Constituency profile

Inverness, Skye and West Ross-shire

Scotland · County constituency · Highland

Angus MacDonald MP
Sitting MP

Angus MacDonald

Liberal Democrat

MP since July 2024

Current PollCheck projection

Region & type
Scotland
County constituency, Highland council
Last 5 GE winners
LDSSSLD
SNP 3/5, Liberal Democrats 2/5
EU referendum 2016
41.8% Leave
UK average 51.9%; -10.1pp below mean
Current outlook
SNP +7.5pp
Vulnerability score 8/10 (Liberal Democrats projected to lose)
ScottishRemain-leaningGraduate-heavy

About the Inverness, Skye and West Ross-shire constituency

Inverness, Skye and West Ross-shire is a county constituency in Scotland. The sitting MP is Angus MacDonald (Liberal Democrat), MP since July 2024. At the 2024 general election, the Liberal Democrats won with 37.8% to 33.3% for the SNP, a majority of 2,160 votes on a 61.7% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has the SNP on 33.5% and the Liberal Democrats on 26.0%, a margin of 7.5 points - a projected change of hands from the Liberal Democrats.

Who lives in Inverness, Skye and West Ross-shire? Constituency demographics

From Scotland's 2022 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.

Leave vote 2016
41.8%
UK average ~52%
Degree or above
45.4%
UK average ~34%
No qualifications
15.7%
UK average ~18%
Owner-occupied
66.5%
UK average ~63%
Renting (social + private)
31.7%
UK average ~36%
Median age
45.3
UK median ~40
Age 65+
25.1%
UK average ~19%
Age 18-34
25.8%
UK average ~28%

How did Inverness, Skye and West Ross-shire vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?

2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.

2024 general election

LD gain from SNP · majority 2,160 votes (4.5pp) · turnout 61.7%

Current projection

If a general election were held today, at current poll average

Map of Inverness, Skye and West Ross-shire

Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from Scotland's 2022 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›

Holyrood 2026 layer

How Inverness, Skye and West Ross-shire voted at the Scottish Parliament election (7 May 2026)

Inverness, Skye and West Ross-shire crosses multiple Holyrood boundaries (approximate share of the seat's area in each): Skye, Lochaber and Badenoch (77%), Caithness, Sutherland and Ross (16%), Inverness and Nairn (6%). Scotland uses the Additional Member System: voters cast one ballot for a constituency MSP and a second for a regional list. The figures below are the constituency vote.

Holyrood constituencyApprox. share of Inverness, Skye and West Ross-shire's areaWinnerRunner-upElected MSP
Skye, Lochaber and Badenoch77%Liberal Democrats 38.9%SNP 36.5%Andrew Baxter
Caithness, Sutherland and Ross16%Liberal Democrats 48.0%SNP 31.4%David Green
Inverness and Nairn6%SNP 30.4%Liberal Democrats 29.2%Emma Roddick

Holyrood 2026 constituency results from official declarations. Overlap percentages are approximate shares of the Westminster seat's land area, not of its electorate. They come from an area overlay of the post-2024 Westminster boundary on simplified Holyrood second-review boundaries (in force from 7 May 2026), so they do not always sum to 100% and small overlaps may be artefacts of the simplified boundaries.

Council layer (not Westminster)

Inverness, Skye and West Ross-shire within Highland

Inverness, Skye and West Ross-shire sits entirely within Highland Council. Highland was not due to vote in 2026, so the figures below are the most recent ward results with vote counts available. About this layer ›

Council overlap

CouncilShare of seat
Highland
133 data zones
100%

Recent council by-elections

Council ward by-elections held inside this seat, most recent first. The result column shows which party won; the share column shows the top three parties’ vote shares on the day.

DateWardResultTop 3 vote shares
11 Dec 2025Fort William & Ardnamurchan
Highland
LD GAIN from SNPLD 40% SNP 29% Ref 10%
25 Sep 2025Caol and Mallaig
Highland
Ind GAIN from GrnOther 68% LD 17% SNP 9%
21 Nov 2024Fort William and Ardnamurchan
Highland
LD HOLD-
27 Sep 2024Inverness Central
Highland
Lab HOLDSNP 32% Lab 28% LD 17%
13 Apr 2024Inverness South
Highland
Ind GAIN from LDOther 27% LD 20% SNP 19%

Most recent council ward results

Latest council result per ward, from the most recent election with vote counts available. How this table is sourced ›

Scottish council wards elect several councillors each by STV, so for these wards the table shows first preferences, not seats: the party with the most first-preference votes and each other party's share. 2022 figures are from the official cast-vote records.

