Leeds North West
Yorkshire and The Humber · County constituency · Leeds borough
About the Leeds North West constituency
Leeds North West is a county constituency in Yorkshire and The Humber. The sitting MP is Katie White (Labour), first elected in July 2024. At the 2024 general election, Labour won with 46.0% to 22.1% for the Conservatives, a majority of 11,896 votes on a 69.5% turnout. PollCheck's current projection, at the seven-poll average, has Labour on 35.8% and the Conservatives on 22.8%, a margin of 13.0 points.
Who lives in Leeds North West? Constituency demographics
From the 2021 Census and 2016 EU referendum estimates. Constituency-level data on 2024 boundaries.
How did Leeds North West vote in 2024 and how would it vote now?
2024 vote shares from the HoC Library. Current projection is at the 7-poll average.
2024 general election
Current projection
Map of Leeds North West
Switch between GE2024 ward winners (modelled estimates, ~4pp average error) and a demographic view from the 2021 Census. Hover any area for detail. How the map is built ›
Leeds North West within Leeds
Leeds North West sits entirely within Leeds Council. The figures below are from the council elections held on 7 May 2026. About this layer ›
Council overlap
| Council | Share of seat | Projection |
|---|---|---|
| Leeds | 100% | View projection › |
Most recent council ward results
Latest council winner per ward - May 2026 results where the council voted, otherwise the most recent available result. How this table is sourced ›
| Ward | GE2024 winner | Latest council winner | Shift since GE2024 | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adel & Wharfedale | Labour 41.9%vs Conservative 27.3% | May 2026 Conservative 29.9%vs Reform 22.5% | Labour→Conservative +11.3pp | 50.4% |
| Guiseley & Rawdon | Labour 49.0%vs Conservative 22.7% | May 2026 Labour 37.7%vs Conservative 26.2% | Labour share -11.3pp | 50.3% |
| Horsforth | Labour 49.3%vs Conservative 21.1% | May 2026 Labour 34.1%vs Conservative 23.3% | Labour share -15.2pp | 49.3% |
| Otley & Yeadon | Labour 42.4%vs Lib Dem 19.3% | May 2026 Lib Dem 36.4%vs Reform 25.0% | Labour→Lib Dem +23.8pp | 50.4% |
Projection trajectory
PollCheck's projection for Leeds North West at each of the last 60 GB polls. Hover the chart for the underlying poll details.
Who has won Leeds North West at past general elections?
2024 and notional 2019 rows are on current boundaries; 2010-2017 rows are on the boundaries in force at the time. More on boundaries ›
| Year | Result | MP | Lab | Con | LD | Majority | Turnout |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2010 | LD hold | Greg Mulholland | 21.0% | 26.6% | 47.5% | 9,103 | 66.5% |
| 2015 | LD hold | Greg Mulholland | 30.1% | 18.6% | 36.8% | 2,907 | 70.0%+3.5 |
| 2017 | Lab gain from LD | Alex Sobel | 44.1% | 19.7% | 35.0% | 4,224 | 67.9%-2.1 |
| 2019notional | Conservative winner | Stuart Andrew Pudsey MP, pre-review boundary | 38.3% | 41.9% | 14.8% | 2,001 | 77.7%+9.8 |
| 2024 | Lab gain from Con | Katie White | 46.0% | 22.1% | 11.3% | 11,896 | 69.5%-8.2 |
Earlier years are on pre-2024 boundaries; comparable results on the new boundary will be added when sourced.
Constituencies most like Leeds North West
Five seats with similar demographic profiles to Leeds North West. Politics shown for context.
- ↓Leave35.4 / 36.8vs 53.2
- ↑Owner-occupied74.4 / 73.7vs 61.9
- ↑Graduate42.9 / 45.4vs 33.7
- ↑Owner-occupied74.4 / 72.6vs 61.9
- ↑Graduate42.9 / 44.8vs 33.7
- ↓Leave35.4 / 43.1vs 53.2
- ↑Owner-occupied74.4 / 75.4vs 61.9
- ↓Leave35.4 / 41.5vs 53.2
- ↑Graduate42.9 / 46.2vs 33.7
- ↓Leave35.4 / 39.2vs 53.2
- ↑Owner-occupied74.4 / 77.0vs 61.9
- ↑Graduate42.9 / 51.5vs 33.7
- ↓Leave35.4 / 39.1vs 53.2
- ↑Owner-occupied74.4 / 73.8vs 61.9
- ↑Graduate42.9 / 44.4vs 33.7
What would change this seat?
Move the sliders to set national vote shares. The per-seat projection updates live. Reset returns to the current 7-poll average.
Related
Sources
Every figure on this page is computed from the sources below. Read the full methodology ›
Show full source list
- 2024 general election results · UK Parliament Election Results portal and House of Commons Library briefing CBP-10009.
- Notional 2019 results on 2024 boundaries · UK Parliament Election Results portal. Recalculated by Parliament; carries assumptions about how 2019 voters would have distributed across the redrawn boundaries.
- Historic general election results (2010-2017) · House of Commons Library historic results files (on the boundaries in force at the time).
- Ward-level GE2024 estimates · Britain Elects / New Statesman - article by Ben Walker, underlying spreadsheet. Modelled from constituency totals; average ~4pp per-ward MoE.
- May 2026 council ward results · Democracy Club via PollCheck's locals 2026 dataset.
- Earlier council ward results (2014-2024) · DCLEAPIL v1.0 (Jason Leman, drawing on Andrew Teale's LEAP dataset and Democracy Club).
- Demographics · ONS Census 2021 (England and Wales), aggregated to constituency level using the ONS LSOA21 -> PCON24 best-fit lookup.
- EU referendum 2016 estimates · Constituency-level Leave vote estimates (Hanretty 2017 method).
- MP details and Cabinet roles · UK Parliament Members API. MP photos are fetched live from the same source.
- Boundary geometry and lookups · ONS Open Geography Portal (PCON24 boundaries, LSOA21 boundaries, LSOA21-WD24-LAD24 best-fit lookup).
- Current projection and trajectory · PollCheck's demographic swingometer applied to the rolling 7-poll average from aggregated GB polls. Not a true MRP - vote-share movements are applied through per-constituency sensitivity multipliers derived from demographic regressions.
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