independent

Last scheduled election, 4 May 2023 (2 seats)

Lib Dem59.7%

Conservative21.0%

Labour10.1%

Green9.3%

Candidate	Party	Votes
Sheron Wilkie Elected	Lib Dem	902
Carole Anne Weston Elected	Lib Dem	780
Keith Anthony Baker	Conservative	317
Phil Hills	Conservative	305
Jim Lawler	Labour	153
Roger John Freeman Oliver	Green	140
Mark Rutherford	Green	130
Jacob Ellett	Labour	115

Party shares count each party's leading candidate.

Tring East

Michela Capozzi Independent

Last scheduled election, 4 May 2023

Lib Dem51.0%

Conservative38.2%

Labour5.5%

Green5.3%

Candidate	Party	Votes	Share
Michela Capozzi Elected	Lib Dem	580	51.0%
Penny Hearn	Conservative	435	38.2%
Jack Curham	Labour	63	5.5%
William Jeffrey Burgar	Green	60	5.3%

Tring West and Rural

Brian Patterson Lib DemCaroline Smith-Wright Lib Dem

Last scheduled election, 4 May 2023 (2 seats)

Lib Dem49.9%

Conservative24.1%

Green18.1%

Labour7.9%

Candidate	Party	Votes
Brian Patterson Elected	Lib Dem	1,035
John Mottershead Elected	Lib Dem	844
Mike Hicks	Conservative	501
Justin Alexander Charlton-Jones	Conservative	462
Joe Stopps	Green	376
Colin Barry Phillips	Labour	164
Mark Rutherford	Labour	153

Party shares count each party's leading candidate.

Last by-election, 15 February 2024

Lib Dem62.7%

Conservative21.1%

Green8.5%

Labour7.6%

Candidate	Party	Votes	Share
Caroline Smith-Wright Elected	Lib Dem	899	62.7%
Mike Hicks	Conservative	303	21.1%
Joe Stopps	Green	122	8.5%
Jim Lawler	Labour	109	7.6%

Watling

Edward Barradell ConservativeJane Timmis Conservative

Last scheduled election, 4 May 2023 (2 seats)

Conservative48.0%

Lib Dem34.2%

Labour17.7%

Candidate	Party	Votes
Jane Timmis Elected	Conservative	686
Edward Michael John Barradell Elected	Conservative	608
Timothy Symington	Lib Dem	489
Lloyd Harris	Lib Dem	478
Emma Jane Reed	Labour	253
Alan Olive	Labour	216

Party shares count each party's leading candidate.

Woodhall Farm

Belinda Williams ConservativeColette Wyatt-Lowe Conservative

Last scheduled election, 4 May 2023 (2 seats)

Conservative52.3%

Labour25.4%

Lib Dem17.1%

Reform5.2%

Candidate	Party	Votes
Colette Wyatt-Lowe Elected	Conservative	614
Belinda Ann Williams Elected	Conservative	576
Alan Dickson	Labour	299
Amanda Elizabeth Pollard	Labour	288
David Egerton	Lib Dem	201
Deborah Curtis-England	Lib Dem	163
Saba Poursaeedi	Reform	61

Party shares count each party's leading candidate.

Councillors

Changed party since the election

9 councillors now sit for a different party from the one they were elected for.

Ward	Councillor	Elected as	Now
Adeyfield West	Ron Tindall	Lib Dem 2023	Independent
Boxmoor	Claire Hobson	Lib Dem 2023	Independent
Grovehill	Goverdhan Silwal	Conservative 2023	Independent
Hemel Hempstead Town	Victoria Santamaria	Lib Dem 2023	Independent
Highfield	Sammy Barry-Mears	Lib Dem 2023	Independent
Northchurch	Lara Pringle	Lib Dem 2023	Independent
Tring Central	Carole Weston	Lib Dem 2023	Independent
Tring Central	Sheron Wilkie	Lib Dem 2023	Independent
Tring East	Michela Capozzi	Lib Dem 2023	Independent

By-elections

Every council by-election since 2021

5 by-elections since July 2021, 2 of them gains.

Date	Ward	Result	Winner's share
11 June 2026	Apsley & Corner Hall	Lib Dem hold	32.9%
24 July 2025	Berkhamsted West	Lib Dem hold	56.0%
21 November 2024	Bennetts End	Labour gain from Independent	37.1%
21 November 2024	Hemel Hempstead Town	Conservative gain from Lib Dem	43.7%
15 February 2024	Tring West and Rural	Lib Dem hold	62.7%

Parliament

Parliamentary constituencies

Constituency	Share of council	2024 winner	Projected now
Hemel Hempstead	66%	Labour	Labour 34%
Harpenden and Berkhamsted	31%	Lib Dem	Lib Dem 47%
South West Hertfordshire	3%	Conservative	Conservative 32%

Share of the council: the proportion of its census neighbourhoods (2021 LSOAs) in each seat. The projection is PollCheck's demographic model at current polling, not a forecast.

People

Who lives in Dacorum

155,083 residents in 63,393 households

Voted Leave in 2016

51% 1 below GB

Degree or higher

38% 4 above GB

No qualifications

15% 3 below GB

Own their home

64% 3 above GB

Rent from a council or housing association

21% 4 above GB

Rent privately

14% 6 below GB

Aged 15 to 34

28% 3 below GB

Aged 65 and over

22% same as GB

GB figure. 2021 Census (Scotland: 2022): age as a share of residents aged 15 and over, qualifications of residents aged 16 and over, housing as a share of households. Leave: 2016 EU referendum, Electoral Commission results by counting area.

Similar

Councils most like this one

Basingstoke and DeaneIndependent / Liberal Democrats Coalition HertsmereLabour / Liberal Democrats Coalition North HertfordshireLabour (Minority)North TynesideLabour mayor Bracknell ForestLabour (Minority)

Closest on the measures above: the 2016 Leave vote, age, qualifications and housing. Maps show which party holds each ward.

Sources

Sources and method

Seat totals and control: PollCheck council control tracker. Councillors: Open Council Data (CC BY-SA 4.0). Election results: Democracy Club (CC BY 4.0), with some vote counts from DCLEAPIL, Leman (2025) (CC BY-SA 4.0), and corrections checked against councils' official declarations. Ward boundaries: Source: Office for National Statistics licensed under the Open Government Licence v.3.0. Contains OS data © Crown copyright and database right 2026. Census: Office for National Statistics and National Records of Scotland.

Councillor lists and DCLEAPIL-derived vote counts on this page are available under CC BY-SA 4.0.

In wards electing more than one councillor, a party's share counts only its leading candidate (the Rallings and Thrasher method). Independents count individually. The lead is the gap between the top two parties' shares.