Bathgate and Linlithgow
Scotland · County constituency
About the Bathgate and Linlithgow constituency
Bathgate and Linlithgow is a county constituency in Scotland. The sitting MP is Kirsteen Sullivan (Labour (Co-op)), MP since July 2024. At the 2024 general election, Labour won with 47.0% to 27.2% for the SNP, a majority of 8,323 votes on a 58.3% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has Labour on 31.4% and the SNP on 28.0%, a margin of 3.5 points.
Who lives in Bathgate and Linlithgow? Constituency demographics
From Scotland's 2022 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.
How did Bathgate and Linlithgow vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?
2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.
2024 general election
Current projection
Map of Bathgate and Linlithgow
Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from Scotland's 2022 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›
How Bathgate and Linlithgow voted at the Scottish Parliament election (7 May 2026)
Bathgate and Linlithgow crosses multiple Holyrood boundaries (approximate share of the seat's area in each): Bathgate (79%), Falkirk East and Linlithgow (18%), Almond Valley (2%). Scotland uses the Additional Member System: voters cast one ballot for a constituency MSP and a second for a regional list. The figures below are the constituency vote.
| Holyrood constituency | Approx. share of Bathgate and Linlithgow's area | Winner | Runner-up | Elected MSP |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bathgate | 79% | SNP 40.7% | Labour 24.0% | Pauline Stafford |
| Falkirk East and Linlithgow | 18% | SNP 38.6% | Labour 24.1% | Martyn Day |
| Almond Valley | 2% | SNP 46.3% | Labour 21.9% | Angela Constance |
Holyrood 2026 constituency results from official declarations. Overlap percentages are approximate shares of the Westminster seat's land area, not of its electorate. They come from an area overlay of the post-2024 Westminster boundary on simplified Holyrood second-review boundaries (in force from 7 May 2026), so they do not always sum to 100% and small overlaps may be artefacts of the simplified boundaries.
Bathgate and Linlithgow within West Lothian and Falkirk
Bathgate and Linlithgow crosses council boundaries: West Lothian (83%), Falkirk (17%). None of the constituent councils were due to vote in 2026, so the figures below are the most recent ward results with vote counts available. About this layer ›
Council overlap
| Council | Share of seat |
|---|---|
| West Lothian | 83% |
| Falkirk | 17% |
Recent council by-elections
Council ward by-elections held inside this seat, most recent first. The result column shows which party won; the share column shows the top three parties’ vote shares on the day.
| Date | Ward | Result | Top 3 vote shares |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec 2025 | Whitburn & Blackburn | Ref GAIN from Lab | Ref 32% SNP 28% Lab 17% |
| 13 Mar 2025 | Broxburn Uphall and Winchburgh | SNP HOLD | - |
| 14 Nov 2024 | Whitburn and Blackburn | Lab HOLD | - |
| 23 Aug 2024 | Armadale and Blackridge | Lab GAIN from Ind | Lab 29% SNP 28% Ref 19% |
| 1 Dec 2022 | Broxburn Uphall and Winchburgh | Lab HOLD | - |
Most recent council ward results
Latest council result per ward, from the most recent election with vote counts available. How this table is sourced ›
Scottish council wards elect several councillors each by STV, so for these wards the table shows first preferences, not seats: the party with the most first-preference votes and each other party's share. 2022 figures are from the official cast-vote records.
