Perth and Kinross-shire
Scotland · County constituency · Perth and Kinross
About the Perth and Kinross-shire constituency
Perth and Kinross-shire is a county constituency in Scotland. The sitting MP is Pete Wishart (Scottish National Party), MP since June 2001. At the 2024 general election, the SNP won with 37.8% to 29.6% for the Conservatives, a majority of 4,127 votes on a 64.8% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has the SNP on 37.0% and the Conservatives on 29.7%, a margin of 7.2 points.
Who lives in Perth and Kinross-shire? Constituency demographics
From Scotland's 2022 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.
How did Perth and Kinross-shire vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?
2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.
2024 general election
Current projection
Map of Perth and Kinross-shire
Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from Scotland's 2022 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›
How Perth and Kinross-shire voted at the Scottish Parliament election (7 May 2026)
Perth and Kinross-shire crosses multiple Holyrood boundaries (approximate share of the seat's area in each): Perthshire South and Kinross-shire (83%), Perthshire North (16%). Scotland uses the Additional Member System: voters cast one ballot for a constituency MSP and a second for a regional list. The figures below are the constituency vote.
| Holyrood constituency | Approx. share of Perth and Kinross-shire's area | Winner | Runner-up | Elected MSP |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Perthshire South and Kinross-shire | 83% | SNP 40.4% | Conservative 26.5% | Jim Fairlie |
| Perthshire North | 16% | SNP 45.4% | Conservative 28.1% | John Swinney |
Holyrood 2026 constituency results from official declarations. Overlap percentages are approximate shares of the Westminster seat's land area, not of its electorate. They come from an area overlay of the post-2024 Westminster boundary on simplified Holyrood second-review boundaries (in force from 7 May 2026), so they do not always sum to 100% and small overlaps may be artefacts of the simplified boundaries.
Perth and Kinross-shire within Perth and Kinross
Perth and Kinross-shire sits entirely within Perth and Kinross Council. Perth and Kinross was not due to vote in 2026, so the figures below are the most recent ward results with vote counts available. About this layer ›
Council overlap
| Council | Share of seat |
|---|---|
| Perth and Kinross | 100% |
Recent council by-elections
Council ward by-elections held inside this seat, most recent first. The result column shows which party won; the share column shows the top three parties’ vote shares on the day.
| Date | Ward | Result | Top 3 vote shares |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep 2024 | Perth City North | SNP GAIN from Lab | - |
| 27 Sep 2024 | Strathallan | LD GAIN from Con | Con 32% LD 30% SNP 17% |
Most recent council ward results
Latest council result per ward, from the most recent election with vote counts available. How this table is sourced ›
Scottish council wards elect several councillors each by STV, so for these wards the table shows first preferences, not seats: the party with the most first-preference votes and each other party's share. 2022 figures are from the official cast-vote records.
