Dunfermline and Dollar
Scotland · County constituency
About the Dunfermline and Dollar constituency
Dunfermline and Dollar is a county constituency in Scotland. The sitting MP is Graeme Downie (Labour), MP since July 2024. At the 2024 general election, Labour won with 45.7% to 27.2% for the SNP, a majority of 8,241 votes on a 61.2% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has Labour on 32.0% and the SNP on 29.6%, a margin of 2.4 points.
Who lives in Dunfermline and Dollar? Constituency demographics
From Scotland's 2022 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.
How did Dunfermline and Dollar vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?
2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.
2024 general election
Current projection
Map of Dunfermline and Dollar
Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from Scotland's 2022 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›
How Dunfermline and Dollar voted at the Scottish Parliament election (7 May 2026)
Dunfermline and Dollar crosses multiple Holyrood boundaries (approximate share of the seat's area in each): Dunfermline (74%), Clackmannanshire and Dunblane (22%), Cowdenbeath (4%). Scotland uses the Additional Member System: voters cast one ballot for a constituency MSP and a second for a regional list. The figures below are the constituency vote.
| Holyrood constituency | Approx. share of Dunfermline and Dollar's area | Winner | Runner-up | Elected MSP |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dunfermline | 74% | SNP 41.6% | Labour 25.7% | Shirley-Anne Somerville |
| Clackmannanshire and Dunblane | 22% | SNP 37.8% | Labour 24.6% | Keith Brown |
| Cowdenbeath | 4% | SNP 44.3% | Labour 23.3% | David Barratt |
Holyrood 2026 constituency results from official declarations. Overlap percentages are approximate shares of the Westminster seat's land area, not of its electorate. They come from an area overlay of the post-2024 Westminster boundary on simplified Holyrood second-review boundaries (in force from 7 May 2026), so they do not always sum to 100% and small overlaps may be artefacts of the simplified boundaries.
Dunfermline and Dollar within Fife
Dunfermline and Dollar sits almost entirely within Fife Council. Fife was not due to vote in 2026, so the figures below are the most recent ward results with vote counts available. About this layer ›
Council overlap
| Council | Share of seat |
|---|---|
| Fife | 96% |
| Clackmannanshire | 4% |
Recent council by-elections
Council ward by-elections held inside this seat, most recent first. The result column shows which party won; the share column shows the top three parties’ vote shares on the day.
| Date | Ward | Result | Top 3 vote shares |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov 2024 | West Fife and Coastal Villages | Lab HOLD | Lab 33% SNP 33% Con 16% |
Most recent council ward results
Latest council result per ward, from the most recent election with vote counts available. How this table is sourced ›
Scottish council wards elect several councillors each by STV, so for these wards the table shows first preferences, not seats: the party with the most first-preference votes and each other party's share. 2022 figures are from the official cast-vote records.
| Ward | GE2024 winner | Latest council first preferences | Shift since GE2024 | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clackmannanshire East | Labour 43.2%vs SNP 27.6% | 2022 Conservative 37.3%SNP 30.8%, Labour 19.6%, Green 6.3%, Lib Dem 3.7%, Independent 2.3% | - | 32.9% |
| Dunfermline Central | Labour 45.6%vs SNP 27.2% | 2022 SNP 33.4%Lib Dem 24.7%, Labour 24.6%, Conservative 9.4%, Green 6.0%, Others 1.8% | - | 34.8% |
| Dunfermline North | Labour 48.1%vs SNP 29.2% | 2022 SNP 39.1%Labour 28.5%, Conservative 17.8%, Lib Dem 6.4%, Green 5.9%, Others 2.3% | - | 45.7% |
| Dunfermline South | Labour 46.4%vs SNP 28.6% | 2022 SNP 33.5%Labour 23.2%, Lib Dem 19.5%, Conservative 10.6%, Independent 6.9%, Green 3.6%, Others 2.7% | - | 28.4% |
| Rosyth | Labour 47.4%vs SNP 30.2% | 2022 SNP 39.4%Labour 26.3%, Conservative 16.8%, Lib Dem 6.5%, Others 5.9%, Green 5.2% | - | 41.3% |
| West Fife and Coastal Villages | Labour 51.9%vs SNP 27.1% | 2022 SNP 35.9%Labour 32.5%, Conservative 17.1%, Lib Dem 6.7%, Green 4.1%, Others 3.0%, Independent 0.8% | - | 23.5% |
Projection trajectory
PollCheck's projection for Dunfermline and Dollar at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.
Who has won Dunfermline and Dollar at past general elections?
2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›
| Year | Result | MP | Lab | Con | LD | SNP | Majority | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010predecessor | Lab hold | Thomas Docherty Dunfermline and West Fife MP | 46.3% | 6.8% | 35.1% | 10.6% | 5,470 | 66.5% |
| 2015predecessor | SNP gain from Lab | Douglas Chapman Dunfermline and West Fife MP | 31.7% | 11.9% | 4.0% | 50.3% | 10,352 | 71.6%+5.1 |
| 2017predecessor | SNP hold | Douglas Chapman Dunfermline and West Fife MP | 33.9% | 24.7% | 5.9% | 35.5% | 844 | 67.4%-4.2 |
| 2019notional | Scottish National Party winner | Douglas Chapman Dunfermline and West Fife MP, pre-review boundary | 23.6% | 21.5% | 8.4% | 44.3% | 10,073 | 68.7% |
| 2024 | Lab gain from SNP | Graeme Downie | 45.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 27.2% | 8,241 | 61.2%-7.5 |
Dunfermline and Dollar was created or substantially redrawn by the 2023 boundary review. Pre-2024 rows below are for the predecessor seat Dunfermline and West Fife (the seat that covered most of this area), so vote shares and majorities aren’t directly comparable to the post-2024 figures.
Constituencies most like Dunfermline and Dollar
Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Dunfermline and Dollar. Politics shown for context.
- ↑Graduate46.9 / 45.4vs 33.7
- ↓Leave40.7 / 41.8vs 53.2
- ↓Private rent10.6 / 11.9vs 20.2
- ↓Leave40.7 / 36.8vs 53.2
- ↑Graduate46.9 / 45.4vs 33.7
- ↓Private rent10.6 / 9.9vs 20.2
- ↑Graduate46.9 / 49.3vs 33.7
- ↓Leave40.7 / 39.7vs 53.2
- ↓Private rent10.6 / 13.8vs 20.2
- ↑Graduate46.9 / 45.3vs 33.7
- ↓Leave40.7 / 35.5vs 53.2
- ↓Private rent10.6 / 10.4vs 20.2
- ↓Leave40.7 / 36.6vs 53.2
- ↓Private rent10.6 / 9.3vs 20.2
- ↑Graduate46.9 / 42.0vs 33.7
What would change this seat?
Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.
Related
Sources
Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›
Show full source list
- 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
- Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
- Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
- Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
- May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
- Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
- Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
- EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
- MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
- Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
- Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic model at the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls, built from the British Election Study Internet Panel (Fieldhouse et al.), Census 2021 (ONS) and Scotland's Census 2022 (NRS). The trajectory was recalculated with the current model, introduced in autumn 2026.
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