| Ward | GE2024 winner | Latest council first preferences | Shift since GE2024 | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Armadale and Blackridge | Labour 46.6%vs SNP 32.4% | 2022 Independent 48.9%SNP 22.1%, Labour 14.1%, Conservative 10.6%, Green 2.6%, Lib Dem 0.9%, Others 0.8% | - | 39.9% |
| Bathgate | Labour 54.3%vs SNP 28.8% | 2022 SNP 40.4%Labour 38.7%, Conservative 14.1%, Green 3.8%, Lib Dem 2.0%, Others 0.9% | - | 41.0% |
| Bo'ness and Blackness | Labour 49.5%vs SNP 28.5% | 2022 Independent 40.6%SNP 21.6%, Labour 18.7%, Conservative 15.1%, Green 2.4%, Lib Dem 1.6% | - | 45.0% |
| Broxburn, Uphall and Winchburgh | Labour 43.7%vs SNP 33.4% | 2022 SNP 41.9%Labour 29.6%, Conservative 17.7%, Green 4.3%, Lib Dem 3.7%, Others 2.7% | - | 21.4% |
| Fauldhouse and the Breich Valley | Labour 50.4%vs SNP 30.6% | 2022 Labour 40.2%SNP 38.3%, Conservative 14.2%, Green 3.6%, Lib Dem 2.3%, Others 1.4% | - | 39.9% |
| Linlithgow | Labour 38.4%vs SNP 24.1% | 2022 SNP 26.3%Lib Dem 20.3%, Conservative 19.8%, Labour 19.5%, Green 13.2%, Others 0.8% | - | 57.2% |
| Whitburn and Blackburn | Labour 53.7%vs SNP 28.5% | 2022 SNP 38.6%Labour 37.4%, Conservative 18.5%, Green 3.1%, Lib Dem 2.4% | - | 36.2% |
Projection trajectory
PollCheck's projection for Bathgate and Linlithgow at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.
Who has won Bathgate and Linlithgow at past general elections?
2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›
| Year | Result | MP | Lab | Con | LD | SNP | Majority | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010predecessor | Lab hold | Michael Connarty Linlithgow and East Falkirk MP | 49.8% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 25.4% | 12,553 | 63.6% |
| 2015predecessor | SNP gain from Lab | Martyn Day Linlithgow and East Falkirk MP | 31.0% | 12.0% | 2.0% | 52.0% | 12,934 | 70.8%+7.2 |
| 2017predecessor | SNP hold | Martyn Day Linlithgow and East Falkirk MP | 31.1% | 29.1% | 3.4% | 36.3% | 2,919 | 65.1%-5.7 |
| 2019notional | Scottish National Party winner | Martyn Day Linlithgow and East Falkirk MP, pre-review boundary | 18.8% | 24.6% | 8.2% | 43.0% | 8,671 | 65.9% |
| 2024 | Lab gain from SNP | Kirsteen Sullivan | 47.0% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 27.2% | 8,323 | 58.3%-7.6 |
Bathgate and Linlithgow was created or substantially redrawn by the 2023 boundary review. Pre-2024 rows below are for the predecessor seat Linlithgow and East Falkirk (the seat that covered most of this area), so vote shares and majorities aren’t directly comparable to the post-2024 figures.
Constituencies most like Bathgate and Linlithgow
Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Bathgate and Linlithgow. Politics shown for context.
- ↓Private rent8.8 / 8.7vs 20.2
- ↓Leave42.6 / 42.1vs 53.2
- ↑Social rent25.1 / 25.5vs 16.8
- ↓Private rent8.8 / 9.6vs 20.2
- ↓Leave42.6 / 43.3vs 53.2
- ↑Social rent25.1 / 24.0vs 16.8
- ↓Private rent8.8 / 8.3vs 20.2
- ↓Leave42.6 / 41.2vs 53.2
- ↑Social rent25.1 / 25.8vs 16.8
- ↓Private rent8.8 / 7.6vs 20.2
- ↓Leave42.6 / 37.9vs 53.2
- ↑Graduate42.6 / 41.6vs 33.7
- ↓Leave42.6 / 41.8vs 53.2
- ↑Graduate42.6 / 45.4vs 33.7
- ↓Private rent8.8 / 11.9vs 20.2
What would change this seat?
Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.
Related
Sources
Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›
Show full source list
- 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
- Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
- Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
- Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
- May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
- Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
- Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
- EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
- MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
- Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
- Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic model at the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls, built from the British Election Study Internet Panel (Fieldhouse et al.), Census 2021 (ONS) and Scotland's Census 2022 (NRS). The trajectory was recalculated with the current model, introduced in autumn 2026.
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