Dunfermline and Dollar
Scotland · County constituency
About the Dunfermline and Dollar constituency
Dunfermline and Dollar is a county constituency in Scotland. The sitting MP is Graeme Downie (Labour), first elected in July 2024. At the 2024 general election, Labour won with 45.7% to 27.2% for the SNP, a majority of 8,241 votes on a 61.2% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has Labour on 31.6% and the SNP on 25.4%, a margin of 6.2 points.
Who lives in Dunfermline and Dollar? Constituency demographics
From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.
How did Dunfermline and Dollar vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?
2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.
2024 general election
Current projection
Map of Dunfermline and Dollar
Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from Scotland's 2022 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›
How Dunfermline and Dollar voted at the Scottish Parliament election (7 May 2026)
Dunfermline and Dollar crosses multiple Holyrood boundaries: Dunfermline (74%), Clackmannanshire and Dunblane (22%), Cowdenbeath (4%). Scotland uses the Additional Member System: voters cast one ballot for a constituency MSP and a second for a regional list. The figures below are the constituency vote.
| Holyrood constituency | Share of Dunfermline and Dollar | Winner | Runner-up | Elected MSP |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dunfermline | 74% | SNP 41.6% | Labour 25.7% | Shirley-Anne Somerville |
| Clackmannanshire and Dunblane | 22% | SNP 37.8% | Labour 24.6% | Keith Brown |
| Cowdenbeath | 4% | SNP 44.3% | Labour 23.3% | David Barratt |
Holyrood 2026 constituency results from official declarations. Overlap percentages are area-based using the post-2024 Westminster boundary against the new Holyrood second-review boundary (in force from 7 May 2026).
Dunfermline and Dollar within Council layer
No council overlap data available for Dunfermline and Dollar.
Council overlap
No council overlap data.
Recent council by-elections
Council ward by-elections held inside this seat, most recent first. The result column shows which party won; the share column shows the top three parties’ vote shares on the day.
| Date | Ward | Result | Top 3 vote shares |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov 2024 | West Fife and Coastal Villages | Lab HOLD | — |
Most recent council ward results
Latest council winner per ward - May 2026 results where the council voted, otherwise the most recent available result. How this table is sourced ›
| Ward | GE2024 winner | Latest council winner | Shift since GE2024 | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clackmannanshire East | Labour 43.2%vs SNP 27.6% | 2022 Conservative 37.3%vs SNP 30.8% | - | 32.9% |
| Dunfermline Central | Labour 45.6%vs SNP 27.2% | 2022 SNP 33.4%vs Lib Dem 24.7% | - | 34.8% |
| Dunfermline North | Labour 48.1%vs SNP 29.2% | 2022 SNP 39.1%vs Labour 28.5% | - | 45.7% |
| Dunfermline South | Labour 46.4%vs SNP 28.6% | 2022 SNP 33.5%vs Labour 23.2% | - | 28.4% |
| Rosyth | Labour 47.4%vs SNP 30.2% | 2022 SNP 39.4%vs Labour 26.3% | - | 41.3% |
| West Fife and Coastal Villages | Labour 51.9%vs SNP 27.1% | 2022 SNP 35.9%vs Labour 32.5% | - | 23.5% |
Projection trajectory
PollCheck's projection for Dunfermline and Dollar at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.
Who has won Dunfermline and Dollar at past general elections?
2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›
| Year | Result | MP | Lab | Con | LD | Majority | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010predecessor | Lab hold | Thomas Docherty Dunfermline and West Fife MP | 46.3% | 6.8% | 35.1% | 5,470 | 66.5% |
| 2015predecessor | SNP gain from Lab | Douglas Chapman Dunfermline and West Fife MP | 31.7% | 11.9% | 4.0% | 10,352 | 71.6%+5.1 |
| 2017predecessor | SNP hold | Douglas Chapman Dunfermline and West Fife MP | 33.9% | 24.7% | 5.9% | 844 | 67.4%-4.2 |
| 2019notional | Scottish National Party winner | Douglas Chapman Dunfermline and West Fife MP, pre-review boundary | 23.6% | 21.5% | 8.4% | 10,073 | 68.7% |
| 2024 | Lab gain from SNP | Graeme Downie | 45.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8,241 | 61.2%-7.5 |
Dunfermline and Dollar was created or substantially redrawn by the 2023 boundary review. Pre-2024 rows below are for the predecessor seat Dunfermline and West Fife (the seat that covered most of this area), so vote shares and majorities aren’t directly comparable to the post-2024 figures.
Constituencies most like Dunfermline and Dollar
Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Dunfermline and Dollar. Politics shown for context.
- ↑Graduate46.9 / 45.4vs 33.7
- ↓Leave40.7 / 41.8vs 53.2
- ↓Private rent10.6 / 11.9vs 20.2
- ↓Leave40.7 / 36.8vs 53.2
- ↑Graduate46.9 / 45.4vs 33.7
- ↓Private rent10.6 / 9.9vs 20.2
- ↑Graduate46.9 / 49.3vs 33.7
- ↓Leave40.7 / 39.7vs 53.2
- ↓Private rent10.6 / 13.8vs 20.2
- ↑Graduate46.9 / 45.3vs 33.7
- ↓Leave40.7 / 35.5vs 53.2
- ↓Private rent10.6 / 10.4vs 20.2
- ↓Leave40.7 / 36.6vs 53.2
- ↓Private rent10.6 / 9.3vs 20.2
- ↑Graduate46.9 / 42.0vs 33.7
What would change this seat?
Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.
Related
Sources
Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›
Show full source list
- 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
- Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
- Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
- Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
- May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
- Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
- Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
- EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
- MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
- Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
- Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.
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