Ward GE2024 winner Latest council first preferences Shift since GE2024 Turnout
Aird and Loch NessSNP 37.4%vs Lib Dem 33.6%2022 Independent 31.0%SNP 26.2%, Conservative 21.1%, Green 10.2%, Lib Dem 6.6%, Labour 4.9%-39.3%
Caol and MallaigSNP 40.8%vs Lib Dem 28.1%2017 Independent 52.9%SNP 24.0%, Lib Dem 9.4%, Conservative 8.2%, Labour 5.6%--
Culloden and ArdersierSNP 37.1%vs Lib Dem 30.3%2022 SNP 37.6%Conservative 17.9%, Independent 15.8%, Lib Dem 15.3%, Labour 10.1%, Others 3.3%-45.0%
Fort William and ArdnamurchanLib Dem 40.4%vs SNP 25.7%2022 Lib Dem 37.5%SNP 33.5%, Conservative 10.1%, Green 9.6%, Independent 9.3%-44.4%
Inverness CentralSNP 39.1%vs Lib Dem 24.4%2022 SNP 41.3%Labour 24.1%, Conservative 12.8%, Green 7.5%, Lib Dem 6.4%, Independent 5.1%, Others 2.8%-29.6%
Inverness Ness-SideLib Dem 60.5%vs SNP 23.4%2022 Lib Dem 44.5%SNP 29.2%, Conservative 8.7%, Labour 6.3%, Independent 5.6%, Green 5.2%, Others 0.4%-49.1%
Inverness SouthSNP 41.2%vs Lib Dem 31.5%2022 SNP 35.2%Independent 24.8%, Conservative 16.9%, Lib Dem 8.6%, Labour 7.2%, Green 5.4%, Others 1.9%-44.1%
Inverness WestLib Dem 54.5%vs SNP 26.3%2022 Lib Dem 34.2%SNP 31.2%, Conservative 9.3%, Labour 8.4%, Independent 8.1%, Green 7.5%, Others 1.3%-41.2%
Wester Ross, Strathpeffer and LochalshSNP 36.1%vs Lib Dem 35.9%2022 SNP 41.1%Independent 28.7%, Conservative 17.3%, Lib Dem 12.9%-52.0%

Projection trajectory

PollCheck's projection for Inverness, Skye and West Ross-shire at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.

Who has won Inverness, Skye and West Ross-shire at past general elections?

2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›

Year Result MP Lab Con LD SNP Right (Ref/UKIP) Green Other Majority Turnout
2010predecessorLD holdCharles Kennedy Ross, Skye and Lochaber MP15.1%12.2%52.6%15.1%1.9% UKIP2.2%0.8%13,07067.2%
2015predecessorSNP gain from LDIan Blackford Ross, Skye and Lochaber MP4.9%6.2%35.9%48.1%1.9% UKIP2.5%0.5%5,12477.2%+10.0
2017predecessorSNP holdIan Blackford Ross, Skye and Lochaber MP12.2%24.9%20.9%40.3%--1.8%5,91971.7%-5.5
2019notionalScottish National Party winnerIan Blackford Ross, Skye and Lochaber MP, pre-review boundary9.4%23.3%15.1%48.7%2.1% Brx1.4%-12,86566.0%
2024LD gain from SNPAngus MacDonald13.0%5.2%37.8%33.3%6.1% Ref4.2%0.4%2,16061.7%-4.3

Inverness, Skye and West Ross-shire was created or substantially redrawn by the 2023 boundary review. Pre-2024 rows below are for the predecessor seat Ross, Skye and Lochaber (the seat that covered most of this area), so vote shares and majorities aren’t directly comparable to the post-2024 figures.

Constituencies most like Inverness, Skye and West Ross-shire

Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Inverness, Skye and West Ross-shire. Politics shown for context.

What would change this seat?

Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.

Related

Sources

Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›

Show full source list
  • 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
  • Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
  • Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
  • Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
  • May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
  • Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
  • Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
  • EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
  • MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
  • Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
  • Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic model at the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls, built from the British Election Study Internet Panel (Fieldhouse et al.), Census 2021 (ONS) and Scotland's Census 2022 (NRS). The trajectory was recalculated with the current model, introduced in autumn 2026.

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