Constituency profile

East Kilbride and Strathaven

Scotland · County constituency · South Lanarkshire borough

Joani Reid MP
Sitting MP

Joani Reid

Independent

First elected July 2024

Current PollCheck projection

Region & type
Scotland
County constituency, South Lanarkshire council
Last 5 GE winners
LSSSL
SNP 3/5, Labour 2/5
EU referendum 2016
36.8% Leave
UK average 51.9%; -15.1pp below mean
Current outlook
Labour +4.7pp
vs SNP 31.4%
ScottishRemain-leaningGraduate-heavy

About the East Kilbride and Strathaven constituency

East Kilbride and Strathaven is a county constituency in Scotland. The sitting MP is Joani Reid (Independent), first elected in July 2024. At the 2024 general election, Labour won with 48.6% to 29.2% for the SNP, a majority of 9,057 votes on a 61.1% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has Labour on 36.1% and the SNP on 31.4%, a margin of 4.7 points.

Who lives in East Kilbride and Strathaven? Constituency demographics

From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.

Leave vote 2016
36.8%
UK average ~52%
Degree or above
45.4%
UK average ~34%
No qualifications
14.8%
UK average ~18%
Owner-occupied
73.7%
UK average ~63%
Renting (social + private)
25.3%
UK average ~36%
Median age
44.0
UK median ~40
Age 65+
23.4%
UK average ~19%
Age 18-34
27.2%
UK average ~28%

How did East Kilbride and Strathaven vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?

2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.

2024 general election

Lab gain from SNP · majority 9,057 votes (19.4pp) · turnout 61.1%

Current projection

If a general election were held today, at current poll average

Map of East Kilbride and Strathaven

Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from Scotland's 2022 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›

Holyrood 2026 layer

How East Kilbride and Strathaven voted at the Scottish Parliament election (7 May 2026)

East Kilbride and Strathaven crosses multiple Holyrood boundaries: Clydesdale (78%), East Kilbride (15%), Hamilton, Larkhall and Stonehouse (4%). Scotland uses the Additional Member System: voters cast one ballot for a constituency MSP and a second for a regional list. The figures below are the constituency vote.

Holyrood constituencyShare of East Kilbride and StrathavenWinnerRunner-upElected MSP
Clydesdale78%SNP 36.3%Labour 24.1%Màiri McAllan
East Kilbride15%SNP 42.4%Labour 27.8%Collette Stevenson
Hamilton, Larkhall and Stonehouse4%SNP 37.8%Labour 29.2%Alex Kerr

Holyrood 2026 constituency results from official declarations. Overlap percentages are area-based using the post-2024 Westminster boundary against the new Holyrood second-review boundary (in force from 7 May 2026).

Council layer (not Westminster)

East Kilbride and Strathaven within South Lanarkshire

East Kilbride and Strathaven sits entirely within South Lanarkshire Council. South Lanarkshire was not due to vote in 2026, so the figures below are the most recent ward results available. About this layer ›

Council overlap

CouncilShare of seat
South Lanarkshire
1 LSOAs
100%

Recent council by-elections

Council ward by-elections held inside this seat, most recent first. The result column shows which party won; the share column shows the top three parties’ vote shares on the day.

DateWardResultTop 3 vote shares
7 Jul 2023East Kilbride West
South Lanarkshire
Lab GAIN from SNP

Most recent council ward results

Latest council winner per ward - May 2026 results where the council voted, otherwise the most recent available result. How this table is sourced ›

Ward GE2024 winner Latest council winner Shift since GE2024 Turnout
Avondale and StonehouseLabour 46.0%vs SNP 28.7%2022 SNP 28.4%vs Independent 23.7%-36.4%
East Kilbride Central NorthLabour 54.5%vs SNP 29.9%2022 SNP 43.8%vs Labour 37.3%-44.4%
East Kilbride Central SouthLabour 56.2%vs SNP 30.1%2022 SNP 43.9%vs Labour 38.6%-18.7%
East Kilbride EastLabour 49.5%vs SNP 30.2%2022 SNP 37.4%vs Labour 27.0%-45.2%
East Kilbride SouthLabour 45.9%vs SNP 36.3%2022 SNP 48.7%vs Labour 23.0%-26.4%
East Kilbride WestLabour 51.4%vs SNP 28.2%2022 SNP 30.9%vs Labour 26.5%-50.4%

Projection trajectory

PollCheck's projection for East Kilbride and Strathaven at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.

Who has won East Kilbride and Strathaven at past general elections?

2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›

Year Result MP Lab Con LD Right (Ref/UKIP) Green Other Majority Turnout
2010predecessorLab holdMichael McCann East Kilbride, Strathaven and Lesmahagow MP51.5%13.0%9.9%-2.0%0.6%14,50366.6%
2015predecessorSNP gain from LabLisa Cameron East Kilbride, Strathaven and Lesmahagow MP28.3%11.8%1.7%2.0% UKIP-0.5%16,52772.8%+6.2
2017predecessorSNP holdLisa Cameron East Kilbride, Strathaven and Lesmahagow MP31.7%25.3%2.9%1.2% UKIP--3,86667.3%-5.5
2019notionalScottish National Party winnerLisa Cameron East Kilbride, Strathaven and Lesmahagow MP, pre-review boundary21.6%21.4%6.9%1.1% Brx-49.0%13,16968.8%
2024Lab gain from SNPJoani Reid48.6%7.6%2.3%7.2% Ref3.9%1.3%9,05761.1%-7.7

East Kilbride and Strathaven was created or substantially redrawn by the 2023 boundary review. Pre-2024 rows below are for the predecessor seat East Kilbride, Strathaven and Lesmahagow (the seat that covered most of this area), so vote shares and majorities aren’t directly comparable to the post-2024 figures.

Constituencies most like East Kilbride and Strathaven

Five seats with similar demographic profiles to East Kilbride and Strathaven. Politics shown for context.

What would change this seat?

Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.

Related

Sources

Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›

Show full source list
  • 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
  • Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
  • Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
  • Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
  • May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
  • Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
  • Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
  • EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
  • MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
  • Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
  • Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.

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