Perth and Kinross-shire
Scotland · County constituency · Perth and Kinross borough
About the Perth and Kinross-shire constituency
Perth and Kinross-shire is a county constituency in Scotland. The sitting MP is Pete Wishart (Scottish National Party), first elected in June 2001. At the 2024 general election, the SNP won with 37.8% to 29.6% for the Conservatives, a majority of 4,127 votes on a 64.8% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has the SNP on 38.9% and the Conservatives on 29.1%, a margin of 9.8 points.
Who lives in Perth and Kinross-shire? Constituency demographics
From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.
How did Perth and Kinross-shire vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?
2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.
2024 general election
Current projection
Map of Perth and Kinross-shire
Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from Scotland's 2022 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›
How Perth and Kinross-shire voted at the Scottish Parliament election (7 May 2026)
Perth and Kinross-shire crosses multiple Holyrood boundaries: Perthshire South and Kinross-shire (83%), Perthshire North (16%). Scotland uses the Additional Member System: voters cast one ballot for a constituency MSP and a second for a regional list. The figures below are the constituency vote.
| Holyrood constituency | Share of Perth and Kinross-shire | Winner | Runner-up | Elected MSP |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Perthshire South and Kinross-shire | 83% | SNP 40.4% | Conservative 26.5% | Jim Fairlie |
| Perthshire North | 16% | SNP 45.4% | Conservative 28.1% | John Swinney |
Holyrood 2026 constituency results from official declarations. Overlap percentages are area-based using the post-2024 Westminster boundary against the new Holyrood second-review boundary (in force from 7 May 2026).
Perth and Kinross-shire within Perth and Kinross
Perth and Kinross-shire sits entirely within Perth and Kinross Council. Perth and Kinross was not due to vote in 2026, so the figures below are the most recent ward results available. About this layer ›
Council overlap
| Council | Share of seat |
|---|---|
| Perth and Kinross | 100% |
Recent council by-elections
Council ward by-elections held inside this seat, most recent first. The result column shows which party won; the share column shows the top three parties’ vote shares on the day.
| Date | Ward | Result | Top 3 vote shares |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep 2024 | Perth City North | SNP GAIN from Lab | — |
| 27 Sep 2024 | Strathallan | LD GAIN from Con | — |
Most recent council ward results
Latest council winner per ward - May 2026 results where the council voted, otherwise the most recent available result. How this table is sourced ›
| Ward | GE2024 winner | Latest council winner | Shift since GE2024 | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Almond and Earn | Conservative 37.5%vs SNP 32.8% | 2022 Conservative 48.3%vs SNP 33.8% | - | 35.7% |
| Carse of Gowrie | SNP 33.6%vs Conservative 29.8% | 2022 SNP 31.6%vs Conservative 30.9% | - | 55.7% |
| Kinross-shire | Conservative 35.6%vs SNP 35.6% | 2022 Conservative 29.3%vs SNP 25.8% | - | 54.5% |
| Perth City Centre | SNP 44.1%vs Conservative 28.4% | 2022 SNP 40.0%vs Conservative 24.8% | - | 40.9% |
| Perth City North | SNP 50.3%vs Conservative 22.5% | 2022 SNP 55.2%vs Conservative 19.6% | - | 38.2% |
| Perth City South | SNP 40.1%vs Conservative 28.6% | 2022 Lib Dem 33.9%vs SNP 33.6% | - | 50.9% |
| Strathallan | Labour 30.6%vs SNP 29.8% | 2022 Conservative 46.6%vs SNP 35.0% | - | 50.1% |
| Strathearn | SNP 37.1%vs Conservative 32.2% | 2022 SNP 33.0%vs Independent 31.2% | - | 51.5% |
| Strathmore | SNP 36.8%vs Conservative 28.7% | 2022 SNP 36.2%vs Conservative 30.2% | - | 53.8% |
Projection trajectory
PollCheck's projection for Perth and Kinross-shire at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.
Who has won Perth and Kinross-shire at past general elections?
2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›
| Year | Result | MP | Lab | Con | LD | Majority | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010predecessor | Lab hold | Gordon Banks Ochil and South Perthshire MP | 37.9% | 20.5% | 11.4% | 5,187 | 67.2% |
| 2015predecessor | SNP gain from Lab | Tasmina Ahmed-Sheikh Ochil and South Perthshire MP | 28.4% | 20.7% | 2.6% | 10,168 | 74.8%+7.6 |
| 2017predecessor | Con gain from SNP | Luke Graham Ochil and South Perthshire MP | 20.0% | 41.5% | 3.2% | 3,359 | 70.6%-4.2 |
| 2019notional | Scottish National Party winner | John Nicolson Ochil and South Perthshire MP, pre-review boundary | 5.0% | 41.1% | 8.0% | 2,364 | 74.0% |
| 2024 | SNP hold | Pete Wishart | 18.0% | 29.6% | 7.4% | 4,127 | 64.8%-9.2 |
Perth and Kinross-shire was created or substantially redrawn by the 2023 boundary review. Pre-2024 rows below are for the predecessor seat Ochil and South Perthshire (the seat that covered most of this area), so vote shares and majorities aren’t directly comparable to the post-2024 figures.
Constituencies most like Perth and Kinross-shire
Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Perth and Kinross-shire. Politics shown for context.
- ↓Leave39.7 / 41.8vs 53.2
- ↑Graduate49.3 / 45.4vs 33.7
- ↓Private rent13.8 / 11.9vs 20.2
- ↑Graduate49.3 / 46.9vs 33.7
- ↓Leave39.7 / 40.7vs 53.2
- ↓Private rent13.8 / 10.6vs 20.2
- ↑Graduate49.3 / 51.8vs 33.7
- ↓Leave39.7 / 35.9vs 53.2
- ↓Private rent13.8 / 12.7vs 20.2
- ↓Leave39.7 / 41.4vs 53.2
- ↑Graduate49.3 / 44.5vs 33.7
- ↓Private rent13.8 / 13.4vs 20.2
- ↑Graduate49.3 / 46.5vs 33.7
- ↓Leave39.7 / 41.5vs 53.2
- ↓Private rent13.8 / 11.6vs 20.2
What would change this seat?
Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.
Related
Sources
Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›
Show full source list
- 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
- Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
- Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
- Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
- May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
- Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
- Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
- EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
- MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
- Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
- Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.
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