| Ward | GE2024 winner | Latest council first preferences | Shift since GE2024 | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Almond and Earn | Conservative 37.5%vs SNP 32.8% | 2022 Conservative 48.3%SNP 33.8%, Lib Dem 8.8%, Green 7.9%, Others 1.3% | - | 35.7% |
| Carse of Gowrie | SNP 33.6%vs Conservative 29.8% | 2022 SNP 31.6%Conservative 30.9%, Labour 27.8%, Green 5.1%, Lib Dem 3.3%, Others 1.3% | - | 55.7% |
| Kinross-shire | Conservative 35.6%vs SNP 35.6% | 2022 Conservative 29.3%SNP 25.8%, Lib Dem 20.9%, Independent 11.3%, Labour 6.8%, Green 5.2%, Others 0.8% | - | 54.5% |
| Perth City Centre | SNP 44.1%vs Conservative 28.4% | 2022 SNP 40.0%Conservative 24.8%, Lib Dem 19.8%, Labour 8.3%, Green 5.1%, Independent 1.2%, Others 0.9% | - | 40.9% |
| Perth City North | SNP 50.3%vs Conservative 22.5% | 2022 SNP 55.2%Conservative 19.6%, Labour 15.3%, Lib Dem 4.2%, Green 3.5%, Others 2.2% | - | 38.2% |
| Perth City South | SNP 40.1%vs Conservative 28.6% | 2022 Lib Dem 33.9%SNP 33.6%, Conservative 22.8%, Labour 5.6%, Green 4.1% | - | 50.9% |
| Strathallan | Labour 30.6%vs SNP 29.8% | 2022 Conservative 46.6%SNP 35.0%, Lib Dem 11.4%, Green 7.0% | - | 50.1% |
| Strathearn | SNP 37.1%vs Conservative 32.2% | 2022 SNP 33.0%Independent 31.2%, Conservative 29.9%, Lib Dem 5.8% | - | 51.5% |
| Strathmore | SNP 36.8%vs Conservative 28.7% | 2022 SNP 36.2%Conservative 30.2%, Independent 17.4%, Lib Dem 8.8%, Green 7.4% | - | 53.8% |
Projection trajectory
PollCheck's projection for Perth and Kinross-shire at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.
Who has won Perth and Kinross-shire at past general elections?
2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›
| Year | Result | MP | Lab | Con | LD | SNP | Majority | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010predecessor | Lab hold | Gordon Banks Ochil and South Perthshire MP | 37.9% | 20.5% | 11.4% | 27.6% | 5,187 | 67.2% |
| 2015predecessor | SNP gain from Lab | Tasmina Ahmed-Sheikh Ochil and South Perthshire MP | 28.4% | 20.7% | 2.6% | 46.0% | 10,168 | 74.8%+7.6 |
| 2017predecessor | Con gain from SNP | Luke Graham Ochil and South Perthshire MP | 20.0% | 41.5% | 3.2% | 35.3% | 3,359 | 70.6%-4.2 |
| 2019notional | Scottish National Party winner | John Nicolson Ochil and South Perthshire MP, pre-review boundary | 5.0% | 41.1% | 8.0% | 45.3% | 2,364 | 74.0% |
| 2024 | SNP hold | Pete Wishart | 18.0% | 29.6% | 7.4% | 37.8% | 4,127 | 64.8%-9.2 |
Perth and Kinross-shire was created or substantially redrawn by the 2023 boundary review. Pre-2024 rows below are for the predecessor seat Ochil and South Perthshire (the seat that covered most of this area), so vote shares and majorities aren’t directly comparable to the post-2024 figures.
Constituencies most like Perth and Kinross-shire
Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Perth and Kinross-shire. Politics shown for context.
- ↓Leave39.7 / 41.8vs 53.2
- ↑Graduate49.3 / 45.4vs 33.7
- ↓Private rent13.8 / 11.9vs 20.2
- ↑Graduate49.3 / 46.9vs 33.7
- ↓Leave39.7 / 40.7vs 53.2
- ↓Private rent13.8 / 10.6vs 20.2
- ↑Graduate49.3 / 51.8vs 33.7
- ↓Leave39.7 / 35.9vs 53.2
- ↓Private rent13.8 / 12.7vs 20.2
- ↓Leave39.7 / 41.4vs 53.2
- ↑Graduate49.3 / 44.5vs 33.7
- ↓Private rent13.8 / 13.4vs 20.2
- ↑Graduate49.3 / 46.5vs 33.7
- ↓Leave39.7 / 41.5vs 53.2
- ↓Private rent13.8 / 11.6vs 20.2
What would change this seat?
Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.
Related
Sources
Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›
Show full source list
- 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
- Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
- Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
- Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
- May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
- Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
- Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
- EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
- MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
- Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
- Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic model at the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls, built from the British Election Study Internet Panel (Fieldhouse et al.), Census 2021 (ONS) and Scotland's Census 2022 (NRS). The trajectory was recalculated with the current model, introduced in autumn 2026.
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